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Strategies To Win The Mid-Terms (Op Ed)
Democrats lost considerable power in the 2024 elections-relinquishing control over the House, the Senate, and the Presidency. In the upcoming 2026 mid-terms they have a chance to regain at least partial control of the levers of government — if they win majorities in the House and the Senate. Can they learn from their mistakes of the past? Can they take advantage of the poor performance of the Republicans since 2024? Can they actually win in 2026? A USRESIST NEWS Editorial team recently met to consider strategic options for the Dems to pursue in their upcoming mid-term campaign. Here’s what was suggested:
Trump’s War on Highest Ed: Shake-up or Shakedown? (Education Policy Brief #212)
From Harvard to Stanford, the message was unmistakable—comply or be cut off. The campaign, launched soon after Trump’s return to office in 2025, has transformed federal education funding into a weapon aimed squarely at the nation’s most prestigious campuses.
Funding Dissent in the Crosshairs: Trump’s War on the Soros Foundations (Elections & Politics Policy Brief #200)
The Trump administration has targeted George Soros and the Open Society Foundations (OSF) in its post-Kirk “crackdown” on what it calls radical left networks. Trump has floated the use of RICO charges, ordered agencies to scrutinize progressive donors and Non-Governmental Organizations (NGOs), and tied OSF to so-called organized political violence. OSF and other left-leaning groups have dismissed these moves as a politically motivated effort to silence dissent and restrict civil society.
Bulldozing History (Social Justice Policy Brief #182)
The entire historic East Wing of the White House was demolished in late October 2025 to clear space for President Trump’s controversial $300 million private ballroom project. The rapid, irreversible destruction—which eliminated the offices of the First Lady and her staff, the Social Secretary’s office, the family movie theater, and the primary public entrance—was carried out in a matter of days. This action directly contradicted the President’s prior assurance in July that the new 90,000 sq ft ballroom would be “near it but not touching it,” and would not interfere with the existing structure. The administration proceeded with the demolition without legally required approvals from the National Capital Planning Commission (NPC) or the Commission of Fine Arts, deliberately bypassing the public review process intended to protect the national landmark.
Pardoned for Profit (Social Justice Policy Brief #181)
The pardon of Changpeng Zhao (“CZ”), the convicted founder of the world’s largest cryptocurrency exchange, Binance, by President Trump, is widely viewed by critics as a clear act of “pay-to-play” corruption and a severe abuse of executive clemency.
A Primer on Commodity Metals (Economic Policy Brief #90)
Commodity metals are raw metals that are globally standardized and traded in bulk. They are typically categorized as industrial (base) metals (copper, aluminum, zinc), or precious metals (gold, silver, platinum). Precious metals are valued for investment and jewelry, while base metals are essential for industrial use and manufacturing. This Brief seeks to explain the ways in which fluctuations in demand influence the pricing and availability of commodity metals. In addition to commodity metals, rare earth minerals play an important role in various technologies but are not globally standardized. We will discuss these in an upcoming brief.
Silence as Strategy: U.S. Denial of Genocide in Gaza (Foreign Policy Brief #220)
In September 2025, a United Nations Commission of Inquiry concluded what many on the ground have known for months: Israel is committing genocide in Gaza. The commission cited deliberate acts—mass civilian killings, destruction of vital infrastructure, deprivation of basic needs, and explicit incitement from Israeli officials—that collectively meet the threshold under the 1948 Genocide Convention.
California’s Landmark AI Regulations Don’t Go Far Enough (Technology Policy Brief #158)
California styles itself as a leader in AI regulation. Two landmark bills were signed by Governor Newsom this year over the usual industry objections. But the bills don’t go as far as safety advocates wanted, and don’t offer sufficient protections to young, vulnerable users.
Trump’s Staff Reductions Leave FEMA Less Prepared: When the Helpers Don’t Show Up (Social Justice Policy Brief #180)
We’ve all seen the images on our screens — homes splintered, power gone, dazed residents wandering through shattered neighborhoods. They’re desperate for water, cell service, and food. Some are still searching for missing loved ones.
California’s Landmark AI Regulations Don’t Go Far Enough (Technology Policy Brief #158)
Technology Policy Brief #158 | Mindy Spatt | October 29, 2025
Summary
California styles itself as a leader in AI regulation. Two landmark bills were signed by Governor Newsom this year over the usual industry objections. But the bills don’t go as far as safety advocates wanted, and don’t offer sufficient protections to young, vulnerable users.
Analysis
Reporting on AI Risks- Senate Bill 53
A landmark bill with first-in-the-nation AI standards, Senate Bill 53 imposes new reporting requirements on large AI models (models trained on enormous and diverse datasets that include trillions of data points) and extends whistleblower protections. It targets catastrophic risks, which the bill defines as “a foreseeable and material risk “that an AI model could:
- Contribute to the death or serious injury of 50 or more people or cause at least $1 billion in damages;
- Provide expert assistance in creating or releasing a chemical, biological, radiological, or nuclear weapon;
- Engage in criminal conduct or a cyberattack without meaningful human intervention; or
- Evade the control of its developer or user.
A predecessor bill, SB 1047, would have applied to a wider range of AI systems, but Governor Newsom failed to sign it. Critics have complained that SB 53’s focus specifically on large AI models is much too limited. And SB 53’s exemption for smaller companies and start-ups is a blatant give-away to an industry Newsom sees as key to California’s prosperity.
Senate Bill 1074 was more focused on prevention than compliance. It would have required AI models to meet safety certification standards before they went live. Senate Bill 53 doesn’t have similar provisions; it only requires reporting on the models after they are put into use. Independent third-party audits were also dropped in the new version of the bill.
“California has proven that we can establish regulations to protect our communities while also ensuring that the growing AI industry continues to thrive,” Governor Newsom bragged in his signing statement. But other proposed bills, like New York’s RAISE Act, set higher liability standards; harm must be a “probable consequence” of the model that could not have been “reasonably prevented.” The New York State Legislature has approved the Responsible AI Safety and Education Act, and it is awaiting Governor Hochul’s signature. It applies more broadly to “large developers” that spend over $100 million in training costs and requires companies not to use AI models that present …” unreasonable risks of critical harm” until the risks are mitigated.
Deadly Chatbots- Senate Bill 243
Senate Bill 824 is one of the first attempts in the nation to regulate chatbots, but child safety advocates say it doesn’t go far enough.. Under SB 243, companies that offer chatbots, such as OpenAI’s ChatGPT, would be required to add safeguards that would monitor conversations for signs of suicidal ideation and take steps to prevent self-harm, such as referrals to mental health services. ChatGPT is currently being sued for wrongful death in a case where a teen boy’s relationship with a chatbot allegedly drove him to suicide.
Makers of the chatbots will be required to add reminders to users of the artificial nature of the chats, and kids using the bots will also get reminders to take breaks. Companies would have to take steps to prevent children from being exposed to sexually explicit content through Chatbots. Meta, Facebook’s parent company, faced outrage from parents after a leaked copy of its chatbot rules revealed that the company’s bots were allowed to have “sensual” conversations with children.
Child safety advocates from Tech Oversight and Common Sense Media had supported a stronger bill, AB 1064, that would have prevented children from using “companion” chatbots unless companies met specific safety thresholds. Common Sense Media, whose CEO is Jim Steyer, a brother of billionaire climate activist Tom Steyer, and former Biden administration U.S. Surgeon General Vivek Murthy recently announced they will file a ballot initiative in California to rein in the use of artificial intelligence chatbots by young people and hold big tech companies accountable for any harms their products cause.
Called “The California Kids AI Safety Act,” the initiative would establish guardrails for companion chatbots, ban cellphones in classrooms, prohibit the sale of children’s data, require regular independent safety audits, and provide for education in AI literacy and safety.
In announcing the move, Steyer and Murthy specifically pointed to the multiple teenagers who died by suicide after using chatbots. The family of one of those teenagers, Adam Raine, had directly urged Newsom to sign the stronger chatbot bill he vetoed. Raine’s death was also referenced in a Statement by Commissioner Melissa Holyoak in announcing a Federal Trade Commission investigation into Chatbots, linked below.
ENGAGEMENT RESOURCES
- Statement of Commissioner Melissa Holyoak Regarding Issuance of Section 6(b) Orders to Companies That Offer Generative AI Companion Products or Services, September 11, 2025, https://www.ftc.gov/legal-library/browse/cases-proceedings/public-statements/statement-commissioner-melissa-holyoak-regarding-issuance-section-6b-orders-companies-offer
- Accountable Tech Commends New York State Senate on Passage of RAISE Act, Urges Gov. Hochul to Sign, https://accountabletech.org/statements/accountable-tech-commends-new-york-state-senate-on-passage-of-raise-act-urges-gov-hochul-to-sign/
Trump’s Staff Reductions Leave FEMA Less Prepared: When the Helpers Don’t Show Up (Social Justice Policy Brief #180)
Social Justice Policy Brief #180 | Charles Sweeney | October 31, 2025
The Disaster Gap
We’ve all seen the images on our screens — homes splintered, power gone, dazed residents wandering through shattered neighborhoods. They’re desperate for water, cell service, and food. Some are still searching for missing loved ones.
In those first chaotic hours after disaster strikes, one question echoes through every devastated community: Where is FEMA? This spring, in parts of Kentucky and Missouri, that question went unanswered for days. Local officials expected the familiar convoy of federal trucks, inspectors, and field officers — but the help never came.
In St. Louis, Missouri, Mayor Tishaura Jones publicly lamented that the Federal Emergency Management Agency “has not been on the ground” days after a deadly tornado. “We cannot shoulder this alone,” she told reporters, calling for faster federal support (The Daily Beast). Meanwhile, in Kentucky, frustration boiled over among state leaders.
Several Republican lawmakers accused FEMA of being unresponsive and disorganized. They said the agency “set up command centers far from the hardest-hit communities” and that many locals “refused to deal with FEMA any more because of how adversely they were treated” (News From the States). Even Governor Andy Beshear pleaded with President Trump to expedite a disaster declaration to speed recovery funds (Kentucky Lantern).
Fewer Workers, Slower Response
The slow response isn’t happening in a vacuum. Since January 2025, FEMA has lost more than 2,400 employees — nearly 10 percent of its workforce — through a mix of buyouts, retirements, and firings (Government Accountability Office). About 1,500 staffers left through voluntary buyouts or early-retirement programs.
In February, more than 200 probationary employees were abruptly dismissed during a government-wide “performance realignment,” many learning of their termination by email . Later that summer, another 23 IT specialists were fired after a cybersecurity breach. Four senior officials — including FEMA’s CFO — were also removed following an internal audit of hotel reimbursements (Associated Press).
The result has been predictable. FEMA’s Public Assistance grants, which fund infrastructure repairs, now take over 90 days on average to process — up from about two months in 2024. Individual Assistance awards, the direct cash help for survivors, have fallen roughly 14 percent year-over-year (Department of Homeland Security Inspector General).
Local emergency managers say they’re stretched too thin. “People who used to get site visits in 48 hours now wait a week or more,” one Louisiana parish director told The Advocate. “Some never see a FEMA badge at all.”
Modernization or Mismanagement?
FEMA leaders insist the agency is modernizing. New automation tools and digital case-management systems are supposed to “streamline assistance and speed recovery.” But internal reviews and watchdog reports show those tools aren’t ready to replace human expertise.
A veteran analyst told the Union of Concerned Scientists that morale has “cratered” since February’s mass firings — and warned that “you can’t automate compassion.” Governors and emergency directors across the South and Midwest are also sounding the alarm. The National Emergency Management Association warned in May 2025 that “the erosion of FEMA’s workforce undermines national resilience.”
Some states — including Florida and Texas — are creating their own “mini-FEMAs,” expanding local programs to fill federal gaps. But experts say those state efforts can’t replace FEMA’s national coordination role. As Mayor Jones put it after the St. Louis tornado: “We cannot shoulder this alone.”
Climate Warnings and What Comes Next
All of this comes at a moment when climate science points to more frequent and more severe disasters. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) recorded a record 28 billion-dollar weather disasters in 2024. Projections show that number could climb further as global temperatures rise and atmospheric moisture fuels stronger storms, floods, and wildfires (NOAA Climate Report).
In short, the nation’s disaster curve is going up — just as FEMA’s staffing curve is going down. This widening gap threatens not only response times but also long-term recovery for low-income and rural communities that rely most heavily on federal assistance. Experts warn that this imbalance could leave the nation dangerously unprepared for back-to-back catastrophes.
Scientists have long cautioned that the U.S. is entering a “new normal” of overlapping crises — where one hurricane, wildfire, or heat wave hits before the last disaster is fully recovered. With the planet warming and extreme weather becoming routine, this may be the worst possible time for FEMA to be smaller, slower, and stretched thinner than ever.
Engagement Resources
- The Daily Beast: https://www.thedailybeast.com/st-louis-mayor-says-fema-still-hasnt-helped-with-tornado-recovery/
- News From the States: https://www.newsfromthestates.com/article/some-kentucky-republicans-echo-trumps-complaints-about-fema-after-latest-flood
- Kentucky Lantern: https://kentuckylantern.com/2025/05/21/as-tornado-disrupts-regions-tourism-economy-beshear-asks-trump-for-expedited-disaster-declaration/
- ABC News: https://abcnews.go.com/US/agencies-federal-workers-fired/story?id=118901289
- Associated Press: https://apnews.com/
- Government Accountability Office: https://www.gao.gov/
- Department of Homeland Security Inspector General: https://www.oig.dhs.gov/
- Union of Concerned Scientists: https://blog.ucsusa.org/shana-udvardy/trumps-6-worst-attacks-on-fema-in-the-first-100-days/
- National Emergency Management Association: https://www.nemaweb.org/
- NOAA Climate Report: https://www.noaa.gov/news
Europeans no longer feel safe because of Russia; A First Person Account (Foreign Policy Brief #218)
Foreign Policy Brief #218 | Yelena Korshunov | October 23, 2025
During my trip across Europe a week ago, I spoke with people from different countries — ordinary men and women I met along the way. I asked each of them whether they feel safe in their country today and whether they expect a war.
Their answers echoed the broader mood across the continent. Many Europeans no longer feel safe because of Russia’s growing threats. According to a recent YouGov survey conducted in seven EU countries, “the closer a country lies to Russia, the more likely its people are to view the Kremlin as one of Europe’s main threats.” Russian aggression was named as one of Europe’s greatest dangers by 62 percent of respondents in Denmark, 57 percent in Lithuania, and 51 percent in Poland. In Germany, 36 percent considered Russia a top threat, followed by 31 percent in France, 22 percent in Spain, and 20 percent in Italy. Interestingly, in addition to fears of Moscow’s aggression, 19 percent of Spaniards and 17 percent of Italians said they also feel unsafe because of Washington’s actions.
Vaida lives in Vilnius, the capital of Lithuania. She is a university professor. “There’s a lot of talk here about Russia preparing to attack us. We’re afraid that the Russians might suddenly invade Lithuania just as they invaded Ukraine,” Vaida says. “We’re digging anti-tank trenches along the border and getting ready to repel an attack. I’m very afraid that my sons and my husband will have to go to war to defend us from the Russians.”
Carl runs a small restaurant in Dresden, a beautiful city in Germany. “I’m disturbed by Trump’s attitude toward Europe and his strange friendship with Putin. There is a lot of talk that Trump was recruited by the KGB years ago and has been their long-term project. How else can you explain the way he dances to Putin’s tune, as if following his orders? Trump is trying to weaken NATO — and that’s exactly what Moscow needs to attack European countries.”
Gerhard held a senior position in a large trading company for many years. Now he’s retired, living in Austria. He believes that NATO is capable of stopping a Russian attack on European countries, but America’s stance toward the alliance plays into Putin’s hands. “How could you elect Trump as president?” he’s wondering, looking at me inquisitively. “Half the country considered him a worthy candidate,” I replied. “I apologize for my country — and for our president.”
Adam drives us from the airport to Prague, the capital of the Czech Republic — a former member of the socialist bloc. He says he was a child when, in 1968, Soviet tanks rolled into Prague, crushing in blood the attempt of liberalization of the totalitarian Soviet regime. Adam tells us about this in very broken English, but we understand him. We also know about the “Prague Spring” — the period of liberalization in Czechoslovakia from December 10, 1967, to August 21, 1968, associated with the election of Alexander Dubček as First Secretary of the Communist Party and his reforms aimed at expanding citizens’ rights and freedoms and decentralizing power.
On the plane to Prague, my husband and I wondered which language we should speak there so as not to irritate the locals. Given Trump’s attitude toward escalating Russian threats toward Europe — “it’s none of my business” — English didn’t seem like the best option. The older generation of Czechs learned Russian in school, but after Russian tanks on Prague streets in 1968, Russian is not a beloved language in the Czech Republic. As it turned out, however, speaking English was perfectly acceptable — at least in tourist areas.
Kristina works at the reception desk of a cozy hotel in Old Prague. She’s a student and works part-time there on weekends. “I don’t think about the possibility of war here. None of us talk about it. We just live our lives. I hang out with friends, but we don’t discuss politics. There are many Ukrainian refugees in Prague. A girl from Ukraine studies with me. We don’t talk about what’s happening there,” Kristina says.
I understand her. It’s hard to imagine that incredibly beautiful, vibrant, tourist-filled Prague could ever come under shelling. May it always stay that way — may the sky over the Czech Republic and the entire Europe remain peaceful. But Ukrainian cities — Kyiv, Odesa, and Lviv — were once just as full of tourists and bright lights before they, too, came under relentless Russian bombardment, destroying lives and leaving behind ruins and tragedy.
Engagement Resources
- The closer to Russia the greater the fear, opinion poll finds, https://www.politico.eu/article/russia-opinion-poll-closer-border-fear-yougov-eu-countries/
- What Europeans think of Trump’s approach to Ukraine (and what they might do next), https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/experts-react/what-europeans-think-of-trumps-approach-to-ukraine-and-what-they-might-do-next/
- Senior German General Says Europe Must Do All It Can to Help Ukraine, https://www.nytimes.com/2025/10/20/world/europe/ukraine-russia-war-europe.html
How the Trump Administration Shook Up Education — and What It Means for Students with Disabilities (Education Policy Brief #211)
Education Policy Brief #211 | Charlie Sweeney | October 23, 2025
While most of the major media headlines about the Trump Administration’s education policies have focused on ideological battles with the nation’s premier universities, a quieter but more radical reshaping is taking place at the heart of the American education system itself.
When the Trump administration took office on January 20, 2025, its first moves sent shockwaves through classrooms across the country — especially for students with disabilities. For decades, federal laws like the Rehabilitation Act of 1973 and the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) have guaranteed every child a free and appropriate education. But as the new administration began reorganizing the Department of Education, many families started to wonder whether those rights would still hold the same meaning.
Within weeks, the Department of Education announced major staff cuts and rolled back key guidance documents. Hundreds of employees who monitored compliance with IDEA were dismissed or reassigned. Offices that once advised schools on federal special-education requirements fell silent. The message was clear: less federal oversight, more “local control.” For families of children with disabilities, that meant confusion and uncertainty. Districts didn’t know which rules still applied or who to call for help. Reporting by Education Week and The Hechinger Report detailed how these cuts disrupted special-education oversight and left parents facing long delays in getting help for their children.
By mid-2025, the administration began exploring an even larger structural shift — moving special-education programs, including IDEA, out of the Education Department and into the Department of Health and Human Services. The stated goal was efficiency and flexibility for states. But critics saw danger ahead. Moving oversight away from career education specialists, they warned, could weaken the federal protections that millions of students depend on. Analysis from the Brookings Institution described this as one of the most sweeping bureaucratic reorganizations of special-education governance in half a century.
The legal rights of students with disabilities technically remain intact. But with fewer federal staff, slower investigations, and shifting rules for grant distribution, those rights are harder to enforce. Schools may delay evaluations or reduce therapy and support services. In under-resourced districts, families could lose access to the very protections the 1970s laws were meant to guarantee. A review by the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities warned that these moves risk deepening inequities, leaving enforcement up to the uneven capacities of individual states.
Conclusion
The 2025 Trump administration’s changes didn’t repeal the landmark laws protecting students with disabilities — but they weakened the system that upholds them. Parents, advocates, and educators now face a tougher fight to ensure that every child, regardless of ability, continues to receive the education they are promised under federal law.
Sources
- Center on Budget and Policy Priorities — “Trump Administration Threatens Support for Children with Disabilities.”
- Education Week — “How Trump’s Layoffs Threaten Students with Disabilities.”
- Brookings Institution — “Trump Administration Weighs Future of Special Education Oversight and Funding.”
- Hechinger Report — “Parents, Advocates Alarmed as Trump Leverages Shutdown to Gut Special Education Department.”
Saudi Arabia Enters the Video Game Industry (Foreign Policy Brief #219)
Foreign Policy Brief #219 | Reilly Fitzgerald | 10/9/2025
Policy Summary
The Saudi Arabian Public Investment Fund (PIF) purchase of the video gaming company- Electronic Arts (EA)- comes with a $55 billion price tag. It is a joint-venture between the PIF and the private equity firm Silver Lake , and Jared Kushner’s Affinity Partners (another private equity firm). The purchase will take EA from a public company to a privately-owned company, which means that all of the stock in the company will be entirely owned by the PIF and Silver Lake, and cannot be purchased.
According to the BBC, $36 billion of the deal will be paid directly by the PIF and Silver Lake, and the remainder will be purchased with loans. The move is interesting on many levels, according to Axios, Saudi Arabia already had a 9.9% stake in EA prior to the purchase. Also, Jared Kushner is directly involved in the purchase involving Saudi Arabia at a time when he is in the Middle East (for the Gaza peace deal) as senior advisor to the President of the United States, his father-in-law, is quite intriguing if not worrying.
Analysis
Electronic Arts, known as EA, is one of the world’s most popular and prolific video gaming companies. Their games include EA FC (formerly known as the FIFA franchise of games), the Madden franchise, Battlefield, NBA, NHL, and many other wildly popular games! Video games is an industry with tremendous reach globally. Since 1993, 325 million copies have been sold around the world of EA FC, and FIFA as it was formerly known ; making it one of the most popular game series ever. In the United States, Madden is the most popular sports game which gets its name from NFL legend John Madden.
Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, or PIF, has been a soft power tool of the Saudi government. The PIF Fund has helped increase Saudi investment in various sectors and strengthen Saudi relationships with countries. PIF is a major owner and investor in football (or soccer) clubs around the world with the likes of Newcastle United in the UK.
Saudi’s investments in sports, in particular, has been labeled “sportswashing,” i.e. it has been a way for the Saudi Arabian government to increase its publicity and popularity while also maintaining a regime that violates human rights. Their move into new sectors and industries has also been a part of their Saudi Vision 2030 program which aims to diversify their entire economy away from traditional fossil fuels (which has propped their economies for decades) and transition into a post-oil world. Is the move to purchase EA a new moment of economic diversification, or is it more in the way of “sportswashing”? The answer isn’t totally clear.
Saudi Arabia has invested heavily in the video game industry for years. The Saudi PIF owns the Savvy Games Group, which in 2023 bought Scopely, a video game company that owns products like (the very popular) PokémonGO, MonopolyGO, and ScrabbleGO, among many other games. Scopely was bought by Savvy Games Group for $4.9 billion.
Saudi Arabia is also hosting the eSports World Cup, and the Olympic eSports Games in 2027 (an International Olympic Committee [IOC] event). The government is already involved with Nintendo and TakeTwo Interactive, which are both video game companies.
The Saudi Arabian PIF’s purchase of Electronic Arts (EA) comes with a $55 billion price tag, and is a joint-venture between the PIF and Silver Lake, which has direct ties to Jared Kushner’s Affinity Partners. The purchase will take EA from a public to a privately-owned company, which means that all of the stock in the company will be entirely owned by the PIF and Silver Lake, and cannot be purchased. According to the BBC, $36 billion of the deal will be paid directly by the PIF and Silver Lake, and the remainder will be purchased with loans.
The move is interesting on many levels, according to Axios, Saudi Arabia already had a 9.9% stake in EA prior to the purchase. Also, Jared Kushner being directly involved in the purchase involving Saudi Arabia at a time when he is in the Middle East (for the Gaza peace deal) as senior advisor to the President of the United States, his father-in-law, is quite intriguing if not worrying.
So, is it “sportswashing”, or “gamewashing”? It remains yet to be seen. However, it is clear that Saudi Arabia is interested in investing and purchasing brands around the world in various industries to increase their relations with foreign governments. It remains to be seen if this is a soft power tool, just a means to diversify their oil dependent economy into burgeoning industries.
Engagement Resources
- Saudi Vision 2030 – https://www.vision2030.gov.sa/en
- Savvy Games Group (PIF) – https://www.pif.gov.sa/en/our-investments/our-portfolio/savvy-games-group/
- Olympic eSports Games (IOC) – https://www.olympics.com/ioc/olympic-esports-games
Trump’s Termination of U.S. Exchange Programs Weakens America at Home and Abroad
Education Policy Brief #210 | Nicholas Gordon | October 23, 2025
Summary
Diplomatic “soft power” is related to a country’s ability to influence other nations through its core values and culture. American democratic values including a free press, the legal justice system, and foreign engagement programs are potent sources of American soft power. When public trust in these American democratic norms and institutions wanes, America stands to lose its invaluable soft power. Among President Trump’s many actions that diminish U.S. soft power—from his persistent, pernicious attacks on the American media, legal system, electoral process, universities, and allies, to his constant maligning of past U.S. presidents and his racist mocking of current U.S. politicians—it’s Trump’s attempt to terminate the nation’s long-running international exchange and aid programs that could have the most deleterious effects, making America weaker at home and abroad.
Analysis
In August, The Office of Management and Budget (OMB) announced plans to cut funding for at least 22 Bureau of Educational and Cultural Affairs (ECA) programs, deeming them “lower funding priorities.” No matter that congressionally approved funding for these programs was already established for fiscal year 2025 (FY25). While the executive branch is responsible for protecting and executing the constitutional laws and ensuring funds are properly appropriated, the Trump administration instead shows brazen disregard for congress’s ‘power of the purse,’ that is, its constitutional authority to designate funding for these federal programs.
The American Economy Will Suffer
Venerable U.S. exchange programs bolster America’s economy and security, help develop crucial networks and partnerships, and create leaders and change-makers. The nonprofit advocacy group the Alliance for International Exchange estimates that more than 8,000 Americans stand to lose their jobs with the OMB funding cuts to U.S.-based ECA-partner organizations, while the American economy will squander billions of dollars. Representatives from both parties recognize the crucial role exchange programs play not just in the American economy but also in driving American influence and contributing to U.S. foreign policy objectives. Senators Cory Booker and Susan Collins, among others, have urged the administration to respect Congress’s approved funding. The leaders emphasize that exchange programs are one of the best returns on investment in federal funding, with 90% of exchange funding spent on American educators, institutions, and communities.
Damaging Global Partnerships
The robust bipartisan support for U.S exchange programs that has existed for decades has enabled crucial global partnerships to develop. OMB’s funding cuts on exchange programs will undermine years of U.S. diplomatic efforts. Just as Trump’s dismantling of the 64-year-old U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID) was criticized by geopolitical analysts as a reckless abandonment of international relationships and support networks that took decades to build, the termination of exchange programs will further damage America’s credibility with global partners. Trashing the trust earned with allies is a blunder more costly than cutting foreign aid. Meanwhile, rivals like China and Russia could gain a competitive advantage by filling the void left by Washington’s retreat from partnerships with developing nations.
The Human Factor
U.S. Exchange programs provide a wealth of opportunities for education, relationship-building, and personal and professional growth. English Language Programs, for example, sends U.S. educators abroad to help build English language teaching capacity and foster cross-cultural understanding, which galvanizes the participants’ careers as they return home with expanded skill sets and enriched perspectives. The Community Engagement Exchange develops emerging civil society leaders with skills, resources, and networks to implement projects on civics, peacebuilding, and sustainability. The Community College Administrator Program trains international education leaders in postsecondary school administration, workforce development, and private sector partnerships.
American citizens participating in exchange programs embody American values of hard work, leadership, support, innovation, and collaboration. Participants have a chance to share their diverse perspectives and experiences, while learning about those of people from other countries, too. Friendships are forged; professional relationships are established. Building these cultural bridges leads to new projects that improve people’s lives and strengthen communities. In other words, there’s more than just money at stake here, which is something that a corrupt deal-maker might never understand: Trump is shattering the livelihoods and callings of hardworking Americans dedicated to bettering the country and the world through exchange programs.
No Going Back
While some of America’s partners might view Trump as an ugly aberration of America’s democratic leadership and await the return of a more diplomatically astute presence in the White House, many others will not. They will recognize that the America they trusted and shared values with does not exist anymore, and they will move on. American soft power will flounder in their wake. The rebuilding of these substantive U.S. global partnerships and the restoring of U.S credibility will not come easy, if it comes at all.
Engagement Resources:
- The Center for American Progress
- An independent, nonpartisan policy institute “dedicated to improving the lives of Americans through bold, progressive ideas, strong leadership and concerted action”
- Alliance for International Exchange
- “Promotes the growth and impact of U.S. international exchange programs and the effectiveness of its members, organizations, and companies”
- American Civil Liberties Union
- Non-profit organization that defends individual rights and liberties guaranteed by the U.S. Constitution and laws
The House Is on Fire: White America’s Own Civil War
Fortress Borders: the Rise of Anti-Immigrant Nationalism (Immigration Policy Brief #192)
Immigration Policy Brief #192 | Inijah Quadri | October 16, 2025
Policy Issue Summary
International migration continues to grow, with the UN’s International Organization for Migration (IOM) estimating there were 281 million international migrants globally in 2020. While much migration is South-South (between developing nations), displacement from conflict, climate change, and economic instability drives significant South-North movement. This visible migration has become a foundational issue for populist movements, particularly in Europe and North America, which frame migrants as a threat to cultural identity and national security. In response, governments are increasingly adopting deterrence-focused policies, raising significant human rights concerns.
In Europe, the EU’s Pact on Migration and Asylum entered into force on June 11, 2024, and will be applied after a two-year transition. It promises “strong and secure external borders” alongside common screening and fast-track procedures that make detention and returns easier. Core parts of the Pact include: (1) mandatory pre-entry screening (identity, health, security) typically within 7 days; (2) new fast-track “border procedures” to decide some asylum claims or refusals in up to 12 weeks (extendable), with more possibilities for detention; (3) expanded Eurodac fingerprint/biometrics (including for children) to track entries; and (4) a “solidarity” system where states can relocate people or pay financial contributions instead of relocating. Full application is expected from mid-2026 after the transition period.
At the national level, member states are also tightening controls. In Germany, a “Repatriation Improvement Act” took effect in Feb 2024 to speed deportations and expand detention/search powers. Germany and several neighbors also extended internal Schengen border checks (temporary controls reimposed at the borders between countries within Europe’s passport-free travel zone) into 2025 to curb irregular entries.
Europe is also aggressively outsourcing migration control. The EU’s migration deal with Tunisia (Memorandum of Understanding, July 16, 2023) tied over €1 billion in support to cooperation against irregular migration, including €105 million for border management. However, investigations in 2024–2025 documented widespread abuses by EU-funded Tunisian units, including beatings and the dumping of Black migrants in the desert, prompting renewed criticism. Simultaneously, Italy’s plan to process asylum seekers in Albania has been hit by a series of legal blows in 2025. While Italy signed a deal to transfer people intercepted at sea to Albanian centers for processing, courts have pushed back. In October 2024, the Court of Rome ordered 12 people returned from Albania to Italy, and in August 2025, the EU Court of Justice narrowed how “safe country” shortcuts can be used, delaying the scheme’s implementation.
In the United States, deterrence has shifted into overdrive. Refugee admissions have been frozen pending a new cap reportedly as low as 7,500 for FY2026. Authorities have redirected spy-satellite surveillance to the border and dismantled the CBP One app’s asylum scheduling function. CBP One was a mobile application that once scheduled asylum appointments at ports of entry. The app has been rebranded “CBP Home,” now tied to “self-deportation” and mass parole revocations.
Reports indicate the administration is preparing this record-low refugee cap for FY2026, with most reports suggesting priority will be given to white South African (Afrikaner) refugees. This selective pathway can be framed as prioritizing a nationality/minority group rather than setting an explicit racial quota, though rights groups criticize it as discriminatory. Even more, South Africa disputes that these white Afrikaners face persecution.
This trend is not limited to the Global North. In the Asia-Pacific region, restrictive policies are also gaining ground. Pakistan has resumed large-scale expulsions of Afghans, including people awaiting resettlement to the U.S., despite warnings from UN experts and humanitarian groups. In July–August 2025, after Proof-of-Registration cards expired, Pakistan restarted mass deportations/forced returns of Afghans, drawing formal warnings from UN human-rights experts. Meanwhile, in June 2023, Japan amended its Immigration Control and Refugee Recognition Act to allow deportation of people who apply for refugee status more than twice and to expand detention powers. Rights groups say this increases refoulement (the forced return of refugees or asylum seekers to a country where they are liable to be subjected to persecution) risks and Japan continues to recognize very few refugees each year.
The International Organization for Migration reports 2024 as the deadliest year on record for migrants worldwide, with the Mediterranean again among the most lethal routes. IOM recorded at least 8,938 deaths on migration routes in 2024 — the highest on record. Most deaths are from drowning (about 60% worldwide), followed by vehicle crashes, exposure/dehydration, and violence; the Mediterranean remained one of the deadliest corridors.
Analysis
The prevailing anti-immigrant nationalism promotes a simple, fear-driven narrative: borders are under siege, and only increasingly harsher government crackdown tactics can restore order. The EU Migration and Asylum Pact translates this narrative into law, institutionalizing swift border screenings, broadened detention, and a “return-first” mindset. Although the Pact contains formal rights language, its core design fundamentally shifts power toward containment and away from protection. Notably, the Pact formalizes expanded “border procedures” with curtailed in-country movement during processing and toughens data-collection rules in Eurodac.
This model’s inherent fault lines are starkly exposed through the externalization of border control. For example, Italy’s controversial Albania scheme attempts to move responsibility offshore, yet European courts have pushed back, challenging the idea that people can be expelled from the EU’s legal safeguards. Similarly, deals with nations like Tunisia involve exchanging funds for interdiction despite documented human rights abuses. This constitutes migration control by proxy, a system operating with less transparency and creating far greater risks for people on the move. Recent court and watchdog findings underline those risks: rulings in Rome and at the EU level have constrained “safe country” shortcuts, while reporting in 2024–2025 documented EU-funded Tunisian units committing abuses against Black migrants.
Pushbacks—summary expulsions without a genuine opportunity to seek asylum—have transitioned from isolated scandal to entrenched practice. In January 2025, the European Court of Human Rights (ECHR) affirmed these violations by ruling against Greece in several key cases. On 7 January 2025, the ECHR decided A.R.E. v. Greece and G.R.J. v. Greece, finding strong indications of systematic pushbacks to Türkiye and violations of Articles 3 and 13 (ill-treatment and lack of effective remedy). While such legal rulings are vital, they remain insufficient to end collective punishment at Europe’s edges unless paired with robust political will.
The tragic reality of sea rescues illustrates how specific policy choices cost lives. Humanitarian organizations, such as Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF), have extensively documented state obstruction, including detaining NGO ships, assigning intentionally distant ports, and creating hostile conditions that undermine lifesaving missions. When rescue is treated as a liability rather than a necessity, more people inevitably disappear at sea. Central Mediterranean departures typically involve overcrowded rubber dinghies or unseaworthy wooden boats leaving Libya or Tunisia. Under international maritime law (SOLAS and the SAR Convention), all vessels and states must rescue people in distress and disembark them in a “place of safety.” Rules that make NGO rescue ships travel to distant ports (like those in northern Italy) after each rescue add extra days at sea and keep them away from the search area. Italy has also repeatedly detained NGO vessels.
In the United States, physical deterrence is increasingly paired with digital controls. Authorities have curtailed port-of-entry asylum access, revoked the parole status of hundreds of thousands who entered via the CBP One app, and rebranded the app to push people toward “voluntary” departure. Simultaneously, the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) champions AI-driven surveillance, biometrics, and a “smart wall” as force multipliers. This technology, however, does not neutralize the underlying punitive politics; it merely automates them.
Legal and electoral challenges offer crucial avenues to slow the crackdown. In the U.S., Texas’s SB 4—which sought to allow state arrests of suspected undocumented migrants—was ultimately ruled unconstitutional by the Fifth Circuit in July 2025 and remains blocked. This means Texas still cannot enforce the law while the case continues. Across the Atlantic, the UK’s Supreme Court ruling in 2023, coupled with a change in government, effectively ended the controversial Rwanda offshoring plan, leading to thousands of asylum claims from people previously targeted for removal to Rwanda. These outcomes prove that these punitive policies can fail on the grounds of legality, cost, and basic efficacy.
A fundamentally different approach is possible. This involves expanding regular, safe migration pathways and establishing fair asylum processing. It means funding robust reception and integration services instead of relying on detention and outsourcing. Furthermore, it demands that rescue at sea be protected and enabled, and that surveillance be strictly limited to what is both necessary and rights-compliant. None of this is utopian; it builds on legal precedent, extensive watchdog reporting, and community resistance that have already forced course corrections. The essential choice is between systems that view and treat people as threats and systems that honor and treat people as human.
At the UN level, two key compacts set the framework: the Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration (2018, a non-binding agreement outlining objectives for managing migration) and the Global Compact on Refugees (2018, a framework for more predictable and equitable responsibility-sharing). The 2023 Global Refugee Forum (a quadrennial event to track progress and announce new pledges) produced over 1,750 pledges, totaling about $2.2 billion. Progress on the migration compact is reviewed every four years at the International Migration Review Forum (IMRF), with the next session scheduled for 2026.
Engagement Resources
- Human Rights Watch (https://www.hrw.org/): Reporting and advocacy on migration, pushbacks, and border surveillance.
- Amnesty International (https://www.amnesty.org/): Legal analyses and urgent actions on detention, externalization, and asylum access.
- ACLU (https://www.aclu.org/): Litigation and monitoring on U.S. immigration enforcement and civil liberties.
- Border Violence Monitoring Network (https://www.borderviolence.eu/): Field documentation of pushbacks and violence along the Balkan and Greek routes.
- Statewatch (https://www.statewatch.org/): Investigations into European border policing, surveillance, and the criminalization of solidarity.
- Alarm Phone (https://alarmphone.org/): Civil hotline supporting people in distress at sea and documenting non-assistance.
- Refugees International (https://www.refugeesinternational.org/): Policy reporting on displacement drivers, resettlement, and humanitarian access.
Coal Revival in the Age of Climate Emergency: Inside Trump’s New Energy Gamble (Environmental Policy Brief #183)
Environmental Policy Brief #183 | Charles Sweeney | October 13, 2025
In a move that has startled climate scientists and energy economists alike, the Trump administration recently unveiled a sweeping new initiative aimed at reviving America’s coalindustry—a sector long regarded as both an economic relic and a climate catastrophe. The plan, a mix of subsidies, deregulation, and export promotion, represents a dramatic reversal of the Biden-era shift toward renewable energy and the most significant policy intervention in favor of coal since the early 2000s.
At its core, the initiative seeks to achieve three things: restore federal price subsidies for coal producers, delay the scheduled closure of aging coal plants, and provide federal support to expand coal exports to global markets. To its proponents, the plan is a bid to bring economic life back to struggling mining towns across Appalachia and the Midwest. To its critics, it’s a dangerous political maneuver that risks undoing decades of progress toward global climate goals.
The Return of the Dirtiest Fuel
Coal, long known as the dirtiest fossil fuel, holds a notorious place in the climate ledger. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), coal alone has contributed nearly 1.62°F to 2.2°F rise in global average temperature since the Industrial Revolution began. Per unit of energy,coal releases more than twice as much carbon dioxide as natural gas, and its combustion produces additional pollutants—mercury, sulfur dioxide, and fine particulate matter—that directly harm human health.
Scientists warn that any resurgence in coal use will have far-reaching environmental consequences: deeper droughts, more intense hurricanes, and longer, deadlier heatwaves. The global climate system, already strained by accelerating emissions from transportation and agriculture, can ill afford a large-scale return to coal.
Climate and energy analysts describe the issue with fossil fuels, coal in particular, as “ a feedbackloop,” where the burning of more coal means more heat, which means higher energy demand forcooling, which then fuels the argument for more cheap power—often from coal again.
Deregulation by Design
The administration’s new coal plan leans heavily on deregulation. It repeals key parts of the Obama-era Clean Power Plan, replacing them with the more lenient Affordable Clean Energy (ACE) rule. The ACE rule reduces federal oversight over several toxic byproducts of coal burning, including coal ash disposal, mercury emissions, and methane leakage. These changes effectively weaken safeguardsdesigned to protect both the atmosphere and the water tables in coal-producing regions.
Environmental advocates warn that this rollback could result in elevated levels of mercury inwaterways and an increase in airborne particulates— both linked to respiratory illness and developmental issues in children.
Meanwhile, the new regulatory framework allows utilities to extend the lifespan of inefficient coalplants that were previously slated for retirement.
While deregulation may ease short-term costs for plant operators, experts note that it does little toaddress coal’s fundamental problem: it is no longer competitive. Even without strict regulations, renewable energy— particularly wind and solar—remains cheaper in most markets. The decision to double down on coal, then, appears driven less by economics and more by politics.
A Political Play with Global Stakes
Coal country remains a vital part of Trump’s political base. Once the backbone of American industrial might, many of these regions have suffered steep job losses and population decline asmines shuttered and automation reduced labor demand. By positioning himself as coal’s last champion, Trump is appealing to a demographic that feels left behind in the energy transition.
But global energy trends tell a different story. Despite rising demand for electricity—fueled by artificial intelligence, data centers, and electrification—most industrialized nations are investing in renewables and nuclear power rather than coal. China, the world’s largest coal consumer, hasindeed built new coal plants, but even there, the long-term trajectory points toward cleaner sources.
In the U.S., the connection between rising energy demand and new fossil fuel investment hasbecome especially visible through the lens of artificial intelligence. Mega-projects such as Project Stargate (a partnership between OpenAI, SoftBank, and Oracle), xAI’s Colossus in Tennessee, and Meta’s Hyperion in Louisiana have all required immense, reliable power sources. Yet even theseenergy-hungry facilities are turning to natural gas and nuclear power—sources that, while not carbon-free, are cleaner than coal.
An Uncertain Future for Energy Transition
The administration argues that coal could help stabilize electricity costs amid growing strain on thenational grid. But experts warn that subsidizing coal risks diverting billions from investments in renewable infrastructure and transmission lines that could deliver cheaper, cleaner energy in the long run.
A recent example underscores this concern: in July 2025, the Department of Energy canceled a $4.9 billion loan guarantee for the Grain Belt Express, an 800-mile transmission line designed to carry Kansas wind power to Illinois and Indiana. The project—shorter than similar ones already built in China—fell victim to political opposition from rural landowners and Republican lawmakers. For many climate advocates, the withdrawal signaled a broader retreat from renewable ambition.
The scientific verdict remains clear: a renewed embrace of coal will almost certainly slow, if not reverse, U.S. progress toward the emission-reduction targets established under the Paris Climate Accord. While the administration frames its coal initiative as an energy security measure, it may in fact deepen America’s dependence on outdated technologies—and lock in decades of additional carbon emissions.
In an age defined by climate volatility, Trump’s coal revival looks less like an energy policy and more like a bet against the planet’s future.
The Impact of New Energy Policy on the Coal Industry (Environmental Policy Brief #182)
Environmental Policy Brief #182 | William Campbell | October 2025
Most economic and energy analysts define coal as having an impending obsolescence, regardless of government intervention. Forcing more years out of coal plants that are aging past their end of life will end up passing unnecessary costs onto consumers. A study by independent consulting firm Grid Strategies has found that the real cost of mining defunct coal facilities will end up costing end consumers up to $6 billion a year USD.
Despite the administration’s efforts to revive the coal industry, economists project that consumer sensibilities will lead them to eventually start relying on more efficacious and financially solvent energy resources. As coal becomes precipitously less competitive, its market share will atrophy, even if funds are continuously pumped into it. In September of 2025, it was announced that $625 million would be apportioned for updating and retrofitting coal-producing facilities in the U.S.. However, it has generally been considered a fruitless endeavor, given that said sum won’t go far in modernizing decades-old plants.
Eliminating or relaxing restrictions on wastewater discharges from coal plants, as proposed by the Trump administration, would cause water treatment plants to operate at higher capacity and scrutiny. Assurances of air and water pollution control would disappear, increasing greenhouse gas emissions. The atmosphere would be filled with increased pollutants from heavy metals, mercury, soot, and sulfur dioxide, which are linked to chronic cardiovascular, neurological, and respiratory conditions, as well as cancer.
These would not only be a burden on the human condition, but it would cause a titanic strain on the healthcare industry and the productivity of the work force. The health and safety programs cut during the current administration would also cause problems for miners themselves. Deregulation has cut the number of inspections for worker safety, as well as free health screenings for workers. This could lead to a host of respiratory illnesses, not the least of which would be a systemic return of black lung disease. The workers needed for reclamation efforts in the mines have been cut, raising another flag that this project is going to be paid off by taxpayers, not the coal companies being subsidized. Analysts have stated that the current initiative to revive the coal industry is only going to create a short-term increase, as cheaper and safer options continue to grow in the market.
Policy Analysis
Given the number of pitfalls apparent in this move to prop up the coal industry, why has the current administration decided to do so? There are two main reasons: The first is to meet a rising demand for energy. With the technological boom of artificial intelligence (AI) and a reinvested attempt to grow America’s manufacturing sector, there is a growing need for power. For better or worse, the administration sees coal as the safest option to meet increased energy demand in part because it isn’t reliant on weather conditions as some renewable energy sources are. This said, most specialists have argued that through responsible grid management, the intermittency of solar and wind power would rarely, if ever, become a problem.
The second reason is to support US economic development through the support of job creation, deregulation, and a focus on domestic energy production. Deregulation campaigns will happen with or without this effort to treat coal as non-fungible. It has been part of the platform of conservative administrations for the last forty years, as has an effort to promote domestic energy use. Coal industry sponsored job creation might happen in the short term, but is unlikely to last in the face of a lack in the demand for coal.
Engagement Resources
Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR)