TRUMP RUSSIA INVESTIGATIONS
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Evidence Mounts of Trump Campaign Conspiracy with Russia, Anti-American Actors
By Jonathan Peter Schwartz Policy Summary Several revelatory developments emerged this week in the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election. To be sure, they hardly reveal the full scope of what special counsel Robert Mueller and his team may know,...
Evidence Mounts of Trump Campaign Conspiracy with Russia, Anti-American Actors
By Jonathan Peter Schwartz
Policy Summary
Several revelatory developments emerged this week in the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election. To be sure, they hardly reveal the full scope of what special counsel Robert Mueller and his team may know, but, taken together, they offer big clues to what Mueller will eventually report.
The week began with the collapse of the cooperation agreement between Paul Manafort and the special counsel’s office. Prosecutors for the special counsel accused Manafort of lying during his cooperation interviews about “a variety of subject matters.” The filing notified the court that any promises made to Manafort concerning leniency in his sentencing were voided. Under the terms of the plea agreement, Manafort could not withdraw his guilty plea. The special counsel can also proceed to try Manafort on a variety of further charges beyond those he has already been convicted of.
Most commentators found the logic of Manafort’s alleged perjury perplexing. It is possible that Manafort was telling the truth—this was his lawyers’ response to the filing—but few commenters found this possibility believable. The filing was especially definitive in its language, suggesting prosecutors have strong corroborating evidence for their allegations. This leaves only a few possible explanations for his behavior. Most concluded that Manafort must have received assurances of a presidential pardon. Speaking on Wednesday, Trump did nothing to tamp down this speculation, suggesting that pardoning Manafort was not “off the table.”
Wednesday brought further evidence of this possibility as Rudy Giuliani, Trump’s personal lawyer, acknowledged that Manafort’s legal team continued to brief Trump’s team about Manafort’s testimony to Mueller after the cooperation agreement. Manafort did this without informing the special counsel’s office, and Giuliani seemed to relish having outflanked the prosecution. Legal experts seemed to agree that Manafort and the Trump team’s actions were not illegal, but that they again raise serious ethical and political questions, especially as it relates to the question potential presidential pardons. However, some commentators suggested that this activity could add further evidence for a case of criminal conspiracy to obstruct justice on the part of Trump and his associates.
This possibility was given further support when Giuliani confirmed on Wednesday that Jerome Corsi, who is also a target of the Mueller probe, had entered into a joint defense agreement with Trump’s legal team. Corsi, a conservative conspiracy theorist, has been thought to be a peripheral character in this drama. It became evident on Tuesday, however, that his role in Russia’s 2016 election sabotage was now of crucial interest to the special counsel’s investigators. Corsi’s connection to the Trump campaign appears to have been based on his relationship with Republican dirty-trickster Roger Stone, a long-time friend of Trump and business partner of Manafort, who is widely viewed as potentially a key figure in facilitating any cooperation between the Trump campaign and Russian interference. Specifically, Stone appeared to have had prior knowledge of Russia’s email hacking of Hillary Clinton’s campaign chairman, John Podesta, whose emails were later released by Wikileaks at a key moment in the presidential campaign (during the controversy over Trump’s Access Hollywood video). When asked by the House Intelligence Committee about his advance knowledge of the Podesta emails, Stone’s explanation was that he had simply guessed on the basis of informal research.
However, on Tuesday Corsi shared with several news services draft documents of a plea deal with the special counsel’s office that he was about to reject. The potential plea agreement reveals that Mueller has evidence suggesting Stone and Corsi acted as facilitators and backchannels for apparent coordination between the Trump campaign and Wikileaks, who appeared to be working in tandem with the Russian Intelligence services who hacked Podesta and the Democratic National Committee’s emails.
Specifically, the special counsel has apparently gained possession of emails exchanged between Stone and Corsi during the summer of 2016 in which they appeared to be facilitating coordination between the Trump campaign and Wikileaks via its founder, Julian Assange. The emails show Corsi having contacted an intermediary who shortly after met with Assange. Corsi then conveyed the results of the meeting to Stone, whom the document claims was at the time in regular contact with members of the Trump campaign, “including then-candidate Donald J. Trump.” Stone has also admitted to this contact during summer 2016.
There were also reports of further collaboration between Trump associates and Wikileaks. Specifically, the Guardian reported on Tuesday that Manafort secretly visited Assange on several occasions prior to his joining the Trump campaign. Manafort vehemently denied the report, threatening The Guardian with libel litigation. Manafort’s intense response may be related to the possibility that the special counsel appears to have begun probing whether such a meeting took place according to reporting by Carl Bernstein.
Trump and the Republican leadership in Congress seemed to view these events in crisis mode. Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell squashed the possibility of legislation geared toward protecting the Mueller probe from interference from Trump and his recently installed acting attorney general, Matthew Whitaker. This is in spite of recent bipartisan indications of support, including that of Senate majority whip, John Cornyn. Trump, on the other hand, spent the past three days lambasting Robert Mueller over Twitter. And perhaps with good reason, as reports indicate that Trump was explicitly asked by Mueller in written questions whether he had prior knowledge of the Trump Tower meeting between his son, Trump-campaign officials and Russian operatives, and whether Roger Stone told him of the Wikileaks email dumps beforehand.
Analysis
Mueller appears to be closing in on Trump and other key figures in his orbit. We can hardly know for sure whether anything illegal was done in relation to the Russian sabotage campaign by the Trump campaign or Trump himself, but the evidence is mounting. Trump himself seems unhinged when it comes to Mueller, and has taken actions, such as installing a political hack and lacky as acting attorney general a day after the midterm elections or attempting to prosecute his political enemies on a whim, that are audaciously corrupt.
There is a growing body of evidence that he and his attorney Rudy Giuliani have orchestrated a wide-ranging coverup of what occurred in the summer of 2016. This is not speculation or conspiracy theory; this is the only possible conclusion that can be drawn from the known facts as gleaned from authoritative reporting and a special counsel investigation backed by the full force of the federal government (excluding, of course, the White House).
Every American has an interest in determining the truth of these claims. Hopefully, there really was not conspiracy between Donald Trump, his campaign and Russia and other anti-American actors. But if where’s smoke, there’s fire, the available facts suggest it is getting awfully hazy at the White House.
Resistance Resources
- ACLU has worked for almost 100 years to defend and preserve the individual rights and liberties guaranteed by the Constitution and laws of the United States.
- Protect the Investigation is a non-partisan initiative to educate the American people about the importance of the special counsel investigation and its current findings.
- Propublica exposes abuses of power and betrayals of the public trust by government, business, and other institutions, using the moral force of investigative journalism to spur reform through the sustained spotlighting of wrongdoing.
- Law Works engages bipartisan voices and educates the public on the importance of the rule of law, the role of the special counsel in the justice system, and the integrity of our judicial institutions.
- Nobody is Above the Law is a clearinghouse for organizing events to protect the Mueller probe.
- Stand Up America is an organization born after the outpouring of resistance to Donald Trump’s election in 2016. They are committed to providing you with the information you need to take impactful action and make your voice heard.
This brief was submitted by U.S. RESIST NEWS environment/at-large policy analyst Jonathan Peter Schwartz: Jonathan@usresistnews.org
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A U.S. RESIST NEWS SPECIAL REPORT; Trump’s League of Tyrants: A Guide to Authoritarian Leaders Around the World
By USRN Analysts Erin Mayer and Colin Shanley
One of the most pervasive misreadings of the 2016 election is that Trump is simply an aberration who somehow slipped through the cracks of our otherwise stable institutions, and into a position of power. This view of Trump as a corrupting peculiarity rather than a direct creation of a society undergoing a series of compounded pressures is refuted by the emergence of a number of parallel figures around the world. A neoliberal project peddled as a global consensus beginning with the rise of Reagan and Thatcher has been ultimately realized in the form of backsliding democracy, refugee crises, ecological collapse, weakened labor power, and an ever-growing chasm of inequality.
Political parties, compromised by corporate hegemony, are often unable to identify the root causes of social issues and are left with forming a political culture of scapegoating and absurdity. With no strong alternatives calling for a just and equal society, many have become convinced of a more nihilistic solution. Reckoning from the start that there are simply not enough resources to go around, these political movements support leaders willing to bypass many social norms to rigidly enforce pre-existing social hierarchies. This often takes the form of extreme nationalism, the dismissal of the press or the concept of objective truths, the nostalgic celebration of traditionalist social relations at the expense of social justice, the subjugation of the poor, and the embrace of violence. Here we look at five of these figures: Jair Bolsonaro, Viktor Orban, Recep Erdogan, Rodrigo Duterte, and Andrzej Duda, as well as their relationships with Trump.
Jair Bolsonaro
Jair Bolsonaro, the most recent reactionary authoritarian to rise out of divided social conditions, was elected on October 28th to be the new President of Brazil. The country – the fifth most populated in the world – has for decades struggled with a political culture ridden with corruption and a society divided between wealthier upper classes and the poorer residents of the favelas, which have become a hotbed of crime. Founding member of the center left-wing Workers Party Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, popularly known simply as Lula, served as President from 2003 to 2010, and enacted social programs to reduce hunger and increase education. Despite leaving office with a 90% approval rating, Lula was convicted just this year on a dubious corruption charge, preventing him from running again for the Presidency. This forced the Workers Party to run Fernando Haddad, an almost unknown candidate, against Bolsonaro.
Bolsonaro is an outsider candidate, willing to be more direct in his attitude towards nationalism and violence than the evaporating traditional conservative movement. He was elected largely by the white, wealthy portions of the populace, who have a greater interest in preserving what remains of the social stratification built during the country’s colonization. While this story may sound familiar to American readers, what separates him from Trump is how radically further he is both willing and able to advance this far-right agenda. Brazil’s military dictatorship only ended in 1985, which Bolsonaro has spoken fondly of. A former army captain, Bolsonaro lamented only that the regime failed to kill enough people. He has amassed a record of incendiary remarks towards every oppressed group imaginable. His solution to poverty and crime is violent suppression of the favelas, accepting in advance the deaths of innocents. The preservation of the rainforest and the indigenous communities they contain are simply obstacles to Bolsonaro’s plan for economic growth. Echoing Chile’s Pinochet regime of the 70’s and 80’s, which he has also complimented, Bolsonaro hopes to unleash neoliberal reforms on the country, privatizing vast swaths of the public sector and allowing for a corporate takeover of major institutions.
President Trump took the opportunity to congratulate Bolsonaro on his victory. His National Security Advisor John Bolton called Bolsonaro “like-minded” during a speech announcing new sanctions on what he referred to as the “troika of tyranny”: Venezuela, Cuba, and Nicaragua. This suggests that Trump sees Bolsonaro as a strategic partner in the struggle between countries trying to reverse the consequences of imperialism and those trying to maintain it. While some of the international media has cautiously decried Bolsonaro, many have downplayed the danger he poses. Most major media companies are not comfortable openly supporting a candidate who can without hyperbole be called a fascist but his neoliberal market reforms are a strong enticement. The Wall Street Journal essentially endorsed him shortly before his election, and US investors have responded positively to his success.
Viktor Orban
Viktor Orban, leader of Hungary’s far-right Fidesz party, first reached national recognition in 1989 after delivering a speech commemorating the martyrs of the 1956 Hungarian Uprising, during which he called for the withdrawal of Soviet troops from the country. He first served as Prime Minister from 1998-2002 before being elected again in 2010 due to the collapse of the social democratic MSZP party. Taking his eat with a two-thirds parliamentary majority, Orban was able to alter the constitution to reduce the rights of same-sex unions, and heavily reduce the number of his part’s Parliamentary seats, widely considered an anti-democratic power grab. Orban went on to set a 16% flat tax rate and erected a wall on the Serbian and Croatian border to prevent immigration.
Orban, an advocate of what he calls an “illiberal democracy” has heavily utilized anti-Semitic rhetoric to galvanize his base, accusing Hungarian-born Jewish billionaire George Soros of financing his political opposition and hoping to destroy the country with a flood of Muslim immigrants. According to the Intercept, “the billionaire’s Open Society Foundations provide just $3.6 million a year to Hungarian rights groups and independent media. The prime minister’s office, by contrast, spent in excess of $50 million in public money last year on advertising that attacked the philanthropist”. He has praised Miklos Horthy, the World War II leader of Hungary, who introduced antisemitic laws and collaborated with the Nazi party. Orban spoke of last April’s election as a referendum on the racial identity of the country, stating “Either we will remain a Hungarian country, a country that we know and love and in which we feel at home; or others will come here, and a country with a mixed population will come into being — with different cultures, parallel societies, and all the related consequences that we can see in Western Europe.”
This rhetoric is in direct parallel with Trump’s in the United States. Trump has called Tuesday’s Midterm elections the “caravan election” and has questioned whether George Soros was funding the caravan, despite any evidence to support such claims. For this reason Orban has found an ally in Trump, a sharp turn from his frigid relationship with Obama. Orban is an asset for Trump. His anti-Immigration policies validate Trump’s, and by supporting a European nationalist Trump undermines the European Union, whom Trump has called a “foe”.
Recep Erdogan
Recep Erdogan was elected to the Presidency of Turkey in 2014, following a period as Prime Minister from 2003-2014 during which he oversaw negotiations for Turkey’s membership in the EU, and a growing economy thanks to liberal economic policy. While largely popular as Prime Minister, the final years of his term were spent suppressing dissent and enacting Islamist policies, which alienated the more secular, liberal elements of the country.
In July of 2016, the Turkish government was the subject of a failed military coup. Erdogan blamed Turkish preacher Muhammad Gulen, who is currently living in exile in Pennsylvania, for the coup. This was not completely out of the ordinary for Turkey, a country which has experienced military led coups in 1960, 1971, 1980, and 1997, generally in the interest of maintaining secular order. However, both German and British officials have stated that they have found no evidence to support Erdogan’s version of events, and he has certainly capitalized on the on his resurgence in support. Immediately following the coup, Erdogan initiated a purge of opposition journalists, academics, politicians, and military officers. The coup was used to justify a referendum in April of 2017 which handed Erdogan complete control of the budget, military, and judiciary, as well as allowing him to dissolve the parliament and retain his seat until 2029.
President Trump and President Erdogan have little in common ideologically. Trump has attempted to ban Muslims from entering America, while Erdogan is a believer in political Islam. Trump despises the EU, whereas Erdogan has long sought to enter Turkey into the organization’s roster. While Turkey has been an ally of the United States in the Syrian war, Erdogan himself has never been popular within the US. Nevertheless, Trump has gotten along far better with Erdogan than once might expect. Just hours before Erdogan set his bodyguards on Americans protesting Turkey’s treatment of the Kurdish people, Trump announced that it was “a great honor” to welcome Erdogan to the White House, and later called him a “friend”. Relations have gotten colder this past year, with Trump enacting tariffs in response to an American pastor detained in Turkey under allegations of involvement with the 2016 coup. The few factors that Trump and Erdogan seem to share – a willingness to override traditional process to correct perceived grievances – may be what ultimates prevents a strong US-Turkish alliance in the years to come.
Andrzej Duda
Andrzej Duda of the conservative Eurosceptic Law and Justice Party, was born in 1972. Duda often refers to his years with the Boy Scouts with great satisfaction. It is important to keep in mind, that in Poland, the term “boy scout” is connected with a sense of upstanding patriotism as many scouts fought as children and, sadly, died during the Warsaw Uprising in 1944. Although completely unknown today, around the year 2000, Duda began working for the liberal Unia Wolnosci or the “Freedom Union”.
In the early 2000’s, a shift came and he began making a name for himself in conservative politics, going on to become a member of the national conservative Law and Justice Party (PiS). By 2005, he officially became legal specialist soon after a parliamentary election victory. Later, from 2008-2010, Duda worked as Presidential Chancellery under Lech Kaczynski. Following Kaczynski’s guidance, Duda would move quickly from government position to position with rapid success. In the election of 2015, he surprised the country when he won against incumbent Bronislaw Komorowski of the centrist Civic Platform. This would become the tightest presidential election in Poland’s history. Many would credit Duda’s success to the public frustration with the Civic Platform’s inability to address issues related to employment, wages and general economic growth.
This same level of discontent also helped Duda’s Eurosceptic Law and Justice party win parliamentary elections in the fall of 2017. Once again, the future president would be involved in a historic moment for his country, as this would become the first single-party victory in Poland’s history as a democracy. Duda’s work in parliament, from 2011-2014, gained public approval for his bipartisan approach, and helped later to have him elected to the European Parliament. In 2014, the twin brother of the former President Lech Kaczynski and party chairman, Jaroslaw Kaczynski, made an unexpected statement when he announced that Duda would be running as the presidential candidate for the PiS. Duda declared that by running for president he would be Lech Kaczynski’s “spiritual heir” and won the office in 2015.
During his first two years as President, Duda has been referred to, critically, as the “notary” for the Conservative Law and Justice party (PiS), because, with one exception. In 2017 that Duda would separate himself from Kaczyński’s views by vetoing two divisive laws that would have ended the independence of the Polish judiciary. Previous to the veto, thousands of Polish citizens had protested the laws, taking to the streets in hopes to bend the President’s ear. Countless Poles and even Duda’s own colleagues were shocked by rejection and what many would call a betrayal of party.
In February of this year , Duda signed a law that would ban citizens from condemning Poland for participating in Holocaust horrors carried out by Nazi and condemning concentration camps as being referred to as “Polish death camps“. The president’s controversial decision led to tensions with the United States and Israel. Many disagreed with this stance as it seemed to threaten freedom of speech laws, but to many it suggested that Duda would not back down to the United States.
However, all ideas of such behavior would soon be shot down, during a press conference, in September. The Polish President would play into Trump’s ego by offering to not only open a U.S. military base in Warsaw, but by also suggesting it be called, “Fort Trump”. President Donald Trump has advocated placing a base in Warsaw as long as Poland “is willing to make a very major contribution to the United States.” Duda, hopes the base will strengthen relations to the United States and help secure his country against a gradually more antagonistic Russia.
The Trump administration has not yet confirmed the building of a military base in Poland. Many are skeptical of the possibility of such a project and how it would sit with neighboring Russia; a country with a controversial relationship with President Trump but that has also historically criticized Poland for hosting thousands of US and NATO troops. A permanent base would cause friction with Russia, as this would put American troops extremely close to Russian borders. Retired Lt. Gen. Ben Hodges, who led the US Army in Europe until this past December, speculated that opening a U.S. base in Poland may allow Russia the chance to claim NATO to be an antagonist and to take action in order to defend Russia’s sovereignty.
Rodrigo Duterte
Rodrigo Duterte was elected president of the Philippines on platforms that were largely built on pledged executions of drug dealers and other criminals. The president whose nicknames include “Duterte Harry” and “The Punisher,” highlight the leader’s take on extremely violent punishments. Duterte has been rebuked by numerous human rights organizations for the killings of thousands of citizens in the name of his war on drugs and crime.
In many ways Duterte is a parochial politician. The president has been considered an outcast by the traditional Manila elite from early on, due to his violent history. Duterte was mayor of Davao City for seven terms and 22 years, where he ran the city as his own fiefdom. It was here he earned the nickname “the death squad mayor” reportedly due of the bands of assassins he sent to kill alleged drug dealers and addicts. Publicly, Duterte refuted any participation in the murders, but also celebrated their actions. He even went as far as to compare himself to Adolf Hitler in the killings of millions of drug addicts. In 2015 Duterte pledged to execute 100,000 criminals and leave their corpses in Manila Bay to fatten up the local fish. Duterte’s daughter, Sara Duterte, is the current mayor of Davao City.
After a long reign as Mayor of Davao City, Duterte launched his Presidential campaign. He repeatedly made off handed comments, often joking about human rights violations, including the mockery of a rape and murder of a female missionary during the 1989 prison riot. During an interview, he is recorded as saying, “they raped her, they lined up to her. I was angry she was raped, yes that was one thing. But she was so beautiful, I thought the mayor should have been first. What a waste.”
Even so, on May 30 of 2016, Rodrigo Duterte was elected president of the Philippines. Directly following his Presidential inauguration, on June 30th of 2016, the new leader entered Tondo, reportedly the poorest section of Manila. As he spoke, he proudly gave the crowd permission to murder any drug addicts in the vicinity. The Filipino President’s savage takes on drugs has led to the murdering of thousands of the countries’ most impoverished people, sadly including numerous children. Duterte has publically referred to the innocent juveniles killed in the clash as ‘collateral damage’. The Children’s Legal Rights and Development Center claims, in first six months of Duterte’s war on drugs, an estimated 31 children were murdered, starting at age 4.
President Duterte has made his feelings of United States’ Presidents very clear. In just his first months in office, Duterte made a number of alarming comments toward the US, a country deemed as a longstanding ally of the Philippines. Once calling Obama the “son of a whore”, Duterte threatened to “break up” with the United States and expanded on his sentiments by telling President Barack Obama to “go to hell.”
Duterte does not seem to have the same sentiment toward the current US President, Donald Trump. During a speech, in Israel, this past September, Duterte was quoted saying the United States and Philippine affiliation had flourished under his “good friend” in the Oval Office, who “speaks my language”, he went on to say. However, Trump and Duterte are widely regarded as two of most impetuous presidents today, often making accusations without concern for factual accuracy.
Shocking many, only days after referring to President Trump as a “friend”, President Duterte turned on him when asked about the 6.4 percent inflation in August, he accused Trump’s economic policies as culprit. Duterte was quoted, “Who started it? America. When America raised its rates, everyone raised theirs as well. That is how it is. There is nothing we can do…Because America…Trump wanted it.” Later Manila’s central bank disagreed with its president, stating rapid inflation is actually thanks to the Philippines’ leaders’ new taxes.
Nonetheless, many speculate the U.S. and the Philippines are peacefully working on their mildly strained relations as they set aside past grievances in the face of a mutual perceived threat, China. As Trump’s trade war with China seems to be growing, the US is reaffirming its prior foothold in Southeast Asia and is therefore seeking to reinstate associations with allies, such as the Philippines. However, this may be short lived as soon the Philippines will have its midterm elections, and thus far, the Senate race has been led by independents like Grace Poe, while the President’s allies have been notably coming up short in the polls. If Duterte is unseated it would leave Trump’s administration in a particularly unfortunate situation.
Photo by Jørgen Håland
THE DEMOCRATIC CIVILITY OFFENSIVE
Ron Wolf:
The victorious Democrats flooded the zone on the Sunday morning political talk shows. Likely Speaker Nancy Pelosi and ranking members of key house committees who are in line to become the chairmen hit the airwaves to explain their priorities. The guests included Rep. Adam Schiff of the Intelligence Committee, Rep. Jerry Nadler of the Judiciary Committee and Elijah Cummings of the Government Oversight Committee.
Apart from any specific actions they said they would pursue, the overall message they presented was a dramatic change in the tone of our politics. Throughout the midterm campaign, Democratic candidates and the party leadership showed great discipline in avoiding name-calling, insults, demonization, accusations and calamitous predictions invoked by their opponents. They generally refused to play the game by Trumpian rules.
The incoming Democratic House leadership displayed that same discipline Sunday morning. They were calm, assured and firm. There was no post-election gloating — no spiking of the ball or dancing in the end zone.
The overall impression is that the strategy for the Democrats now will be a civility and decency offensive. They appear eager to present a sharp contrast to their GOP counterparts by avoiding all the fake macho posturing and bluster and wild accusations we’ve seen from the GOP throughout the campaign.
Ron Wolf is a retired daily newspaper journalist based in California who continues to write about politics and the media. He can be reached at ronwolf@outlook.com
Photo by History in HD
Midterm Takeaways
By Julian Mitchell-Israel
- In seizing the House, we took a step out of the mire of hateful politics that has been steadily consuming our country. This was a hard-fought victory, and anyone who voted, who worked on a campaign, who believed in the great people of our country, should be proud. Patriotism is not only for the right, and this is one of those moments when I am struck with a total reverence for the notions our nation is built on.
- We did not win. Do not fool yourself into thinking that last night was a great, or perhaps even good, night because we took back the House. We failed to live up to our civic promise in many races, including in the two Senate seats we lost. Don’t believe me? Look at the down-ballot races in many states: Ohio, for instance, got absolutely demolished. All but three Democratic candidates that were on my ballot lost.
- We, once again, overestimated the blue wave and overestimated ourselves. Our candidates were not as strong as we thought they were, we did not fight as hard or as smart as we thought we thought we fought, and we did not reach the American people. This is sorely disappointing. It means we have a long way to go before the left reaches the point we so desperately thought we had reached.
- It may seem as though these losses are a reproach of the liberal American spirit, and are a message that America isn’t a place ready for progressivism. It may seem that, with all our ducks lined up in a row, it was still impossible to surmount the will of hate. We did not get the rebuke of Trump’s cowardice that a sweeping victory would have been. Despite this, we must remember: “When we have faced down impossible odds, when we’ve been told we’re not ready or that we shouldn’t try or that we can’t, generations of Americans have responded with a simple creed that sums up the spirit of a people: Yes, we can.” If we let ourselves be sated by this small victory, if we let ourselves feel run down by these defeats, we leave behind this creed. There is still much to do, perhaps even more than before, so we MUST stand back up and keep moving. We have a direction, we have a clear fight to fight, and there is more potential than ever for improvement. We can make a change, we can make the right choices, and we can once again find those hopeful pillars of America.
Julian Mitchell-Israel is a leftist activist, community organizer, and second year student at Oberlin College. He has organized for campaigns in Brooklyn, Ohio, and Missouri, and serves as the chair of the Oberlin Student Progressive Front.
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Paul Manafort Cooperates and Trump Reverses Decision to Declassify Documents
Earlier this month, Paul Manafort agreed to cooperate fully with the Mueller investigation. As part of a plea agreement following his trial on numerous charges, Manafort has forfeited over 46 million dollars in assets, including several homes in New York City and the Hamptons, as well as several bank accounts. As part of this agreement, Manafort will not appeal the charges from his previous trial which stemmed from allegations of tax fraud and other charges. Only a few days prior, Manafort’s legal team had met with members of Trump’s legal team, including Rudy Giuliani, leading to speculation that Manafort would remain close-lipped about any information he had related to the ongoing investigation.
In response to the announcement that Manafort would cooperate, Giuliana released a statement saying “Once again an investigation has concluded with a plea having nothing to do with President Trump or the Trump campaign. The reason: the president did nothing wrong and Paul Manafort will tell the truth.” Interestingly, this statement was soon after revised to remove the phrase “the president did nothing wrong.” While it certainly does not mean anything on its own, it is interesting to consider why the Trump team would take the time to edit this statement so carefully when the president himself is often fast and reckless in his own tweets. It would seem that as the investigation gains speed and midterms draw near, even the suggestion that the president is capable of doing something wrong may further erode both the president’s approval numbers and the slim majority that his party currently enjoys in congress.
Perhaps in retaliation, or perhaps in a desperate attempt to derail the investigation, president Trump ordered documents related to the investigation declassified in a move that riled politicians on both sides of the spectrum. Immediately following this announcement, Mark Warner, a Democrat from Virginia and outspoken advocate for the Mueller investigation, tweeted: “The President shouldn’t be declassifying documents in order to undermine an investigation into his campaign or pursue vendettas against political enemies. He especially shouldn’t be releasing documents with the potential to reveal intelligence sources.” A few days later, on September 21st, Tump backed-off of the order, tweeting that “I met with the DOJ concerning the declassification of various UNREDACTED documents. They agreed to release them but stated that so doing may have a perceived negative impact on the Russia probe. Also, key Allies’ called to ask not to release.” Trump had received criticism from numerous intelligence officials requesting that he not move forward with the declassification of the documents, “warning that sources and methods could be revealed”. Britain also voiced serious objections to the declassification of investigation documents, concerned that “The material includes direct references to conversations between American law enforcement officials and Christopher Steele, the former British spy who compiled a dossier alleging ties between the Trump campaign and Russia.”
This Entry into USRN’s Russia Investigation blog was submitted by Thomas Wellesley: contact Tom@usresistnews.org
The Case of Paul Manafort—Part 1
The first trial of President Trump’s former campaign manager Paul Manafort has now concluded with his conviction on 8 of 18 counts. A verdict could not be reached on the remaining 10. Manafort has long been a person of interest in the Russian Collusion investigation, stemming from his close ties to Moscow and the work he and Roger Stone did for Trump in the 1980’s as a lobbyist. Black, Manafort, Stone & Kelly, the firm Manafort helped start, lobbied on gambling and real estate issues on behalf of Trump in the 1980’s. The firm also worked on behalf of the Nigerian and Kenyan governments in 1991, who at that point where well known for human rights abuses, as well as Angolan rebels and associates of Philippine dictator Ferdinand Marcos. It should come as no surprise then Manafort went on much later to work for pro-Russian Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych, helping him win the election in 2010. Yanukovych was ousted from power in 2014. Manafort’s Moscow ties go deeper than his connections to Viktor Yanukovych. Manafort’s tax records from Cyprus, a known tax haven, show that prior to joining the Trump campaign, he was in debt to pro-Russian interests as deeply as $17 million.
Manafort was indicted by Special Counsel Robert Mueller in October of 2017 for 12 counts related to money laundering, tax fraud, and making false statements. In February of this year, a grand jury added additional charges against Manafort and his associate Rick Gates stemming from income tax and bank fraud related to their work for Viktor Yanukovych. This past June, Mueller brought further charges against Manafort, this time for obstruction of justice for trying to influence potential witnesses while out on bail. Subsequently, Judge Amy Berman Jackson revoked Manafort’s bail and ordered he remain in jail pending trial.
After delays and a denied request to change the trial’s location, the first trial began on July 31st (Manafort’s second trial, for money laundering and failing to register as a foreign agent, begins September 17th). On day one, Prosecutors allege that Manafort “believed the law did not apply to him.” Assistant U.S. Attorney Uzo Asonye stated that “A man in the courtroom believed the law did not apply to him, not the tax laws, not the banking laws. That man is the defendant, Paul Manafort.” Asonye further argued that “Paul Manafort placed himself and his money over the law.” Judge Ellis warned Asonye to stick strictly to the evidence, interrupting his description of Manafort’s lavish spending habits. Asonye maintained that Manafort “regularly lied about his business and income, and… directed staffers to file falso tax returns to deceive the U.S. government.” He also argued that Manafort was “Paid handsomely” by oligarchs who funded the campaign.
The prosecution rested its case after 10 days of testimony. The prosecution’s final witness was a Treasury Department agent who testified that “Manafort’s consulting companies did not disclose their foreign bank accounts.” Over two dozen witnesses testified that Manafort earned in the neighbourhood of $60 million as a political consultant for pro-Russian elements in Ukraine, and that the money was stashed in as many as 31 offshore bank accounts. There were also depictions of Manafort’s lavish lifestyle, “half a million dollars [sic] worth of antique rugs, $750,000 spent on landscaping for his $13 million Bridgehampton mansion, and more than $1 million for clothing, including a $15,000 jacket made of ostrich skin.”
Perhaps the most damning testimony came from Rick Gates, who “testified at length about the criminal activity he said he was involved with and at the behest of Manafort, his former business partner.” Government witnesses stated that Manafort hid more than $16 million from the IRS. The defense attempted to portray Rick Gates as the real criminal, and Manafort as merely a patsy. The defense rested without calling any witnesses, claiming that the government “failed to meet its burden of proof.” The defense rested without calling any witnesses.
In closing arguments, defense attorney Richard Westling said that “Manafort became the special counsel’s victim in a ‘selective process of pulling’ his financial records to concoct a narrative of an ‘elaborate fraud scheme.’” The defense’s key strategy seemed to be the discrediting of key witnesses, and the portrayal of Manafort’s’ trial as a targeted attack by special counsel Mueller. Westling urged the jury to “hold the government to its burden,” meaning the burden of proof.
As the date of Manafort’s second trial nears, the stakes are certainly looking even higher for Manafort. When all is said and done, if he is convicted of more of charges brought against him, Manafort is looking at life in prison. Mark Corallo, from Trump’s legal team put it aptly, “the din of the verdict will be deafening.” This has indeed been the case, as Manafort’s conviction seems to have added even more intensity to talks of impeachment, and it would seem that Trump will not be able to passively deny his involvement for much longer.
Whether or not Manafort’s conviction is the first domino remains to be seen, but it does certainly seem to vindicate Mueller. All the while, Trump continues to refrain his now iconic line “rigged witch hunt” all across twitter. Meanwhile, rumors of a presidential pardon continue to swirl. Rudy Giuliani has stated in the past that a pardon is possible, and that the president is fully within his rights to do so. Trump stated publicly that he has considered a Manafort pardon. However, Sarah Sanders later stated in a press brief that Trump is not considering a pardon for Manafort, adding yet another conflicting statement to the ever growing rift between the president’s statements and those of his press secretary.
Manafort’s second trial date is set for September 12th in Washington, D.C. A federal judge refused Manafort’s request to move the trial to Roanoke, and has stated that 12 jurors were found who could judge the case without bias.
This Entry into our Russia Blog post was submitted by Thomas Wesley: Contact: Tom@usreaistnews.org
Switching Sides? Trump attacks NATO, Praises Putin.
President Trump’s July 16th meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin in Helsinki quickly became a source of significant controversy both at home and throughout NATO. In a shocking reversal of decades of presidential decorum, President Trump took the opportunity to praise the Russian president while admonishing members of NATO. It would perhaps be more shocking if it weren’t so expected.
In the week leading up to the widely anticipated summit, Trump took the opportunity to criticize NATO members Germany and the United Kingdom. At a bilateral breakfast in Brussel’s, Trump levied a remarkable attack on Germany for, ironically, what he perceives as servility to Russian interests stemming from a $12 billion pipeline proposal between Germany and Russia. In addition, Trump criticized Germany, as well as NATO as a whole, for not spending enough money on defence. The latter of these two criticisms is not entirely surprising in itself. Military spending has long been a point of contention between the United States and other NATO nations, as the US far outspends any other member nations on defence. This inequality has led to the perception among Americans of the US being the guardian of Europe, often to the detriment of the American citizen. It should be noted that even Barack Obama criticized other NATO nations for not spending enough on their militaries, albeit somewhat more gracefully. The former allegation, however, comes as a complete surprise given what the public knew, at this point, of the magnitude of Russian interference in the 2016 election. It is even more baffling considering what happened at the Helsinki summit not even a week later.
It would seem that Trump’s visit abroad left something of a trail of agitated US allies, as he also took the opportunity to blast Prime Minister Theresa May’s Brexit compromise. In an exclusive interview, The Sun reported that Trump warned “any attempts to maintain close ties with the EU would make a lucrative US trade deal very unlikely.” Trump also stated that “If they do a deal like that, we would be dealing with the European Union instead of dealing with the UK, so it will probably kill the deal.” Trump also took the opportunity to blast EU members for allowing in migrants, criticize London Mayor Sadiq Khan for a supposedly weak stance on terrorism, and oddly enough maintain that he would “keep ties with Russian tyrant Vladimir Putin despite the Salisbury Novichok poisonings.” Delivered in typically blunt Trump fashion, the remarks prompted some shock and outrage in the UK. Trump’s visit was met with thousands of protestors, who likely would have shown regardless of his comments, as the president is unsurprisingly unpopular abroad.
These two incidents in particular would suggest that President Trump is, perhaps deliberately, driving a wedge between NATO nations. This of course puts Russia in an advantageous position, but, is this what Trump wants?
President Trump and Russian President Putin met in a two hour, closed door meeting on July 16th. The press conference following the meeting has been commonly referred to in the media as the Helsinki Summit. You can find the official White House transcript of the summit here. At this summit, Trump took the opportunity to openly rebuke the US intelligence community, declining to endorse the US government’s assessment that Russia interfered in the 2016 Election. Trump instead supported Vladimir Putin’s denial of the allegations. Trump stated that “President Putin was extremely strong and powerful in his denial today.”
When asked if he wanted Trump to win the 2016 election, President Putin said “Yes I did. Because he talked about bringing the US-Russia relationship back to normal.” Of the allegations that he has collected compromising information on President Trump, Putin stated “I heard these rumors that we allegedly collected compromising material on Mr. Trump when he was visiting Moscow… When President Trump was at Moscow back then, I didn’t even know that he in Moscow. … I treat President Trump with utmost respect. But back then, when he was a private individual – a businessman – nobody informed me that he was in Moscow… It’s difficult to imagine an utter nonsense of a bigger scale than this. Please just disregard these issue and don’t think about this anymore again.” “Russia has never interfered in and is not going to interfere in US internal affairs, including the elections,” Putin stated. “If there are any specific materials, if they are presented, we are ready to review them together.” Trump called the election interference probe “a disaster for our country.” He later backpedalled on his criticisms reading from a prepared script that he has “full faith” in US intelligence communities, claiming that he misspoke in Helsinki.
Putin’s remarks stand in stark contrast to the findings of the US intelligence community, which has concluded that there is a very high likelihood that Russia interfered in the 2016 elections to the benefit of Donald Trump’s campaign. Trump’s own appointee, Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats, warned that “We have been clear in our assessments of Russian meddling in the 2016 election and their ongoing, pervasive efforts to undermine our democracy, and we will continue to provide unvarnished and objective intelligence in support of our national security.” Even House Speaker Paul Ryan, who generally sides with the President issued a statement saying that “The President must appreciate that Russia is not our ally. There is not moral equivalence between the United States and Russia, which remains hostile to our most basic values and ideals.”
The summit between Trump and Putin has been billed as an historic one, though perhaps not for great reasons. Never before in US history has a president taken this sort of opportunity to diminish the credibility of American intelligence agencies in the face of a long-standing geo-political adversary. Expectedly, the criticism of Trump’s comments in Helsinki has been widespread. Mark Sanford (R-S.C.) said “The comments were so egregious they’ve crossed the tripwire, and you see Republicans speaking out in a way you really haven’t before. This was about the country. It cuts to a nerve in the American psyche and the psyche of the Republican party.” Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) went on to state that “There’s a possibility that we may well take up legislation related to this.” And, according to Sen. Cory Gardner (R-Colo.) a bill has been introduced that would potentially label Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism.
The backlash from Trump’s performance in Helsinki, combined with the now mounting Manafort investigation, will only fan the already growing flames of this investigation. In our next entry, we will cover the most significant developments in the trial of Paul Manafort, which is now underway and already producing interesting results.
This Russia Blog Post was submitted by USRESIT NEWS Analyst Thomas Wesley: Contact Tom@usresistnews.org
Part 2: Update of Investigation Activities
This is the second half of our re-cap series covering developments in the ongoing Russian election interference investigation since early May. Next week we’ll cover the Helsinki Summit and what it means for the investigation moving forward.
June began in familiar fashion with the president taking to twitter to defend himself from various allegations. Former CIA Director John Brennan appeared on MSNBC on June 1st. “I think that he is afraid of the President of Russia,” Brennan stated in the interview, adding that “The Russians could have something on him personally that they could always roll out to make his life more difficult.” Brennan believes the Russians “have had long experience with Mr. Trump,” Trump would later be criticized after the Helsinki summit in July for his warm attitude towards Russian President Vladimir Putin (more on this next post).
The president defended himself on twitter the following day tweeting that “John Brennan, no single figure in American history has done more to discredit the intelligence community than this liar,” and speaking of the investigation more broadly he tweeted “$17 million spent, it’s a scam investigation. Americans are being worked. We know there was Russian collusion, with Russians and the Democrats.” The President has not been shy about trying to discredit the Mueller investigations. He took to twitter the day before, citing an A.P. report that “the Russian Hoax Investigation has now cost our government over $17 million, and going up fast.” In May, the President used twitter to coin the hashtag #spygate in reference to what he claims was an effort by the Obama administration to plant spies within the Trump campaign in a purported effort to derail his presidential campaign. This, in conjunction with repeated insistence that the Russians colluded not with his campaign, but with the Democrats to undermine his election bid would suggest a strategy on the part of the President to divert public attention or “flip-flop” the blame onto Democrats.
In another bizarre twitter episode on June 4th, President Trump asserted his authority to pardon himself. “As has been stated by numerous legal scholars, I have the absolute right to PARDON myself, but why would I do that when I have done nothing wrong?” This tweet came on the heels of Rudy Giuliani’s appearance on ABC’s “This Week” in which he suggested that Trump likely does have the ability to do this. However, it should be noted that Giuliani also said the president “has no intention of pardoning himself,” and called such a move “unthinkable.”
Paul Manafort, Trump’s former Campaign Manager,had additional charges pressed against him by Special counsel Mueller’s grand jury. Manafort is charged with obstruction of justice in that he allegedly conspired to “sway the testimony of two potential witnesses who might offer evidence against Manafort.” Based on these charges, Judge Amy Berman Jackson revoked his bail and ordered that he remain in jail prior to his trail. Manafort had originally posted $10 million bond and was placed under house arrest awaiting trial for money laundering and other charges. Both president Trump and Rudy Giuliani wasted no time in defending Manafort. Trump tweeted “Wow, what a tough sentence for Paul Manafort, who has represented Ronald Reagan, Bob Dole, and many other top political people and campaigns. Didn’t know Manafort was the head of the Mob. What about Comey and Crooked Hillary and all the others? Very unfair!”
Giuliani disagreed with the decision. “I don’t understand the justification for putting him in jail,” Giuliani told NY Daily News, “You put a guy in jail if he’s trying to kill a witness, not just talking to witnesses.” He then re-asserted what he’d said back in May, calling for an investigation into Mueller’s investigation. “It’s time for Justice to investigate the investigators.” What’s more, Giuliani insinuated the President may pardon Manafort if he is convicted. “When the whole thing is over, things might get cleaned up with some presidential pardons.”Giuliani later walked back his comments telling ABC that “[Trump] is not considering [pardoning Manafort] and he will not even entertainthinking about it until after the investigation has been completed.” From the beginning, Giuliani has taken a hostile stance to the Mueller investigation.
The Justice Department Inspector General Report was released in mid-June, with significant impact. Analysis of the report provides plenty of incendiary material for both sides as each tries to discredit the other. The Report concluded that “We found no evidence that the conclusions by department prosecutors were affected by bias or other improper considerations; rather, we determined that they were based on the prosecutors’ assessment of the facts, the law, and past department practice.” However, the report did find that individuals within the FBI harboured an anti-Trump bias, chiefly through the text message exchanges between attorney Lisa Page and agent Peter Strzok. Rudy Giuliani told Fox News’ Sean Hannity that “Strzok should be in jail by the end of next week.” He also said that Deputy AG Rosenstein and AG Sessions “should suspend [Mueller’s] investigation, throw out all the people that have been involved in the phony Trump investigation, and bring in honest FBI agents from the New York office, who I can trust implicitly.” Page has since retired, and Strzok has been fired. Strzok, however, would like to tell his story.
House Intelligence Committee Rep. Adam Schiff (D-CA) invited Strzok to appear before the committee. Trump later tweeted that “The hearing of Peter Strzok and the other hating frauds at the FBI & DOJ should be shown to the public on live television, not a closed door hearing that nobody will see. We should expose these people for what they are – there should be total transparency!” Strzok did testify before the house committee on July 12th. He told the committee “Let me be clear, unequivocally and under oath: Not once in my 26 years of defending my nation did my personal opinions impact any official action I took,”
Additionally, House Intelligence Committee former Chairman Devin Nunes sent additional demands to the Justice Department requesting information on “contacts” between FBI intelligence sources and Trump campaign associates. Nunes has been highly critical of the investigation since its inception. Nunes, along with Trey Gowdy (R-SC)and Bob Goodlatte (R-VA) originally demanded unredacted copies of written conversations between former FBI director James Comey and President Trump. A federal judge ordered these remain secret in February. The Justice Department has since maintained that it has complied with Nunes’ requests to the extent that is legally permissible.
It would seem that the fallout from the IG report has only widened the gulf between supporters and opponents of the investigations. Each side has dug in further, with Rudy Giuliani leading the charge against Mueller.
Supporters and Opponents of the Investigation Dig In: Part 1
The past few months have seen several significant developments in the investigation into collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russian government, which has loomed over American politics since the 2016 election. As the number of indictments grows, so too does the rift in American politics as several Republicans call for an end to the investigations, and a number of Democrats and Republicans alike reaffirm the necessity of the investigations and their faith in the Department of Justice and the FBI. This entry will be part one of a two part recap covering all of the major developments in the Russia scandal since early May.
The investigation, which has produced indictments or guilty pleas from at least 32 individuals, continues to gather steam as Trump’s former campaign chair Paul Manafort, who was originally indicted on charges unrelated to the Trump campaign, had new charges brought against him in June by Special Counsel Robert Mueller. Manafort was first indicted along with Rick Gates this past February on numerous charges of financial crimes, but in June was again indicted by Mueller, this time charged with obstruction of justice, and conspiracy to obstruct justice. Additionally, the special counsel named Konstantin Kilimik, who worked with Manafort in Ukraine on behalf of then president Viktor Yanukovich, as an associate of Manafort’s and brought charges against him as well. Manafort’s trial for the first has been set back two weeks, to July 24th, as one of the judge’s family members is set to undergo a medical procedure. His trial for obstruction of justice is currently set for September 17th. A federal judge denied Manafort’s motion to dismiss the former of the two indictments.
Meanwhile, supporters of the President have ramped up efforts to end the investigations, which many of them, including recent addition to the Trump legal team Rudy Giuliani, claim is an overstepping of the FBI’s and Special Counsel Mueller’s authority. Giuliani, who joined the Trump legal team last April, appeared on CNN on May 27th and claimed that “the basis on which [Mueller] was appointed was illegitimate,” and that the Mueller team is “giving us the material” to undermine the investigation.
Earlier in May, Vice President Mike Pence said of the investigation, “in the interest of the country, I think it’s time to wrap it up.” Other Republicans have also voiced increasing opposition to the investigation, including congressman Mark Meadows, chairman of the Freedom Caucus, who has called for an audit of the office of Special Counsel Mueller. Meadows’ audit was attached as a provision to a spending bill, which was passed by the house on May 4th. The bill and attached provision were approved by the Senate on June 8th but have not yet been sent to the President’s desk.
On May 16th Richard Burr (R-NC), Chairman of the Senate Intelligence Committee, released a statement saying “There is no doubt that Russia undertook an unprecedented effort to interfere with our 2016 elections.” The committee was tasked with conducting a review of the intelligence community’s assessment on Russian activities during the 2016 elections. Vice chairman Sen. Mark Warner (D-VA) said in the joint statement with Burr that “after a thorough review, our staff concluded that the ICA conclusions were accurate and on point. The Russian effort was extensive, sophisticated, and ordered by President Putin himself for the purpose of helping Donald Trump and hurting Hillary Clinton.”
Also on May 16th, the Senate Judiciary Committee released its preliminary findings on the 2016 Trump Tower meeting in which members of the President’s campaign allegedly met with Russian informants with the intention of receiving supposedly compromising intel on Hillary Clinton. The 22 page document outlines the connections between several Russian nationals and members of the Trump campaign, and notably states that “The Trump campaign expressed willingness to accept Russian assistance.”
The day prior, on May 15th, it was reported that the Trump administration gutted the role of cyber policy advisor. Christine Samuelian, an aide to national security adviser John Bolton, reported in an email to NSC employees that “the role of cyber coordinator will end.” The move was criticized by Sen. Warner, who stated that “I don’t see how getting rid of the top cyber official in the White House does anything to make our country safer from cyber threats.” The purpose of the move is, according to an NSC email, to “streamline authority” for the leaders of NSC teams.
On May 21st, President Trump met with several officials including Deputy AG Rod Rosenstein, as well as FBI Director Christopher Wray and Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats in regards to growing demands by Republicans, notably led by Devin Nunes (R-CA), for documents relating to Mueller’s investigation. Nunes issued a subpoena to the Justice Department in the beginning of May demanding “all documents referring or related to the individual referenced in Chairman Nunes’ April 24, 2018 classified letter to Attorney General Sessions.” However, Nunes later backpedalled on the demand contained in the subpoena, stating that he was “not interested in any individual.”
In a seemingly distractionary or retaliatory move, the President unleashed a fury of tweets throughout the month, coining the new hashtag “#spygate.” The President tweeted on May 20th that he demanded the DOJ “look into whether or not the FBI/DOB infiltrated or surveilled the Trump Campaign for Political Purposes – and if any such demands were made by people within the Obama Administration!” Trump has previously tweeted that he believed the White House had spies planted within his campaign during the election. Deputy AG Rod Rosenstein responded to this demand by asking the DOJ Inspector General to expand it’s already existing probe into alleged FBI surveillance abuses. Late May saw a series of tweets about the so-called “Spygate,” as Trump and members of his legal team have taken to calling it, insisting not only that the president and his campaign had nothing to do with the Russian’s interference in the election, but that former president Obama actively attempted to derail Trump’s presidential bid. Between May 25th and May 29th, Trump tweeted about the Russia investigations a total of 16 times. From the beginning, Trump has maintained that he nor his campaign were involved in Russian efforts to influence the election.
This Russia Blog Post was submitted by USRESIT NEWS Analyst Thomas Wesley: Contact Tom@usresistnews.org
Photo by: Ilya Pavlov
Entry 20: Michael Cohen Investigation, Trump-Mueller Interview Prospects & Giuliani’s Legal Negotiations, House Intel Final Report
Russia Investigations Blog
Entry 20: Michael Cohen Investigation, Trump-Mueller Interview Prospects & Giuliani’s Legal Negotiations, House Intel Final Report
Compiled and written by Stella Jordan (stella@usresistnews.org)
Developments in the Investigations
Important developments abound this week in the Russia investigations; things, as always, seem to be moving at a breakneck pace. Last month we learned that the FBI had conducted surprise raids on Trump personal attorney Michael Cohen’s home, office, and hotel room. Warrants for the raid were approved by a federal judge after a request from the US Attorney for the southern district of New York and a recommendation from the special counsel. The FBI apparently seized evidence mainly related to Cohen’s payoff during the campaign to adult film actress Stormy Daniels over an alleged relationship with Trump than obtaining materials related to the Russia investigation.
The President acknowledged last week that Cohen represented him in the Daniels deal, which may have violated campaign finance law. The raids could very well result in special counsel indictments for financial crimes or campaign-finance violations, putting pressure on Cohen to cooperate in the special counsel’s broader Russia investigation, much like the Manafort and Gates cases. Cohen was implicated in the Steele dossier, which alleged that he had a strong “covert relationship with Russia” and was in close contact with Russian officials during the campaign and colluded with them to undermine the Clinton campaign. These allegations have not yet been independently verified, but there has been much speculation about Cohen’s role in the Trump campaign and his communications with foreign operatives.
Cohen filed a libel suit against BuzzFeed, the first to publish the dossier, and Fusion GPS, the company that backed it, but dropped both lawsuits during the past month’s events. Cohen is also being sued by Stormy Daniels, and recently announced that he would plead the fifth in that case in order to avoid self-incrimination in his ongoing criminal case. This move likely indicates that Cohen and his attorneys are worried that the FBI and federal prosecutors could use something he says in the civil case against him in the criminal case they are building. Invoking fifth amendment rights does not necessarily imply guilt; Cohen is simply seeking to protect himself from incrimination since he does not know exactly how prosecutors will build the criminal case against him and what evidence or coercion they may try to use.
There has been much buzz in Washington over the past few weeks about whether or not Cohen will ‘flip,’ or cave under the pressure of his federal case and start cooperating with special counsel investigators. Some Trump advisers are reportedly worried about the possibility of one of the President’s closest allies flipping on him if the charges brought against Cohen are severe enough. Cohen has previously said he would “take a bullet” for Trump and “do anything to protect” him, but there has been increasing speculation about the pressure Cohen will face as investigators move ahead with his case, especially given the apparently difficult way Trump has treated his lawyer in the past. Trump himself is apparently very concerned and angry about the Cohen investigation but has said he thinks his lawyer will remain loyal, and those around him seem to be split on the destructive potential of recent developments. Cohen’s own lawyers and other White House lawyers are arguing that the raids on Cohen and subsequent document seizures constitute a violation of attorney-client privilege, as the documents taken may contain sensitive information about people Cohen had been representing. Last week Cohen and his lawyers attempted to suppress some of the seized materials from investigators through a temporary restraining order, which was denied by a federal judge who instead recommended the appointment of a ‘special master’–an independent official who would review the evidence for potential conflicts. This sparked the appointment of an ex-judge to that role, who will be tasked with deciding whether any of the evidence the FBI took in the Cohen raids contains sensitive and classified materials regarding clients. The White House, apparently trying to distance itself from Cohen of late, underscoring the point that the raids were focused on Cohen’s private business activities and had “nothing to do” with Trump, according to the President himself.
There have been some other important shakeups in the Trump legal world, centered on the recent news that Rudy Giuliani has joined the White House legal team; Giuliani, the former NYC mayor and a longtime Trump supporter, stepped into the role vacated last month by John Dowd of coordinating the White House’s legal response to the Russia investigations. Trump struggled to find lawyers willing to handle the Russia investigations, but has recently added two other attorneys to his legal team in addition to Giuliani: Jane and Marty Raskin, both former federal prosecutors. For his part, Guiliani told reporters that he had joined the team in order to “negotiate an end” to the special counsel investigation, and has been negotiating with the special counsel to arrange an interview with Trump. Giuliani reportedly met with Mueller last week to negotiate terms for a special counsel interview with the President. The special counsel is expected to release Russia investigation reports in stages, with the first focusing on obstruction of justice, and Mueller has repeatedly told Trump’s legal team that an interview is essential to concluding this first stage of the investigation. Trump was at first open to an interview, but is apparently now reluctant to speak to the special counsel.
Later in the week Giuliani did an interview with Fox News where he revealed that President Trump had reimbursed Michael Cohen from his own funds for the $130,000 paid to the porn star Stormy Daniels to ensure her silence about her affair with the President. This move apparently was a ploy to avoid Cohen or anyone else from being charged with campaign finance violations. Amazingly Trump then confirmed that he had made such a payment. However this effort was then immediately contradicted by Michael Avenatti, Stormy Daniels lawyer, Avenatt, who in an interview on MSNBC, claimed that he has evidence of conversations between Michael Cohen and Daniels former lawyer, Keith Davidson, during the months immediately preceding the 2016 election. In those conversations Cohen apparently emphasized the need for payments to be made as soon as possible. “How stupid to they think they are,” said Avenatti in the interview referring to Trump and Giuliani.
Last week, the questions that had been compiled by the special counsel in preparation for a potential interview with the President were leaked, and subsequently obtained by the New York Times. The questions mainly related to obstruction of justice, but seem overall to be open-ended and wide-ranging. These questions show how the special counsel is trying to understand how and what Trump was thinking during the major events that have marked the Russia investigation, such as the Comey firing and the news that Trump was considering firing Mueller, as well as more generally how the President views and has tried to influence the Russia investigations so far. According to the Times, the questions fall into four main categories: Flynn, Comey, Sessions, and campaign coordination with Russia. After the questions were leaked Trump denounced their publication, calling it “disgraceful.” The leak apparently did not come from the special counsel’s office; the questions had been given to the Trump legal team during the interview negotiations and the Times said someone outside of that circle had provided them. The speculation is that Mueller’s Office just gave the President’s team a series of talking points for the interview, and that a member of Trump’s legal team, Jay Sekulow, took Mueller’s talking points and turned them into questions. The President also falsely tweeted that there were no questions about collusion; in fact, some of the special counsel’s questions seemed aimed at uncovering more about Trump’s potential knowledge of campaign aides’–such as Manafort , Gates, Papadopoulos and others–communications with Russia during the campaign.
Other major developments in the Russia investigations include the embattled House Intelligence Committee’s final Russia investigation report, which was declassified and publicly released last week after a summary of the report’s findings last month. The 253-page report found no evidence of collusion during the Trump campaign, but did acknowledge Russian electoral interference, although not to the extent agreed upon by the rest of the intelligence community. The report also dwells on the intelligence community’s use of the Steele dossier and their alleged bias against Trump, which was a major flashpoint during the Committee’s investigation. No Committee Democrats endorsed the report, whose politicized conclusions they rebuked in a counter-report highlighting Republicans’ refusal to pursue relevant leads in the investigation. During the declassification process, parts of the Committee’s report were redacted by intelligence agencies; Committee Republicans say the redactions were excessive and are apparently working to declassify more of the report. Trump unsurprisingly greeted the report’s release with a triumphant tweet in which he claimed the report vindicated him of all accusations of collusion and called for an immediate end to the other Russia investigations.
The Senate Judiciary Committee approved a bill last week to protect the special counsel from being fired. The bill had bipartisan support in the Committee, although Majority Leader Mitch McConnell and other Senate leaders said they wouldn’t bring the bill to a full Senate vote, deeming it unnecessary. Chairman Chuck Grassley co-sponsored the bill and voted with Committee Democrats, in a departure from his usual mode of proceeding slowly and cautiously in Trump and Russia investigation-related matters and generally siding with the President’s interests. Grassley and the bill’s other supporters have argued that the legislation will provide special counsel investigations – which arise from conflicts within the executive branch to begin with – more independent accountability and congressional oversight. The bill doesn’t explicitly prohibit a President from firing a special counsel, but would put in place expedited oversight and review mechanisms to ensure any executive dismissals or changes weren’t politically motivated or obstructive.
Last week a federal judge dismissed a lawsuit filed by Manafort and his lawyers which attempted to prevent any future special counsel charges being brought against the former Trump campaign manager. Manafort’s lawyers have argued that the special counsel “overstepped his authority” and appear to be challenging Mueller as a defense tactic. The judge wrote that a civil case such as a lawsuit may not be used to interfere with or influence an ongoing criminal case, which the defendant can already legally challenge through appeals. Manafort has pleaded not guilty to multiple felony financial charges, and is also trying to get a separate tax and banking-related case dismissed in a Virginia federal court.
Finally, new revelations emerged about the Russian lawyer who attended the summer 2016 Trump Tower meeting with Donald Trump Jr and other top campaign officials to offer them “dirt” on Clinton, allegedly on behalf of the Russian government. Natalia Veselnitskaya, according to a New York Times report based on leaked emails, had repeatedly denied any ties to the Kremlin and initially described the meeting as a privately-driven event. The new emails reveal Veselnitskaya’s close relationship with the top Russian legal officer and other prominent Kremlin connections; after recent revelations she told reporters that she had acted as an “informant” for the Russian Prosecutor General, Yuri Chaika, since 2013. This news raises new concerns about the Trump Tower meeting: if Veselnitskaya was representing the Russian government more directly than previously thought or proven, the meeting could have more serious implications for the Trump campaign officials who attended, as well as wider-ranging obstruction of justice implications for Veselnitskaya herself.
