JOBS

JOBS POLICIES, ANALYSIS, AND RESOURCES

The Jobs and Infrastructure domain tracks and reports on policies that deal with job creation and employment, unemployment insurance and job retraining, and policies that support investments in infrastructure. This domain tracks policies emanating from the White House, the US Congress, the US Department of Labor, the US Department of Transportation, and state policies that respond to policies at the Federal level. Our Principal Analyst is Vaibhav Kumar who can be reached at vaibhav@usresistnews.org.

Latest Jobs Posts

 

Misinformation Money

Brief #64 – Technology Policy
By Maureen Darby-Serson

Last month, conspiracy theorist Alex Jones was ordered to pay the families of the Sandy Hook massacre over $49 million in damages for spreading false claims that the mass shooting was a hoax. He was forced to pay to a group of parents that sued him and to an individual parent that sued him separately. And this is just one recent instance of a conspiracy theorist being forced to face the music after making hurtful claims about individuals or events.

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Monkeypox: Is the Biden Administration Learning from COVID-19 Mistakes?

Brief #139 – Health & Gender Policy
By Geoffrey Small

A 2020 United Nations report outlined multiple factors contributing to the likelihood that the world will experience another pandemic. Global issues such as unsustainable agriculture, population growth, and climate change will have a significant impact on the severity and frequency of the next zoonotic diseases like monkeypox and COVID-19. The report recommended better overall international coordination.

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Assessing Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taiwan

Brief #143 – Foreign Policy
By Abran C

On Tuesday August 2, 2022, House Speaker Nancy Pelosi touched down in Taiwan, becoming the highest-ranking US official to visit the island since former Speaker Newt Gingrich in 1997. Her trip was not officially approved by the Biden administration as a diplomatic mission.
The Chinese government had warned against the visit to the island that it regards as a part of its territory. The US officially recognizes Taiwan as a part of China per the one China policy, yet the US also has a long-standing relationship with Taiwan independent of China, and is its major source of military equipment.

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IT’S TIME TO REFORM THE SUPREME COURT

U.S. RESIST NEWS OP ED
By Rod Maggay, Ian Milden, Geoff Small, Ian Sultan and Managing Editor Ron Israel

The events at the Supreme Court, such as the over-turn of Roe v Wade and the political actions of Justice Clarence Thomas’s wife, cast light on the need to reform the workings of the Court. In this Op Ed, U.S. RESIST NEWS makes suggestions for ways in which the Supreme Court can become more reflective of all Americans and not just a narrow few, and become more accountable for its actions.

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The Ukraine Crisis: Situation Update #11

Brief #142 – Foreign Policy
By Abran C

On July 31, 2022 Ukranian President Zelensky ordered civilians to evacuate from the Donetsk region. Between 200,000 and 220,000 civilians still live in the unoccupied area of Donetsk, according to Ukrainian estimates.

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A Conservative Supreme Court Handicaps the EPA in its Fight Against Climate Change

Brief #145 – Environmental Policy
By Jacob Morton

On June 30th, the US Supreme Court, in a 6-3 vote, issued a ruling to limit the Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) ability to regulate greenhouse gas emissions released by power plants that burn fossil fuels. The Court’s conservative majority argues that only Congress has the power to make such grand regulations, even though Congress already granted the EPA this authority. Dissenting liberal justices say the conservative majority is making up rules to protect Big Coal.

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Profiles of U.S. Anti-Abortion Groups

Brief #139 – Health and Gender Policy

By Geoffrey Small

With Roe v. Wade overturned, a deluge of anti-abortion trigger laws have gone into effect across the country. States like Louisiana, Texas and Missouri have created some of the strictest laws and legislative proposals in the United States. Recent proposals include criminal and civil prosecutions for providers, people who aid in out-of-state abortions, and potentially the patients who receive them.

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New IPCC Report Indicts Failed Climate Leadership Around the World

New IPCC Report Indicts Failed Climate Leadership Around the World

New IPCC Report Indicts Failed Climate Leadership Around the World

Environment Policy Brief #138 | By: Todd J. Broadman | March 23, 2022

Header photo taken from: The United Nations


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Photo taken from: IPCC / Denis Onyodi

Policy Summary

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The latest Inter-Governmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Report has been published; it is the sixth set of “assessment reports” since its foundation in 1988. The previous set was published in 2013-14. UN secretary-general António Guterres described the report as “an atlas of human suffering and a damning indictment of failed climate leadership.” Although world leaders have committed to actions that would contain global temperature rise to 1.5°C (2.7°F) above pre-industrial levels, with the current rate of emissions, latest projections put the earth on track for a temperature rise of 3°C (5.4°F) rise by the end of the century.

If these projections are realized, 50-75% of the global population could be exposed to periods of “life-threatening climatic conditions” due to extreme heat and humidity. Currently, 3.3 to 3.6 billion people reside in places “highly vulnerable to climate change.” Overall, these well-researched trends “are leading away from, rather than toward, sustainable development.”

An important distinction highlighted in the report is that there are both “hard” and “soft” limits. On the one hand, hard limits mean that no amount of human intervention can make a difference. When warm water coral reefs completely disappear, for example, there is no “fix” or “adaptation” to be made. On the other hand, soft limits include obstacles like insufficient finance and poor planning, which could be addressed through more inclusive governance. Limited fresh water in small islands, as rising seas and extreme weather can mean sea water contamination of  fresh water is a hard limit; no amount of adaptation will bring low-lying islands back. By 2050, more than a billion people located in low-lying cities and settlements will be at risk from “coastal-specific climate hazards.”

Climate related diseases will take the lives of hundreds of thousands of humans. When we reach an increase of 1.5C, 9% of all species will be at very high risk of extinction, at 2C that percentage increases to 10% and at 3C to 12%. Human activity now shapes 70 percent of the ice-free surface of the globe. Nature is running out of places to hide with only a remaining 15 percent protected from development. With longer fire seasons and extended droughts, even that which remains is at risk.

As the oceans warm, marine species are being forced out of their natural habitats and are migrating poleward by warming waters. The report states that low-oxygen (hypoxia) zones are increasing in both size and number around the world “with growing impacts on fish species diversity and ecosystem functioning.” Fish may also be moving to deeper waters in response. The timing of significant marine events like phytoplankton blooms are also changing. Half a billion people depend on coral reefs and those reefs are dying due to ocean acidification. Calcifying organisms, such as mussels and oysters, are also at high risk of decline.

Policy Analysis

Socioeconomic status is closely linked to climate change vulnerability. The report found that across 92 developing countries, the poorest 40% of the population experienced losses from climate hazards that were 70% greater than the losses of people with average wealth. And each year 15 million more people will be living in extreme poverty conditions. They lack the resources to move or adapt. Many will lose their agricultural incomes and experience food and water insecurity, mostly in the continents of Africa and Asia.

Agricultural land that is currently used for growing crops and rearing livestock “will increasingly become climatically unsuitable,” which is even more alarming considering that  crop productions declined nearly 10% (among four major crops) between 1850 and 2010. Land still stores more carbon than it emits each year, the report says. It stores around 3.5 tons of carbon and this is three-to-five times more than the amount stored by unextracted fossil fuels and four times more than what is currently in the atmosphere.


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Children’s vulnerability to climate change results from distinct exposures, biological sensitivities (developing bodies and immune systems), and limitations to adaptive capacity (dependency on caregivers) at different life stages.

Photo taken from: Global Change (.gov)

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Contributions from philosophers, anthropologists and other authors from many different disciplines are new to this report and draw upon the qualitative aspects of climate change. Not only is economic inequality linked to increasing temperatures, but also higher hospital admissions for mood and behavioral disorders, anxiety, depression, and acute stress.

Actionable process to be followed?

Whereas 29% of electricity is generated by renewable energy and this is increasing at the rate of 7% annually, only about 11.2 percent of global heating, power, and transportation energy comes from non-carbon sources. Overall energy usage growth exceeds the deployment of sustainable energy sources. For that reason alone, UN secretary-general António Guterres has placed all G20 governments on alert and asked they “dismantle their coal fleets.” Coal is the single biggest CO2, the source of 46% of global emissions.

Underlying this report is an economic model based on infinite growth, a model adopted by most of the world’s countries. That model is at odds with the availability of energy and other material resources. If this model along with its consumption-driven societies do not alter course, the report’s high and medium risk scenarios are likely to be realized.

Engagement Resources​

Click or tap on resource URL to visit links where available 

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https://www.ipcc.ch/reports/  authoritative knowledge on climate change, its causes, potential impacts and response options.

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https://www.postcarbon.org/  provides individuals and communities with the resources needed to understand and respond to the interrelated ecological, economic, energy, and equity crises of the 21st century.

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https://www.c2es.org/  advances strong policy and ambitious action to: reduce greenhouse gas emissions; promote and accelerate the clean energy transition.

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https://www.cleanenergywire.org/  produces and facilitates top-quality journalism about the energy transition.

As Cannabis is Increasingly Being Legalized, What Are Its Health Risks and Benefits?

As Cannabis is Increasingly Being Legalized, What Are Its Health Risks and Benefits?

As Cannabis is Increasingly Being Legalized, What Are Its Health Risks and Benefits?

Health and Gender Policy Brief #148 | By: Inijah Quadri | March 20, 2022

Header photo taken from: Medical News Today


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People substitute alcohol for marijuana at age 21, according to one study.

Photo taken from: The Daily Beast

Policy Summary

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In 36 states, medicinal marijuana is permitted, and in 14, it is lawful to consume marijuana recreationally. On the subject of legalizing marijuana, this article examines papers published in top economic, public policy, and medical publications, concentrating on the health repercussions of cannabis legalization.

Our article examines the impacts of legalization on adult and adolescent cannabis users. The legalization of recreational cannabis use in the US has drastically cut the price of cannabis, increased its potency, and made it more available to consumers. As such, the regular use of cannabis should be monitored. Cannabis legalization and regulation necessitate the study of  the health repercussions of these policy changes, and this knowledge should be used to design ways of regulating marijuana that minimize negative health effects.

There is strong evidence that where medicinal marijuana is permitted, alcohol-dependent individuals consume less alcohol. However, the impact of recreational marijuana legalization on other critical public health outcomes needs to be discussed. Research is being done, but additional data needs to be obtained, allowing us to make more solid findings.

Policy Analysis

Cannabis is known by many different names: dope, weed, marijuana, hemp. According to the National Institute on Drug Abuse, cannabis is the second most often used psychoactive drug in the United States after alcohol and before nicotine. Cannabis is most often used by adolescents and young adults. Cannabis, formerly seen as a deadly gateway drug, is now more widely accepted as a drug that can be used on its own. Recreational marijuana use is increasingly legal in more and more places throughout the world.

So is it good for the populace? Is marijuana a gateway drug that should be avoided, or is it a cure-all? In the last several months, numerous studies have been released demonstrating both the dangers and the advantages of the hemp plant and its various compounds.

Researchers recently released the results of a study, which indicated that cannabis users have increased sexual function and greater orgasms. A reduction in fear and guilt (as a result of cannabis use) can lead to better sex, according to the experts. To put it another way, those who consume alcohol or smoke marijuana may have better sex.

On the other hand, contrary to popular belief, cannabis usage can cause long-term cognitive decline, especially in children and adolescents whose brains are still growing. There is a negative impact on decision-making and cognitive abilities, as well as on the amount of time it takes to accomplish mental tasks. And the effects of such “drunkenness” might last for a long time.


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Cannabis use impacts the brain and negatively affects motor functions and important processes needed to lead a productive life.

Photo taken from: Nature

(click or tap to enlargen)

Another European research study, published in 2019, found that everyday marijuana smokers are three times more likely to suffer from psychotic episodes than those who do not use the drug. Another group of researchers found an eightfold increase in psychoses.

Advocates of legalizing cannabis argue that making it available at state-run dispensaries, as well as limiting the amount of THC in the medicine and requiring additives to be clearly labeled, will significantly lessen the substance’s health risks.

Proponents also argue that removing the stigma associated with being a cannabis user will allow for more open access to treatment and preventative programs. Without fear of repercussions from the law and/or public stigmatization, people might learn about the dangers of cannabis use and discuss their concerns with trained professionals who can help them.

Engagement Resources​

Click or tap on resource URL to visit links where available

Addiction (https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/add.15764)

Di Forti M, Quattrone D, Freeman TP, Tripoli G, Gayer-Anderson C, Quigley H, Rodriguez V, Jongsma HE, Ferraro L, La Cascia C, La Barbera D, Tarricone I, Berardi D, Szöke A, Arango C, Tortelli A, Velthorst E, Bernardo M, Del-Ben CM, Menezes PR, Selten JP, Jones PB, Kirkbride JB, Rutten BP, de Haan L, Sham PC, van Os J, Lewis CM, Lynskey M, Morgan C, Murray RM; EU-GEI WP2 Group. The contribution of cannabis use to variation in the incidence of psychotic disorder across Europe (EU-GEI): a multicentre case-control study. Lancet Psychiatry. 2019 May;6(5):427-436. Doi: 10.1016/S2215-0366(19)30048-3. Epub 2019 Mar 19. PMID: 30902669; PMCID: PMC7646282. (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30902669/)

Journal of Clinical Psychopharmacology

Gahr M, Ziller J, Keller F, Schönfeldt-Lecuona C. Increasing Proportion of Cannabinoid-Associated Psychotic Disorders: Results of a Single-Center Analysis of Treatment Data From 2011 to 2019. J Clin Psychopharmacol. 2020 Nov/Dec;40(6):642-645. Doi: 10.1097/JCP.0000000000001278. PMID: 33009227. (https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33009227/)

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National Institute on Drug Abuse (https://nida.nih.gov/publications/research-reports/marijuana/what-scope-marijuana-use-in-united-states)

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Roman, Pablo & Ortiz-Rodriguez, Ana & Romero-Lopez, Ana & Rodriguez-Arrastia, Miguel & Ropero-Padilla, Carmen & Sánchez-Labraca, Nuria & Rueda-Ruzafa, Lola. (2022). The Influence of Cannabis and Alcohol Use on Sexuality: An Observational Study in Young People (18–30 Years). Healthcare. 10. 71. 10.3390/healthcare10010071. (https://www.researchgate.net/publication/357478672_The_Influence_of_Cannabis_and_Alcohol_Use_on_Sexuality_An_Observational_Study_in_Young_People_18-30_Years)

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Subbaraman M. S. (2014). Can cannabis be considered a substitute medication for alcohol?. Alcohol and alcoholism (Oxford, Oxfordshire), 49(3), 292–298. (https://doi.org/10.1093/alcalc/agt182)

Supreme Court Gerrymandering Ruling Opens Door To Potential Redistricting Problem

Supreme Court Gerrymandering Ruling Opens Door To Potential Redistricting Problem

Supreme Court Gerrymandering Ruling Opens Door To Potential Redistricting Problem

Civil Rights Policy Brief #184 | By: Rodney A. Maggay | March 11, 2022

Header photo taken from: The New York Times


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Photo taken from: Tim Ryan Williams / Vox

Policy Summary

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On November 4, 2021 in North Carolina the state legislature adopted a congressional map which gave the Republican Party in the state a huge advantage – it seemed likely that Republicans would win ten of the fourteen available congressional seats in the state despite total votes cast in state elections being evenly split between Republicans and Democrats. The Princeton Gerrymandering Project graded the map an “F” because of its extreme partisan bias in drawing the map. North Carolina voters challenged the map in court and the North Carolina Supreme Court invalidated the map and directed a state trial court to lead the efforts to create a new state map. Experts were brought in and a new map was drawn which was upheld by the North Carolina Supreme Court. State Republican legislators appealed to the U.S. Supreme Court and requested that the original map drawn by the state legislature be used instead of the map approved by the state trial court.

In Pennsylvania, a similar situation developed due to the drawing of the state congressional map. Because of the 2020 Census, Pennsylvania lost a congressional seat and had to draw a map with seventeen congressional districts in the state. The Republican led legislature drew a map that had nine likely Democratic districts and eight likely Republican districts. However, even with that one seat advantage the Democratic Governor vetoed the plan. A group of Pennsylvania voters brought a lawsuit that urged the adoption of a second map, known as the “Carter Plan,” which would add one more Democratic leaning district and merge two Republican leaning districts into one district. 

The Pennsylvania Supreme Court later intervened and directed a state trial court to submit a report for a redistricting plan. The trial court recommended the original map drawn by the state legislature. However, the state supreme court ignored the recommendation and adopted the “Carter Plan.” This time, a candidate for a congressional district, brought another lawsuit because he claimed there was no certainty as to what map will be used and which district he will represent and so he did not know how to proceed with his campaign. After being denied at the trial court level, an appeal was made to the U.S. Supreme Court.

On March 7, 2022 the U.S. Supreme Court in Toth v. Chapman and Moore v. Harper issued orders denying a writ of injunction and application for a stay of the Pennsylvania and North Carolina cases. Since the orders issued by the Supreme Court were only about rejecting the petition to temporarily suspend the use of the new maps in each state the Supreme Court did not actually rule on the legal arguments put forth by the petitioners. The dissents issued in the case only hinted at what might be forthcoming in a future gerrymandering case. Nevertheless, this move effectively rejected for the time being Republican requests to use the congressional maps that they had preferred for the 2022 election. LEARN MORE, LEARN MORE

Policy Analysis

The move taken by the U.S. Supreme Court in the North Carolina and Pennsylvania gerrymandering cases was a rebuke to Republican efforts at gerrymandering maps in key swing states. But the orders generated alot of discussion because of dissents written by Justices Samuel Alito and Brett Kavanaugh that focused on a unique legal theory that could have far reaching consequences in the future.

When the plaintiffs in North Carolina and Pennsylvania brought their appeal to the U.S. Supreme Court they argued their position because of the word “legislature” in the U.S. Constitution’s Elections Clause. Article I, Section 4 provides that “[t]he Times, Places and Manner of holding Elections for Senators and Representatives, shall be prescribed in each State by the Legislature thereof.” A strict reading of this clause would probably only permit the state legislature of each state to decide on how a map of congressional districts in the state should be drawn and how a final map would look. Because of this unique position of only having a state legislature – and no one else – decide on how congressional districts would be drawn the plaintiffs in each of these cases are looking to exclude other participants such as the Governor and the state trial courts (and by extension, state independent redistricting commissions) from having a say in how maps are drawn.

This is a very dangerous road to go down because it will result in state legislators drawing and manipulating state and congressional district maps without being accountable to anyone. The process of having only the state legislature draw a new state map had gotten so bad that a number of states decided on creating state independent redistricting commissions to do the job in order to leave state politicians out of it. 


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Ohio Supreme Court Rejects Republican Attempt to Rig Electoral Map

Photo taken from:

Rolling Stone

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The intent was to reduce the amount of partisan bias that would go into drawing a state map because politicians had an incentive to draw a map that would ensure their continued re-election and keep their preferred political party in power even if the populace might have preferred the other political party. If the plaintiffs have their way with their legal argument, all of the changes and safeguards that have been implemented through the years would be discarded and it would be back to square one where only the state legislatures again would be responsible for drawing the state map. There would be no limitations on the kind of gerrymandering that a state legislature could do.

The Supreme Court should be wary about going down this road. Instead of reading words narrowly and giving words a strict interpretation without looking at what unintended consequences might occur, the Court should look at the progress that has been made in making redistricting more transparent. 

 

However, Justice Alito and his conservative colleagues have signaled in their unneccessary dissent (known as the “shadow docket” when orders and/or dissents are issued that lack the full briefing and oral arguments that a usual case would receive) that they would be open to this line of thinking in future gerrymandering cases. LEARN MORELEARN MORELEARN MORE

This brief was compiled by Rod Maggay. If you have comments or want to add the name of your organization to this brief, please contact Rod@USResistnews.org.

Engagement Resources​

Click or tap on resource URL to visit links where available 

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National Conference of State Legislatures (NCSL) – Redistricting Commissions – info page on how state independent redistricting commissions are comprised by states that use them.

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Campaign Legal Center – info page from non – profit group fighting gerrymandering.

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Brennan Center for Justice – info page on what gerrymandering is and the problems it creates.

High Profile Hostage: Free Brittney Griner and Make Some Noise About It

High Profile Hostage: Free Brittney Griner and Make Some Noise About It

High Profile Hostage: Free Brittney Griner and Make Some Noise About It

Foreign Policy Brief #149 | By: Randy Wyrick | March 15, 2022

Header photo taken from: The New York Times


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Basketball star Brittney Griner is the latest American to be detained in Russia as supporters work desperately to free them.

Photo taken from: CNN

Policy Summary

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American basketball superstar Brittney Griner is a political prisoner in Russia. To see her plight any other way is to fail to see it at all.

The Russians claim that, at the airport for her trip back to the U.S. (and who wouldn’t want to leave Russia) they found vape cartridges in  her luggage. The Russians unlawfully detained Griner on Feb. 17, as they were warming up their tank engines for what they wrong-headedly believed would be a springtime romp through Ukraine. She was celebrated in Russia for seven seasons. Now she’s their political prisoner.

Jonathan Franks, an attorney who has negotiated the release of prisoners in similar straits, is livid that western media parrots Russia’s allegations against Griner as facts. They’re likely not, and says Griner’s detention has the “hallmarks of a wrongful and arbitrary detention.” Like something out of a Terrorism for Dummies manual, the Russians paraded Griner in front of cameras. Her mug shot was displayed like some kind of hunting trophy. She’s facing decades in a Russian prison.

“I think that it is unlikely that Ms. Griner will get a fair trial,” Franks said, “because nobody gets a fair trial in Russia.”

Along with Griner, Russia is holding two other Americans as political prisoners – Paul Whelan and Trevor Reed. Russians have held Reed since August 2019. Around the globe, hostile governments are unlawfully detaining more than 50 Americans.

Policy Analysis

Why was she in Russia?

Griner, 31, has earned Olympic gold twice, an NCAA title at Baylor, a WNBA title, and is a seven-time all star. The WNBA’s 2020 collective bargaining agreement raises salaries up to half a million, a far cry from the tens of millions NBA stars are paid.

So, Griner and about 70 other WNBA stars play in other parts of the world during the offseason. Griner earned $1.5 million per season with her Russian team. The WNBA says everyone but Griner had already left Russia and Ukraine before the invasion. However, news of her captivity did not break in the U.S. until March 5, when global economic sanctions dropped on Russia.

Who knows what to do?

Jason Rezaian knows exactly what this is like. Rezaian was the Washington Post’s Tehran bureau chief when he was taken prisoner July 22, 2014, charged by Iran with espionage and “propaganda against the establishment.” In a closed-door Iranian trial he was declared guilty. He was finally released January 16, 2016.

He urges people to make some noise, and make it now. He says maintaining “diplomatic niceties” about Griner will not get her released.


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“The US gov. should make clear that, if a detention of an American is found to be politically motivated, there will be swift and severe consequences. It leaves our citizens languishing in prison, often for years, and signals to offenders that they can get away with it.”  – Jason Rezaian

Photo taken from: First Sportz

The NBA, one of the world’s most powerful sports leagues, owns the WNBA, Griner’s employer, Franks says the leagues’ reactions should be more “robust.”

Griner is the WNBA’s equivalent of Lebron James. Imagine the firestorm that would follow what amounts to a political abduction if it were James and not Griner, a black lesbian.

While working for the Washington Post in Tehran, Rezaian made countless trips in and out of Iran.

 

“I never had any problems until I did,” he says.

It’s possible Russia targeted Griner as leverage against the United States and the sanctions … in other words, a political prisoner. Rezaian says that, like him, Griner’s detention may turn out to be a marathon, not a sprint.

Engagement Resources​

Click or tap on resource URL to visit links where available 

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Sports Journalist Tamryn Spriull has launched a petition on Change.org, More than 50,000 people have signed it so far.

Contact WNBA Commissioneer Cathy Engelbert at leaguepasssupport@wnba.com

PL 20.06.04 CongressSocialMedia feature

Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas) is working with the U.S. State Department to determine a way forward to secure Brittney Griner’s release. 

Contact his Washington, D.C. office at:

114 Cannon House Office Building

Washington, D.C.

Phone: 202-225-2231

Profiles of White Supremacist Groups in America

Profiles of White Supremacist Groups in America

Profiles of White Supremacist Groups in America

Social Justice Policy Brief #35 | By: Erika Shannon | March 14, 2022

Header photo taken from: NBC News


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There are over 733 hate groups across the U.S

Photo taken from: Southern Poverty Law Center

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The United States is attempting to heal in many ways since Donald Trump’s term as our President. One of the effects of a Trump Presidency in America was the rise in membership in many right-wing hate groups. Members of these groups took the former President’s silence on their views as silent agreement on their behavior , and ran with it. Right wing groups gained new members and new momentum. The boldness of these groups became evident on January 6, 2021, when members of the Proud Boys, Oath Keepers, and several other extremist groups attempted to storm the Capitol Building and stop the counting of electoral votes for the 2020 election.

In order to figure out a way to eradicate hate groups in the U.S., it is important to understand the demographics of these groups. While the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) estimates there are over 733 hate groups across the U.S., we’ve compiled information on three of these groups whose names have frequently been in the media over the past several years. We wanted to know who seeks membership in them, where are the primary states of membership, and since Trump has left office, do these right-wing extremist organizations still have the momentum they did at the end of his term?


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L-R: The Proud Boys (est. 2016), The Oath Keepers (est. 2009), and The Rise Above Movement (est. 2017). Two of these hate groups formed in the wake of Trump-era politics. 

Photos taken from: Southern Poverty Law Center, The Anti-Defamation League, and The Conversation

(click or tap to enlargen)

Proud Boys

The Proud Boys were established during the 2016 presidential election season by VICE Media co-founder Gavin McInnes. According to SPLC, the Proud Boys are self-described as “Western chauvinists,” and frequently deny any connection to the racist “alt-right.” However, the group is known for spouting white nationalist and anti-Muslim rhetoric. They also believe the media pushes an anti-white agenda, and white people are the “true minority.” There are four degrees of Proud Boy Membership, and the first degree is simply to declare the phrase, “I am a Western chauvinist, and I refuse to apologize for creating the modern world.” The second degree involves being beaten until you can yell out the names of five breakfast cereals to demonstrate adrenaline control. The third degree is getting a Proud Boys tattoo, and to enter the fourth degree you must get in a fight for the cause.

The Proud Boys have 119 active chapters across 46 states that are nationally recognized by the organization. There are also international chapters in Canada, Britain, Ireland, Germany, Norway, Sweden, Australia, and the Philippines. Their colors are primarily black and yellow. While the Proud Boys have not made much waves since the January 6th Insurrection last year, they have been tied to anti-mask and anti-vaccine activism. This includes showing up at school board meetings and related protests and rallies to show opposition to mask and vaccine mandates.

Oath Keepers

The Oath Keepers are an anti-government, right-wing political organization whose mission is to defend their interpretation of the U.S. Constitution against all enemies, foreign and domestic. They have associations with the militia movement, which believes that the federal government is part of a conspiracy to strip Americans of their natural rights and freedoms. They were founded in 2009 by Stewart Rhodes, an Army veteran, and have approximately 5,000 or so members, though they claim to have upwards of 30,000 members. The group only obeys commands that do not violate their “Declaration of Orders.” Those orders have been outlined by the Anti-Defamation League and can be read here. The Oath Keepers respond and support local communities when law and order breaks down or when they feel law enforcement officers have overstepped their Constitutional bounds.

The efforts of the Oath Keepers, however, are not well intentioned by normal standards of society. They often promote disobedience to authority and put forth racist rhetoric. Their presence was seen when they confronted protesters at ANTIFA and Black Lives Matters rallies, and they took part in the January 6 capitol riot. Twelve members of the organization face conspiracy charges stemming from the January 6 insurrection. The group is large enough to pose a significant threat to society, though their disorganization may be their downfall when trying to assert their ideals.

Rise Above Movement

The Rise Above Movement is a white supremacist group based in Southern California, whose members wish to fight against a modern world corrupted by liberals, Jews, Muslims, and non-white immigrants. While the group began in Southern California, today’s membership is mostly online-only, and the group’s current leader, Robert Rundo, is living in Eastern Europe. They are a violent group, and members allegedly train to fight physical battles with their ideological foes. The Rise Above Movement refers to themselves as the “premier MMA club of the alt right” and often spout racist, anti-Semitic views and other acts of intolerance at events and online.

In recent years, membership has waned, and there is thought to be less than twenty active members in the group. Since several members were arrested in association with the Unite the Right Rally in Charlottesville, the group has shifted their efforts to mostly online, with less public appearances since the 2019 arrests and charges. While they do not have power in numbers as other far-right groups do, they are a violent group and that in and of itself could be cause for concern.

It is clear that far right hate groups have been in the spotlight far more than in year’s prior, and that was in part due to the rhetoric of former President Trump. In order for America to continue to renew itself and purge itself of the hate that built up over the course of four years of the Trump administration, we must find ways to disassemble these white supremacist groups. Understanding membership and ideals of these groups can help to steer people clear of them and their toxic ideologies; and hopefully, help stop the spread of hate in the United States.

Engagement Resources​

Click or tap on resource URL to visit links where available 

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To get involved with the Anti-Defamation League’s movement to Fight Hate for Good, visit their webpage.

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To view an interactive map of hate groups across the U.S., visit the SPCL’s Hate Map.

Situation Update #5: The Ukraine Crisis

Situation Update #5: The Ukraine Crisis

Situation Update #5: The Ukraine Crisis

Foreign Policy Brief #149 | By: Abran C | March 10, 2022

Header photo taken from: AP News / Serhii Nuzhnenko


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EU Steps up Humanitarian Aid to Ukraine, Expects Millions More Refugees

Photo taken from: US News (.com)

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As the Russian invasion of Ukraine enters its second week, the destruction and death toll have continued to worsen. Nearly 2 million people or 4.5% of the population, have fled Ukraine. Most refugees have made their way to neighboring countries such as Hungary, Poland, Moldova, and Slovakia. The EU on March 8, 2021 allocated 500 million Euros for humanitarian aid to Ukraine, and expects millions of more refugees to arrive at its borders. Thus far 516 Ukranian civilians have been killed in the two weeks that war has been raging, with another 1000 civilians wounded. The true toll is likely much higher and will only become clear once the war has ended.

At two weeks into the war, Russia has struggled more than expected as the Ukranian military and civilians have fought keeping them at bay and out of the capital Kyiv. The Ukranian government has requested a NATO no-fly zone be implemented in order to assist in the fight against the invading forces, the request has been rejected multiple times. Implementing a no-fly zone in Ukraine would be dangerous and costly. It would require the US and NATO air power to be in direct conflict with Russian forces. The risks of such a move could drastically escalate the conflict and result in an all out war or even devolve into nuclear strikes. Putin has already signaled his readiness to rely on nuclear weapons with Western interference in the war. Putin has also stated he would not tolerate unlimited U.S. or NATO arms supplied to Ukraine. NATO, in turn, warned Russian against the conflict spilling into a NATO country like Poland or Romania.

Countries opposed to the war have so far relied mainly on sanctions as their primary means of combating the Russian invasion. The US and its allies have already removed Russian use of the SWIFT financial system, sanctioned Putin and officials close to him, as well as frozen Russia’ s assets in the West. Additionally, the US has now banned Russian oil in what are the most restrictive sanctions ever imposed on a major power. The EU has also committed to scaling back use of Russian energy imports by the end of the year, down of their average consumption, which would be a tremendous blow to Russia’ s already battered economy. 

Even Switzerland has dropped its long held neutral stance and has sanctioned Russian assets. These sanctions, along with a number of businesses that have cut ties with Russia, have made it impossible to conduct business as usual in the country. The Russian ruble has fallen to record lows amid the sanctions.  Now it is  worth less than one penny.

Oil prices in the US, which were already on the rise, have been pushed up even further with the announcement of Russian oil sanctions. Energy prices are contributing to the worst inflation in 40 years, consumer prices jumped 7.5% compared to last year. The US has held talks with Venezuela  to find an alternative source of oil to fill the void left by Russian sanctions. The US had previously cut ties with Venezuela and does not recognize Nicolás Maduro as the legitimate president of the South American nation. This move could be seen as one to isolate Russia even further by replacing its oil with Venezuelan oil in the US and European states, and scratch off one of the few allies Russia has left.

Free speech has become another casualty of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. In order to combat public isolation, Russia has banned journalists from calling its actions in Ukraine a ‘war’ or an ‘invasion’. On March 4, 2022 President Putin signed a law making the spread of what the government would classify as false information about the armed forces illegal. Journalists caught doing so could be jailed for up to 15 years. The move prompted several international media outlets to pull out of Russia in order to avoid having their journalists prosecuted and jailed.

There has also been a host of criticism of the West’s double standards in its handling of refugees and in reporting on the war. The EU’s quick humanitarian response to the refugees fleeing Ukraine has drawn calls of unequal responses. Contrast  those of a European background fleeing war and being welcomed with open arms to Middle Eastern and North African refugees, many of which have spent years, if not decades, attempting to seek asylum in Europe. 

Certain media coverage of the ongoing crisis has also come under scrutiny for the use of offensive and racist language. 

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The price of regular gasoline broke $4 per gallon on average across the U.S. on Sunday for the first time since 2008.
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Arab refugees see double standards in Europe’s embrace of Ukrainians – Internally displaced Syrians walk together near tents at a camp in Azaz, Syria

Photo taken from: Reuters / Mahmoud Hassano

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Comments made by Western journalists have been widely circulated in media, for example, CBS News’ Charlie D’Agata stated last week that “ Ukraine isn’t a place, with all due respect, like Iraq or Afghanistan… This is a relatively civilized, relatively European – I have to choose those words carefully, too – city, one where you wouldn’t expect that, or hope that it’s going to happen”.

There have also been reports of minorities in Ukraine experiencing racist treatment by Ukrainian  security and border officials. African and Asian students in Ukraine had reportedly been denied access to escape routes alongside Ukrainians fleeing the Russian onslaught. “Only Ukrainians. That’s all. If you are Black, you should walk”, were the words reportedly told to one African student attempting to get on a bus to across the border into Poland.

On Wednesday March 9, 2021 Russian airstrikes hit three hospitals including a maternity hospital. The strikes were carried out to destroy so- called chemical weapons labs. On the same day, the power supply to the Chernobyl nuclear power plant was cut. Ukrainian authorities have said the invading Russian forces were to blame for the blackout at the site and warned it could lead to nuclear discharge.

While the war has created a massive problem for the citizens of Ukraine and neighboring European states, but it has also taken a massive toll on Russia and will probably frustrate Russian officials who may not have foreseen the extent of the consequences of their actions. A lagging and demoralized army, along with a squeezed and battered economy, may anger Putin into escalating the war in dangerous ways.

Russia’s Bombs Target Women in Mariupol

Russia’s Bombs Target Women in Mariupol

Russia’s Bombs Target Women in Mariupol

Foreign Policy Brief #148 | By: Yelena Korshunov | March 10, 2022

Header photo taken from nv.ua


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Strike at Mariupol hospital maternity ward.

Photo taken from: The New York Times

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My friend Maria is a New York volunteer who collects clothes, blankets, and medicines for Ukrainian hospitals. She sends it to Poland volunteers, paying for express air shipping from her own pocket. Maria was born in Mariupol. Had you ever heard about this place before the devastating war in Ukraine started? Mariupol was a beautiful green Ukrainian city on the coast of the Sea of Azov. If you travel there before February 24th, 2022, you would love this quiet nice place.

Maria has been living in New York for 20 years, but her parents and siblings with their families live in this Ukrainian city. Such as in any place like Mariupol, adults work, children go to school, friends and families celebrate holidays. Precisely, it was like this before February 24th, 2022.

After that date the entire world was stunned watching news from Ukraine. And today, on March 9th, videos and pictures from Mariupol’s ruined maternity hospital appeared in all the world news. Around 4:30 pm, the Russian invaders dropped several powerful bombs from aircraft on the maternity hospital and a children’s hospital in the center of the city.

As reported by “Ukrainskaya Pravda”, as a result of an air strike on the Mariupol maternity hospital No. 2, 17 people were injured, among them the staff and those who gave birth. “Now there are 17 confirmed wounded among the staff and women in labor. Three people died, among them is a little girl.”, said on Ukrainian TV the head of the Donetsk regional military administration Pavlo Kirilenko.

According to Kirilenko, it is difficult to confirm information about dead civilians and keep any statistics, but as of the morning of March 9th, he was informed of 1207 civilian casualties from Mariupol. Mariupol is under constant bombardment by aircraft and artillery of the Russian forces. Kirilenko reports that for more than a week, the occupiers have been cordoning off the city and frustrating all attempts to evacuate civilians through “humanitarian corridors.”  

Mariupol residents report that the Russian military does not allow them to remove corpses from the streets. Mobile and Internet connection is inconsistent.

Representatives of Ukraine filed an official lawsuit with the International Court of Justice on the commission of war crimes against the civilian population by the Russian occupation forces, in particular, the deliberate destruction of hospitals, schools, child care centers, etc. Ukraine president Volodymir Zelensky said today that “what the occupiers are doing to Mariupol is already beyond atrocity. A children’s hospital, a maternity hospital. How did they threaten the Russian Federation? 

What kind of country is this – the Russian Federation, which is afraid of hospitals, is afraid of maternity hospitals and destroys them? Pregnant women were going to shoot at Rostov? Someone in the maternity hospital humiliated the Russian-speakers? What was that, the denazification of the hospital?” the president asks.


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Mariupol before February 24th, 2022.
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Mariupol after February 24th, 2022.

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Strike at Mariupol hospital maternity ward.

Photos taken from: EBRD Green Cities and nv.ua

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Reportedly, on March 8th, the occupiers offered the residents of Mariupol to evacuate at gunpoint to Rostov-na-Donu in the Russian Federation. What will be the people’s choice? To be the next victims of “Russian peace” in Mariupol or to “evacuate” to Russian territory at gunpoint and cameras of Russian TV reporting how happy these “saved” people will be under the rule of those who killed their friends and relatives?

And how many more newborns and children will be killed and wounded before the world will stop this atrocious war?

The U.S. House Select Committee Investigation of the January 6 Attack on the Capitol: Part 9

The U.S. House Select Committee Investigation of the January 6 Attack on the Capitol: Part 9

The U.S. House Select Committee Investigation of the January 6 Attack on the Capitol: Part 9

Social Justice Policy Brief #34 | By: Erika Shannon | March 9, 2022

Header photo taken from: Saloon (.com)


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Was John Eastman, former Chapman legal scholar, trying to overthrow democracy?

Photo taken from: Orange County Register

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The investigation into the attack on our nation’s capitol last January has been underway for several months now. Countless subpoenas have been issued, to both companies and individuals, and thousands of pieces of video and photographic evidence has been submitted. The House Select Committee has been winding down a long list of people who are connected in some way to the events that transpired on and around January 6, 2021 in Washington, D.C. In a recent bombshell, the Committee has stated that there is enough evidence to conclude that former President Donald Trump and allies may have conspired to commit fraud and obstruction by misleading Americans on the outcome of the 2020 election and attempting to overturn the election results.

The finding of the Committee were released in a legal brief issued in federal courts regarding former President Trump’s lawyer John Eastman. Eastman has attempted to hide records and email from the House Committee’s investigation, alleging that he is under the umbrella of attorney-client privilege. The Committee is looking into whether or not there may be a crime-fraud exception to this attorney-client privilege  rule; they believe Eastman’s emails  indicate that he helped the former President advance a corrupt scheme to obstruct the counting of Electoral College 2020 ballots, and a conspiracy to impede the transfer of power.

John Eastman’s attorney, Charles Burnham, has made it clear that Eastman has a responsibility to protect client confidentiality, even at great personal risk. He claims they will respond in due course, and for now it looks like the Committee will have to wait for the information they are seeking from Eastman. In order for the House Committee to prove Trump committed felony obstruction, investigators would need to show that he “corruptly” intended to impede an official proceeding. The Committee says Trumps’ working with Eastman to pressure former Vice-President Mike Pence to take illegal acts could satisfy that requirement. Only time will now tell if a federal judge will require Eastman to provide his own emails to congressional investigators.

As time goes on, the Committee continues to subpoena individuals in relation to the January 6th, capitol riots. Most recently, the Committee subpoenaed Kimberly Guilfoyle, former trump campaign aid and fiancée to Donald Trump, Jr. The House Select Committee purports to have evidence that Guilfoyle was in direct contact with key individuals, raised funds for the rally immediately preceding the violent attack on the U.S. Capitol, and participated in that event. Guilfoyle spoke at the rally on the Ellipse in support of the former President and his claims of election fraud. Since Guilfoyle backed out of her voluntary interview, the Committee is hoping that this subpoena will compel her to testify before them.

The House Select Committee has also issued subpoenas to six individuals who promoted false claims that the 2020 president election was fraudulent, and also participated in or encouraged various actions based on those false claims. The six individuals named are Cleta Mitchell, Kenneth Chesebro, Christina Bobb, Katherine Friess, Kurt Olsen, and Phillip Kline. The Committee hopes the testimony of these individuals will help them further understand various strategies employed to potentially affect the outcome of the 2020 election.

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Jan. 6 committee issues 6 subpoenas to individuals promoting false election claims

Photo taken from: Yahoo

(click or tap to enlargen)

The National Archives has also released documents to the House Select Committee that were previously kept hidden by the former President. This includes a schedule of the former President’s morning on January 6, 2021. That afternoon the former President spoke at the Ellipse at the Save the America Rally, where he continued to make unsubstantiated claims about the 2020 election’s outcome.

In another small victory for the House Select Committee, former Attorney General William Barr has said that he would be willing to further cooperate with the committee. 

 

Barr said he believes that the former President was responsible for the January 6 riot in a “broad sense” but did not lay down any legal implications. Barr is thought to have relevant information to the panel’s investigation and may help push their investigation in ways that will ensure the events that transpired in January of 2021 do not repeat themselves.

This brief is part of an ongoing series in the Select Committee’s investigation; further updates will be provided as the investigation continues.

Engagement Resources​

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To read the panel’s most recent court filing, click here.

For the latest news regarding the January 6th Investigation, click here.

The Olympic Games: Sports, Politics, or Both?

The Olympic Games: Sports, Politics, or Both?

The Olympic Games: Sports, Politics, or Both?

Foreign Policy Brief #147 | By: Reilly Fitzgerald | March 4, 2022

Header photo taken from: NBC News


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Photo taken from:  Encyclopedia Britannica

Policy Summary

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Like everyone else, the Olympic Games have been mesmerizing to watch; the athletes that have given everything to reach the pinnacle events in their sport. The dedication alone to become an Olympian representing a country is spectacular. The 2022 Olympic Games in Beijing have also been full of political tension. We saw athletes get accused of doping, some athletes have renounced their citizenship, some teams like China’s Men’s Hockey Team were made up of a lot of foreign nationals rather than just Chinese players, and we even had athletes using their platform to try and steer the world away from war in Ukraine – only to be told to be silent about politics.(.

The Olympics originated, as the world knows, in Ancient Greece. It was an event held in four year increments to rally and unite the city-states to celebrate athletics … but it was also a time for the city-states to speak to one another in one place about political matters. The city-state of Elis was the first to create the tradition of the Olympic Truce which applied to the city-states coming to the games and the spectators; it allowed the games to be held without the risk of conflicts interrupting the celebration. According to the Penn Museum, the Spartans violated the truce in 420 BC by holding a military training exercise with their army and were fined and excluded from the Olympic Games afterward.

The Olympic Games have not been ongoing since the Ancient Greeks were walking the Earth; they ended in 394 CE but were restarted in 1896 as the first “modern” Olympic games. According to the Olympic Games website, the Ancient Games were ended due to the Roman Emperor Theodoseus viewing the Games as a pagan celebration.

The history of the modern Olympic Games has been wrought with controversy, politics, and many other elements besides athletics and sportsmanship. The Games have frequently been used as propaganda by countries with tyrannical governments, the most glaring examples of this was the 1936 Olympics held in Berlin at the height of the Nazi Regime before the start of World War II – while the persecution of Jewish people was in full motion.

Some of the most recent games have been full of controversy as well – the 2014 Winter Games in Sochi, Russia, uncovered a State run national doping program that infiltrated almost all of the Olympic events, and it was done at the direction of Russian President Vladimir Putin. The Summer Olympics in Rio in 2016 were fraught with human rights violations as the local government was forcibly removing people from their homes and neighborhoods to create space to host the games. The 2022 Winter Olympics are being hosted in China while China persecutes the Uyghur population in their country – though they deny this and pretend to be ‘re-educating’ this minority group.

Policy Analysis

Sports and politics have always been intertwined, especially the Olympic Games (ancient or modern). The Games have had a history of many highly political moments such as the hosting of the Games in Berlin in 1936 under the Nazi regime; or the 1980 Summer Olympic Boycott against the Soviet Union; or the uproar after the 1968 Olympics Black Power salute atop the podium; and many other instances.

The fact of the matter is that the Olympic Games and some of the requirements of hosting the games can often lead to human rights issues. It was well documented during the 2016 Rio Olympics that the Brazilian government was displacing people to either build new venues for the events or to restrict access and criminal activity in certain locations. According to a Sports Illustrated article, from 2015, there were approximately 4,000 families that experienced human rights abuses in Brazil directly tied to the Olympic Games. Some of these violations included violence via police officers, evictions and forced displacement, and other actions taken by the state. The government of Rio denied all of the allegations. Unfortunately, most of the countries in the world attended these games and did not deem these abuses to be severe enough to warrant a boycott.

However, in the 1980 Moscow Summer Olympics, there was a massive international boycott ( in protest of Russia’s invasion of Afghanistan) that included countries like the United States, West Germany, and many other smaller countries. In the 2022 Beijing Winter Games, some countries like the United States, conducted a diplomatic boycott to protest China’s treatment of the Uyghurs.  The 1980 Boycott forced some athletes to compete for other countries, if possible; just like we are seeing with these Olympic Games where foreign citizens or citizens of other countries are competing for China in events like hockey or skiing.

 


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China asked Russia not to invade Ukraine until the Winter Olympics were over in the previous month according to reports.

Photo taken from: Yahoo Sports UK

The United States’ foreign policy decisions regarding the Olympic Games since 1980 have never reached the tension that was caused by the Moscow Games. The United States has since had boycotts of games, but diplomatic boycotts; which bar politicians, officials, and dignitaries from going to and/or participating in the games – it does not restrict athletes. However, this type of decision does call into question the credibility of the values that the United States’ foreign policy attempts to uphold around the world such as respect, dignity, democracy, and human rights. The Rio Games are a great example of the United States turning a blind eye to these ideals when there was clear documentation and studies completed that exposed the displacement of people, and the inhumane treatment endured by the people in Rio to prepare for the games.

Unfortunately, the Olympic Games are a huge money-making opportunity for the International Olympic Committee which organizes the games; it is a money-maker for the host country and city, though there is often a large sum of debt that is associated with hosting; and it is one of the largest non-violent ways to demonstrate your superiority as a country – by winning the medal count. 

All of these factors were at play in 2014 Sochi Winter Olympics when Russian President Vladimir Putin created a state-run doping program by which athletes, representing Russia, in almost every single sport tested positive for banned substances. This caused political pressure from other countries to ban the Russian Federation from competing under their own flag – so for now they compete as either “Athletes From Russia”, or “Russian Olympic Committee”. This has not stopped Russians from doping either as a 15 year old figure skater, Valieva, tested positive for a banned heart medication. Gold medals are great for the athletes personally, but even better for a country in need of a PR lift.

As I am writing this several days after the Games concluded with the Closing Ceremonies, it should be noted that Russia has invaded Ukraine. Much of the political blustering and drama during these Winter Games surrounded the anticipation of war in Europe. It appears, to many, that Russia has violated the spirit of the Olympic Truce – and this war will be a major and significant foreign policy event for all nations involved. Athletes during the games were told to not use their platforms, while at the games, for political messaging – in anticipation of backlash toward China for their treatment of the Uyghurs and also backlash against Putin’s preparations for war. However it was rumored that President Putin of Russia told President Xi of China of his plans to invade Ukraine, and President Xi asked Putin to delay the start of the invasion until after the Olympics were over.

Engagement Resources​

Click or tap on resource URL to visit links where available 

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Penn Museum – Olympics Section ( https://www.penn.museum/sites/olympics/olympicorigins.shtml )

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Minority Rights Group International ( https://minorityrights.org/minorities/uyghurs/

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Council on Foreign Relations – Olympics Section ( https://www.cfr.org/olympics )

An Update on US GDP and the Economic Effects of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

An Update on US GDP and the Economic Effects of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

An Update on US GDP and the Economic Effects of Russia’s Invasion of Ukraine

Economic Policy Brief #136 | By: Greg Ziegler | March 5, 2022

Header photo taken from: Getty Images


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ECONOMY Inflation will go higher, but Ukraine conflict likely won’t halt economic growth in the U.S.

Photo taken from: CNBC

Policy Summary

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The Bureau of Economic Analysis (“BEA”) released the second estimate of 2021 Q4 Gross Domestic Product (“GDP”) on Thursday, February 24th.  The first advanced estimate was released on January 27th which showed fourth quarter growth in 2021 of 6.9% and third quarter growth in 2021 of 2.3%.  The second estimate was consistent with the first advanced estimate and showed that GDP increased at an annual rate of 7% in the fourth quarter.  This estimate is based on a more complete data set than what was available for the first advanced estimate.

The BEA stated that the increase in fourth quarter growth reflected the continued economic impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, and that in the fourth quarter, COVID-19 resulted in continued restrictions and disruptions in the operations of establishments in some parts of the country.  In a technical note accompanying the advanced estimate the BEA noted that several legislative acts, such as the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act, the Coronavirus Response and Relief Supplemental Appropriations (CRRSA) Act; and the American Rescue Plan (ARP) Act, (the “Acts”), provided temporary funding for existing federal programs to support individuals, communities, and businesses impacted by the pandemic.

Because the effects of the Acts were in the form of transfers to individuals, subsidies to businesses, and grants to state and local governments, their effects on GDP show up indirectly through components of GDP, such as consumer spending. In its technical note to the second estimate the BEA noted that the increase in GDP primarily reflected increases in private inventory investment, exports, consumer spending, and nonresidential fixed investment.

Policy Analysis

GDP is used as a gauge to measure the overall health of the economy and represents the value of all the finished goods and services produced in the United States. (For example, the economy is often considered to be in a recession after two consecutive quarters showing a decline of GDP)

Just as the economy is beginning to emerge from the economic effects of COVID-19, the United States economy, and the economies’ of all nations will face the effects of a war in Europe as Russia invaded Ukraine on February 24th.  The price of oil steadily ticked up as a Russian invasion became more and more certain. The price of Western Intermediate Crude (“WTI”) was $89.60 on 2/4, $90.61 on 2/11, and $92.89 on 2/18 closing at $92.81 on 2/24 (one year ago on 2/24/21 the price of oil was $63.53).


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Components of GDP Explained

Photo taken from: The Balance

(click or tap to enlargen)

The Automobile Association of America (“AAA”) stated that the national average for a gallon of regular gasoline has increased and that the increasing oil prices will continue to play a role in pushing prices higher.

As the war continues and additional economic sanctions are levied against Russia oil markets will continue to reflect the volatility in the world and the energy markets, the impact that these world events have on the United States economy is only just beginning to be seen.

Engagement Resources​

Click or tap on resource URL to visit links where available

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https://www.bea.gov/news/2022/gross-domestic-product-fourth-quarter-and-year-2021-advance-estimate

https://www.bea.gov/sites/default/files/2022-01/tech4q21_adv.pdf

https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases

https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

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As Oil Prices Surge, Drivers Should Brace For More Pump Price Increases

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