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TRUMP RUSSIA INVESTIGATIONS

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White House V. Justice Department

The past month has been incredibly tumultuous for both the DoJ and FBI, who have long been criticized and antagonized by the president, and have more recently aroused conservative outrage over a highly divisive memo accusing top Justice Department officials of surveillance misconduct. The memo, commissioned by controversial…

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Flynn Update, Trump Jr Interviews, DoJ Defense

Following the news of former national security adviser Michael Flynn’s guilty plea in the special counsel’s Russia investigation, reports began to surface of text messages Flynn sent to a former business partner during President Trump’s inauguration. Democrats on the House Oversight Committee told reporters that a whistleblower…

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Flynn’s Plea, Trump Family & Finance, Nunes’ DoJ Feud

The special counsel investigation into Russian electoral interference and Trump campaign collusion has taken a dramatic turn this week with the indictment and subsequent guilty plea of former national security adviser Michael Flynn on charges of lying to the FBI. Flynn had been under investigation since before Mueller’s appointment…

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Trump Concludes Asia Trip

President Trump returned this Tuesday night from a 12 day trip Asia, his third major international trip after visits to the Middle East and Europe earlier this year. Trump spoke to leaders in Japan, China, South Korea, Vietnam, and the Philippines, with a focus on reining in the North Korean threat and forming “free and reciprocal” trade…

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New Leads in Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s Investigation

After a lull in coverage roughly coinciding with Congress’ summer recess, the past two weeks have brought a flurry of reporting and speculation about various aspects of the federal and congressional Russia investigations. Special counsel Robert Mueller is again in the spotlight as his investigation progresses and new leads are being reported.

DoJ and Special Counsel

Much has been made of the recent activities of Mueller and his team. It is always worth noting that in the current media climate, small–and sometimes unverified–details tend to be overanalyzed, and overly enthusiastic reports may lead us to fallacious conclusions; this is particularly important to remember when looking at highly classified investigations and activities, since aside from leaks the DoJ will never volunteer information or verification on aspects of ongoing investigations subject to media attention. That said, there have been many recent reports on important details of the special counsel investigation, which are valuable to go through, albeit critically.

One of the most central characters in Mueller’s investigation has been former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort. After last month’s reports about Mueller’s FBI raid on Manafort’s home, recent coverage indicates that Manafort is still very much in Mueller’s sights: Politico recently published a story outlining Mueller’s expanded angle of inquiry into Manafort and his finances. After seizing documents from Manafort’s home, Mueller began working with New York Attorney General Eric Schneiderman to investigate Manafort’s financial transactions and connections. Mueller and Schneiderman’s teams are reportedly sharing evidence and information regarding those finances; although he has not been charged or formally accused of anything, Manafort is being investigated for money laundering in addition to his central role in the Trump campaign and connections to Russia. Schneiderman’s involvement in Mueller’s investigation is significant because as NY AG, he works on behalf of the state, and a president does not have the power to pardon state crimes–this means Mueller could potentially use the threat of a Schneiderman financial indictment to encourage Manafort to cooperate–perhaps even with information on former colleagues–in the Trump-Russia probe.

Another important update on Mueller’s investigation is his reported desire to interview at least 6 White House aides in connection with various discussions they attended which are relevant to the special counsel probe. The Washington Post reported that Mueller informed the White House of his intention to speak with the following people in the near future:

  • Reince Priebus – former White House chief of staff
  • Sean Spicer – former press secretary
  • Hope Hicks – close adviser, current White House communications director
  • Don McGahn – White House counsel
  • James Burnham – deputy to McGahn
  • Josh Raffle – White House spokesman, Kushner aide

The incidents and conversations about which Mueller seeks information include Donald Trump Jr’s initial statement about his meeting with a Russian lawyer for information on Hillary Clinton, the President’s decision to fire FBI Director James Comey, and early warnings about former national security adviser Michael Flynn from the DoJ. McGahn and Burnham were briefed by former deputy AG Sally Yates after the inauguration about the DoJ and FBI’s concern that Flynn was withholding information about his connections to Russia, and could potentially be compromised by Russian intelligence. The White House took a long time to act on these warnings; by the time Flynn resigned, information had already been made public about his misleading Vice President Mike Pence and failing to disclose important information regarding his security clearances and connections to Russian interests. Sean Spicer was implicated in the Flynn matter after responding to questions about Flynn’s communications with Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak. Reince Priebus was present for some of the interactions between Trump and Comey before Comey’s dismissal, and Hicks and Raffle were present for the crafting of Donald Jr’s first statement about his Trump Tower meeting. That statement was apparently dictated by President Trump, and claimed that the meeting was about Russian adoptions. The meeting and initial White House response has become an important part of Mueller’s investigation, because of the possibility that the President knew what the meeting was actually about–obtaining damaging information on the Clinton campaign–and intentionally sought to mislead the public by personally crafting his son’s response, which Trump Jr later amended.

Mueller’s interviews with these staffers have not yet been scheduled, and the special counsel team is reportedly still looking over relevant documents provided by the White House and potentially awaiting more. The special counsel is also expected to seek interviews with more people close to the President in the near future, including son-in-law and advisor Jared Kushner, who has already been interviewed by the Senate and House Intelligence Committees.

Another special counsel update is Facebook’s recent revelation that an internal investigation found evidence of a widespread Russian-led campaign to disseminate politically divisive ads before and during the 2016 campaign. Facebook shared with Mueller information it found indicating that Russian interests likely spent about $100,000 on advertisements ostensibly intended to influence the US political climate and possibly the outcome of the election. The ads weren’t necessarily aimed at either candidate, but instead targeted highly controversial political and social issues. Facebook stated that over a period of about 2 years before and during the election around 3,000 separate ads were purchased by Russian operatives, and they also found a large number of fake accounts and pages connected to those ads. This evidence supports earlier US intelligence reports outlining the important role that the spread of false information on social media sites played in swaying public opinion and shifting the political climate prior to the election. Facebook has since taken steps to stop the spread of fake news, spam, and click bait. The information they gave Mueller reportedly includes details about the individuals who bought the ads in question.

Finally, in other DoJ news, new FBI director Christopher Wray recently gave a statement of confidence in Mueller’s investigation and its independent progression, as well as in the conclusions reached by the rest of the intelligence community regarding Russian interference in the election, which the President has repeatedly refuted.

House Intelligence Committee

At the end of August, the House Intelligence Committee issued identical subpoenas to the FBI and DoJ requesting documents related to the infamous–and so far unverified–dossier about Trump and his alleged deep connections to the Russian government. The subpoenas apparently came from Committee chairman Devin Nunes, who recused himself from the Russia investigation but appears to remain heavily involved in certain lines of inquiry. The subpoenas had a deadline for the 1st of September but received no response from either agency; after extending their deadline by 2 weeks, last Tuesday the Committee subpoenaed FBI director Wray and AG Jeff Sessions to testify about their refusal to comply with the initial document subpoenas. Nunes also unilaterally threatened to compel Wray and Sessions to testify, and even to hold them in contempt of Congress if they do not comply with the Committee’s request. House Intelligence Committee ranking member Adam Schiff later told MSNBC that the decision to subpoena the DoJ officials was not a collective one, and came as a surprise to the Democrats because they had not yet even requested voluntary disclosures from either agency. Schiff and other Democrats have decried their Republican colleagues’ fixation on the controversial dossier as being a politically motivated attempt to discredit, rather than investigate, the dossier’s contents.

Senate Judiciary Committee

Last week the Senate Judiciary Committee privately interviewed Donald Trump Jr about his pre-election Trump Tower meeting. Senate Judiciary chairman Chuck Grassley had threatened to subpoena Trump Jr, which reportedly prompted his cooperation. In his opening statement, Trump Jr denied any campaign collusion and told senators that he attended the meeting mainly to gather information on Hillary Clinton’s ‘qualifications’ for president. The interview lasted 5 hours, and Trump Jr also reportedly denied his father’s involvement in the drafting of his initial statement about the meeting. He maintained the rest of his other earlier statements about the meeting, and since the interview took place behind closed doors not much else is known about his responses. Before the Committee’s interview chairman Grassley received a call from President Trump, who pledged his support for ethanol, a key campaign issue for Grassley’s constituents. The Senate Intelligence Committee is also expected to interview Trump Jr in the near future, after hearing from others who attended the July 2016 meeting.

This blog was written by Stella Jordan. If you have comments on this blog, contact stella@usresistnews.org.


 

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Mueller’s Grand Jury, Manafort’s FBI Raid, House Intel Intrigue

This past week in the Russia investigations, news was dominated by previously undisclosed actions taken by special counsel Robert Mueller: first, that he convened a Washington, DC grand jury to review evidence gathered by his investigation; and later in the week that he had directed the FBI to conduct a raid last month on a home owned by former Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort in search of financial documents relevant to the investigation.

DoJ and Special Counsel

Last week news that special counsel Mueller impaneled a grand jury as part of his investigation into Russia and President Trump was made public. This Washington, DC grand jury reviews evidence presented by the special counsel, and can then empower the counsel to subpoena information and testimony, and eventually issue indictments if enough evidence is found. Mueller has also been working with another grand jury outside of DC, in Alexandria, VA, specifically regarding the case against former national security adviser Michael Flynn. That jury has already issued some subpoenas for the Flynn case, so Mueller’s decision to call another grand jury in Washington seems to indicate that his larger probe into Russian election interference, the Trump campaign, and potential obstructions of justice, has been heating up. The Washington grand jury has reportedly already subpoenaed information related to Donald Trump Jr’s infamous Trump Tower meeting.

Media outlets also recently revealed that on July 26, the FBI conducted a surprise pre-dawn raid on Paul Manafort, at the direction of the special counsel. Notably, the raid took place only a day after Manafort was interviewed by the Senate Intelligence Committee. Manafort had also previously pledged to cooperate with the federal and congressional Russia investigations, and had already handed over some requested documents to both congressional intelligence committees. The FBI reportedly raided Manafort’s home in search of financial documents including tax and foreign banking records. This escalation in the special counsel investigation, given Manafort’s previous voluntary disclosures, could indicate that investigators suspected that Manafort was withholding something, or that Mueller wanted a show of force to encourage other witnesses and Trump affiliates to come forward and provide information to the investigation.

Amidst the continuing speculation surrounding President Trump’s harsh criticism of not just special counsel Mueller but also his own Attorney General Jeff Sessions, Deputy AG Rod Rosenstein said last weekend in an interview that Mueller has the authority to shape the scope of his investigation according to any relevant evidence of wrongdoing he finds. Recently Trump said he did not want Mueller to look into his family finances; Rosenstein’s comments affirm Mueller’s mandate to investigate any crimes he uncovers during the course of his investigation, even if they are not directly related to Russia or the election. As it is perpetually unclear what actions the president might take in response to the special counsel probe, given his ongoing criticisms of Mueller and others in the DoJ, a bipartisan group of senators also recently introduced legislation which would bar Trump from firing the special counsel.

Finally, last week the Senate officially confirmed Christopher Wray as the new director of the FBI.

Senate Judiciary Committee

The Senate Judiciary Committee has reportedly spent the week reviewing documents it received from members of the Trump campaign and current administration–including documents from Donald Trump Jr and Paul Manafort–about the Trump Jr meeting and other Russia-related matters. The committee has also reviewed the memos written by former FBI director James Comey about his interactions with President Trump leading up to his firing. Senate Judiciary chairman Chuck Grassley has been steadily vocal about his investigation’s progress and the importance of its independence, and he recently pushed back against the president’s criticisms of the Russia investigations and the DoJ, saying his committee would refuse to hold a confirmation hearing if Trump fired AG Sessions or otherwise tried to reshuffle DoJ leadership.

House Intelligence Committee

The congressional intelligence committees were shaken last week by news that two Republican staffers from the House Intelligence Committee were sent to London last month in search of Christopher Steele, a former British intelligence agent and the author of the controversial dossier claiming extensive connections between President Trump and Russia. The dossier was compiled while Steele was working with US research firm Fusion GPS, which Republicans have claimed is itself deeply connected to Russia. The dossier was published by BuzzFeed last summer shortly after the election, and its contents remain largely unsubstantiated, although the intelligence committees have been investigating its allegations since it began to circulate, and last month the Senate Judiciary Committee interviewed the co-founder of Fusion GPS; the continued focus on the dossier implies that at least some of its contents are relevant to the Russia investigations. The staffers’ trip, seemingly to find Steele and ask him to speak with the committee about the dossier, came as a surprise to Democrats on the House Intelligence Committee, including ranking member Adam Schiff, who told reporters that he thought the committee’s Republican leader Mike Conaway was also unaware of the trip. Congressional and media speculation seems to point towards House Intel chairman Devin Nunes–who is supposedly still recused from the committee’s Russia investigation but somehow keeps popping back up–having directed the staffers to go looking for Steele; the staffers were sent by the committee staff director Damon Nelson, a close longtime employee of Nunes. It appears that neither House Intelligence Committee leadership, the Senate Intelligence Committee, nor the special counsel were notified in advance of the trip, which raises questions about its ultimate intention and about the role of Steele’s dossier in the future of the Russia investigations.

This blog was written by Stella Jordan. If you have comments on this blog, contact stella@usresistnews.org.


 

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Kushner Testimony, Private Interviews, Sanctions Past and Present, Russian Retaliation, & Trump Legal Team

The past week in the Russia investigations brought highly anticipated testimony from Trump’s son-in-law and advisor Jared Kushner, mainly focused on questions of Trump campaign collusion, which were augmented by the previous week’s revelations of Kushner’s presence at a meeting held by Donald Trump Jr and attended by a variety of Russian government and business affiliates (see previous post for more information). Last Monday and Tuesday, Kushner met in back-to-back closed sessions with members of the Senate Intelligence Committee and House Intelligence Committee, respectively. Prior to the sessions, he publicly released an 11-page written statement, in which he unsurprisingly denied any type of collusion or impropriety by himself or other members of the Trump campaign regarding meetings with Russian officials and actions taken by the Russian government during the campaign, election, and transition.

The meeting on everyone’s mind apropos the Russia investigations is the aforementioned Trump Tower meeting attended by Donald Trump Jr, Kushner, Manafort, a Russian attorney, and a handful of other characters; the Washington Post recently reported on President Trump’s role in directing Trump Jr’s response to the initial media coverage. Trump apparently dictated a statement for his son to give, in which the subject of the meeting was said to be US adoptions of Russian children. Following further media coverage and investigation, Trump Jr changed his story and released the email chain setting up the meeting, which showed that its initial purpose had been for Trump Jr and the Trump campaign to gain damaging information on Clinton as part of the Russian government’s support of Trump Sr in the presidential race. The implications of President Trump’s involvement in his son’s statement are complex, but could be interpreted as the president himself attempting to mislead the public about a sensitive issue relevant to the Russia investigations, which could, in turn, draw additional scrutiny from those investigations.

While Russia investigation news steadily churned and the intelligence committees unpacked Kushner’s interviews, Congress also passed by a wide margin a bill broadening and reinforcing the scope of US sanctions against Russia, largely in response to Russia’s interference in the 2016 election. The bill, which President Trump is expected to sign, also includes sanctions against Iran and North Korea. Regarding Russia, it aims to follow through with sanctions originally proposed by the Obama administration following the election, and importantly it gives congress power to veto any executive easing of those sanctions. In response to the bill’s passage, but before Trump had indicated he would sign, Russia promised harsh retaliation with preliminary countermeasures including the seizing of 2 US diplomatic facilities in Russia and a large reduction in US diplomatic staff–by 755 people, which will leave just 455, the same number as the US allows Russia to have here. Putin also promised to match any further expulsions or actions taken by the US in retaliation. Many have contrasted the recent retaliatory escalation to similar behavior by the two countries during the Cold War. Germany called for the European Commission to explore countermeasures against the US, saying the sanctions violate international law and would be harmful to the European economy. These sanctions represent an unusually unified congressional action against Russian election interference, and if the president follows through with signing the bill it could mark a major turning point in US foreign policy on Russia, which has thus far been rather equivocal given the substantial evidence of Russia’s intent to undermine American democracy.

Senate Intelligence Committee

The Senate Intelligence Committee was the first congressional committee to meet with Jared Kushner as part of its investigation into Russia’s role, and the Trump campaign’s potential involvement, in influencing the outcome of the 2016 election. Kushner met with senators from the committee in a closed-door hearing, for which he was apparently not under oath–although as lawmakers have noted, it would be a federal crime to lie to congress. Being the closest member of the Trump family and campaign to appear before congress and release a public statement so far, Kushner attempted to both shape the narrative surrounding the campaign’s connections to Russia, and distance himself from it. In his written statement, aside from firmly denying any misconduct on behalf of the Trump campaign, Kushner addressed 4 known meetings with Russian state actors including the Trump Jr meeting. About that meeting, Kushner said that he had no prior knowledge of what would be discussed or who would be attending; despite a fairly unambiguous title–“re: russia-clinton…”–Kushner claimed that he had not read the email chain forwarded to him by Trump Jr setting up the meeting. He also said that he had arrived late to the meeting and made an excuse to leave early, after realizing the topic of discussion, US adoptions of Russian children–Trump Jr’s initial explanation for the meeting which he subsequently shifted multiple times following additional media exposés–was a ‘waste of his time.’ The other meetings Kushner disclosed in his statement all concerned Russian ambassador Sergey Kislyak: the first was in April 2016 during a campaign foreign policy speech when Kushner was casually introduced to Kislyak and other diplomats. The next time the two met was during the Trump transition in early December, at a meeting which former national security adviser Michael Flynn also attended, in which some form of back channel or direct communication between the transition team and Putin was allegedly discussed, although Kushner denied any suggestion of such an idea on his part and said that the main focus of establishing communications was to discuss Syria, but that nothing had come of it. The following week, Kushner reported that Kislyak made multiple attempts to set up another meeting, and finally connected Kushner, by way of an assistant, to Russian banker Sergey Gorkov, who supposedly had a ‘direct line’ to Putin. Gorkov’s bank is under US sanctions and is connected to Russian intelligence. By Kushner’s account, those meetings were part of routine foreign policy communications during a unique and turbulent transition period. However, he did not include the later meetings with Kislyak and Gorkov on certain security clearance paperwork, which he claimed was a mistake made by his staff and was later corrected. Following the talks with Senate Intelligence Committee members, in which they presumably went over the major points from Kushner’s written statement as well as other more classified issues, Democrats on the committee bemoaned the lack of an open public testimony as well as the vague nature of Kushner’s public statement, especially regarding his financial connections to Russia, and raised doubts about his sincerity.

The day after meeting with Kushner, the Senate Intelligence Committee also held a closed-door interview for Paul Manafort. The interview was not previously announced and came as a surprise given its anticipated and high-profile nature. Even less can be gleaned from Manafort’s private interview than from Kushner’s, but during his meeting he reportedly gave committee members the notes he had taken during the infamous Trump Jr meeting, although the contents of those notes have remained classified and no details have been leaked. Additionally, the past week saw the committee interviewing a handful of other high-profile members of the Obama administration: former UN ambassador Samantha Power, former national security adviser Susan Rice, former chief of staff Denis McDonough, former National Intelligence Director James Clapper, and former adviser Ben Rhodes. If the committee’s past public hearings serve as any kind of indication, these interviews probably probed the details of the Obama administration’s response to Russian meddling leading up to the election, and also likely touched on recent allegations spearheaded by the GOP of ‘unmasking’ and improper handling of classified intelligence.

Trump Jr is also expected to meet with the Senate Intelligence Committee at an undetermined time in the future, and is also expected to do so behind closed doors; following the publicized yet private nature of Kushner’s and Manafort’s interviews, many see this confidentiality as a setback in the committee’s so far resolutely transparent investigation.

House Intelligence Committee

There is little else to be said about Kushner’s meeting with the House Intelligence Committee; like the Senate’s interview, it was also held in private, and presumably also focused on probing Kushner’s written statement along with other available materials. Kushner did speak to the House committee under oath. Unsurprisingly, the meeting and its aftermath seemed to devolve into partisan bickering, a state the committee has long been mired in. Ranking Democrat Adam Schiff, in a press conference following the interview, accused high-ranking Republican committee member Trey Gowdy of sheltering or defending Kushner, a claim other Republican members vehemently rejected. For their part, Republicans on the committee accused their Democratic colleagues of stonewalling Kushner and dragging out the interview, while Democrats seemed to indicate that they thought Kushner was not being entirely forthcoming. In another vaguely inappropriate but not entirely surprising twist, House Intelligence Committee chairman Devin Nunes, who temporarily recused himself from the Russia investigation, most likely attended Kushner’s interview, although his presence has not been definitively confirmed. After hearing from Kushner, the House Intelligence Committee held another closed-door interview on Wednesday with former Trump campaign foreign policy adviser JD Gordon, who is credited with enhancing the campaign’s pro-Russia stance on issues such as Ukraine, and who also met with Kislyak during the campaign.

Senate Judiciary Committee

Earlier in the course of their investigation, the Senate Judiciary Committee issued a subpoena to compel Paul Manafort to testify; following his appearance before the Senate Intelligence Committee last Tuesday, the Judiciary Committee decided to withdraw the subpoena in anticipation of Manafort’s continued cooperation in the congressional investigations. Senate Judiciary chairman Chuck Grassley and ranking Democrat Dianne Feinstein indicated that they had received preliminary documents from Manafort in response to their requests, and will continue to negotiate with him. The committee had also planned to subpoena Glenn Simpson, the co-founder of Fusion GPS, a firm that was involved in the creation of a controversial and unsubstantiated dossier released during the campaign alleging deep personal and political connections between Donald Trump and Russia. Instead of compelling Simpson to testify publicly by subpoena, Senate Judiciary Committee members reportedly interviewed him privately. The committee also interviewed international financier Bill Browder, whose attorney Sergey Magnitsky fought against Russian corruption on his behalf and died in Russian custody in 2009. Magnitsky’s death motivated Congress to pass a sanctions bill bearing his name–the Magnitsky Act–against which Russia retaliated by barring US adoptions. The Magnitsky Act became the cornerstone of the Trump family’s justification of Donald Trump Jr’s meeting with the Russian lawyer, who was ostensibly lobbying for the Magnitsky sanctions to be lifted. In his interview, Browder outlined his experience in the world of Russian business and politics, highlighting the depth and extent of corruption, and in particular Vladimir Putin’s role in controlling and perpetuating it.

Trump Legal Team

In response to the unyielding pressure of the Russia investigations, President Trump has been building­–and recently reshuffling–his legal defense team. Below is a preliminary list of lawyers working for the president on Russia-related matters, and brief summaries of their roles and backgrounds, in no particular order.

  • Marc Kasowitz
    • Trump’s longtime personal attorney
    • In charge of Russia-related legal matters since May, but recently demoted from that role
    • Known for bad temper and ‘unconventional’ style
  • Don McGahn
    • White House Counsel and top legal adviser to Trump
    • Not in charge of Russia matters due to being implicated in various scandals surrounding executive actions (both Russia-related and not)
  • John Dowd
    • Head of Russia-related legal team (took over from Kasowitz)
    • Very recently appointed
    • Significant federal legal experience–unlike most of Trump’s legal team
  • Jay Sekulow
    • Member of Trump’s personal legal team
    • Adviser on Russia matters
    • Often in the spotlight; most public of the lawyers on the team
  • Michael Cohen
    • Trump’s personal lawyer and spokesman
    • Close personal relationship with Trump; loyal defender of the president and condemning of his critics
    • Hired his own personal lawyer for Russia matters
  • Michael Bowe
    • Member of Trump legal team
    • Longtime partner of Marc Kasowitz
  • Ty Cobb
    • White House Special Counsel
    • Very recently appointed
    • In charge of legal and media strategy regarding Russia investigations
    • Experience with federal and congressional investigations and defense

Recent reports have indicated that Trump’s legal team has been exploring presidential pardoning power, seemingly in relation to increasing unease within the administration surrounding Russia investigations and possible allegations. Additionally, the Trump legal team has reportedly been looking into special counsel Mueller’s legal team in what looks like an attempt to uncover conflicts of interest that could undermine Mueller’s investigation. Congressional Democrats, including Senate Intelligence Committee ranking member Mark Warner, have been troubled by what they see as the president’s premature consideration of pardons for family members and allies who may yet become even more implicated in the Russia investigations.

DoJ and Special Counsel

Absent any specific or concrete news on developments in its investigation, the special counsel has undoubtedly been sharing information with the congressional Russia investigations, especially regarding closed-door interviews and confidential documents. Beyond this, Mueller’s team is likely looking into the recent reports of President Trump’s involvement in the public response to his son’s widely reported meeting. Mueller and his team continue to face criticism and condemnation from members of the administration, GOP lawmakers, and other Trump allies, who claim conflicts of interest, partisanship, and ‘fake news,’ and try to otherwise discredit the investigation.

This blog was written by Stella Jordan. If you have comments on this blog, contact stella@usresistnews.org.


 

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Donald Trump Jr.’s Meeting with the Russians

This past week brought a series of explosive revelations to the world of the various Russia investigations, beginning with the New York Times reports about Donald Trump Jr.’s meeting last summer with a Russian lawyer who had offered damaging information about Hillary Clinton. Jared Kushner and Trump campaign chair Paul Manafort also attended the meeting. After giving conflicting statements about the nature of the meeting, Trump Jr. tweeted the chain of emails about setting up the appointment, which was facilitated by a Trump family acquaintance who initially contacted Trump Jr. with the proposal. Importantly, the emails indicate that the meeting, and the promised information, was part of a Russian government-backed effort to support Donald Trump’s presidential campaign. Aside from the written documentation of Russia’s intent with regards to the 2016 election, Trump Jr.’s eager response to the offered campaign information has a host of yet-uncertain potential consequences, including the possibility that his conduct may constitute an ‘intent to collude’ on the part of the Trump campaign, as well as a possible violation of campaign laws; for Jared Kushner, the meeting may provoke a review of his security clearance. At the moment, it is likely that special counsel Mueller’s team is looking into the correspondence, and multiple congressional committees have expressed the desire to interview Trump Jr. and the others involved as part of their Russia investigations as well. More on this below.

Trump Jr.’s Meeting

In the days since news of the meeting surfaced, multiple people have been added to the list of attendees, increasing the confusion and suspicion surrounding the event. So far, 8 people are known to have attended:

  • Donald Trump, Jr. – set up meeting with Goldstone
  • Paul Manafort – former Trump campaign manager
  • Jared Kushner ­– son-in-law, current Trump adviser
  • Rob Goldstone – publicist for Emin Agalarov, Russian singer and son of prominent businessman friendly with Trump family; contacted Trump Jr. to set up meeting
  • Natalya Veselnitskaya – government-connected Russian lawyer
  • Rinat Akhmetshin – Russain-American lobbyist, former Soviet intelligence officer
  • Irakly Kaveladze – business associate of Aras Agalarov (Goldstone originally reached out to Trump Jr. on behalf of Agalarov and his son); known money launderer
  • Anatoli Samochornov – translator
DoJ and special counsel

Predictably, Robert Mueller and his special counsel team have remained quiet about the proceedings and developments of their investigation. Details about their investigative process and the subjects of their inquiry are classified and generally inaccessible to the public or press, although speculation abounds. After the Trump Jr. email release, CNN reported that special counsel Mueller was looking into the matter, citing an unnamed US official with knowledge of the investigation. The NY Times then reported that Mueller’s office has already begun contacting some of the people who attended or were connected to the meeting, including Kaveladze. The special counsel also asked the White House to preserve any documents related to the meeting. Mueller’s investigation will probably include interviews with most if not all of the meeting attendees, but it is unlikely that he will publicize any information obtained. Aside from that meeting, the special counsel presumably continues to explore other connections between Trump campaign affiliates and the Russian government, among other things, as part of the investigation’s mandate. Since the investigation itself is so classified, public moves by the special counsel, such as the expansion of its physical team, are heavily scrutinized and increasingly politicized. President Trump has long been uneasy about Mueller himself, even casting doubt on his credibility and objectivity; this political agitation has extended to Mueller’s team as well, with Republican lawmakers and officials criticizing the recent additions to the special counsel team for supporting Democratic candidates–including Hillary Clinton–in the past. So far, Mueller’s team includes 15 attorneys, 7 of whom have reportedly donated to Democratic campaigns. Although to some, including the president, this shows partisanship bordering on a conflict-of-interest, many lawmakers and DoJ officials have said that past donations do not pose a threat to an attorney’s objectivity. President Trump recently warned Mueller against including Trump business history in his probe, and the White House seems to be increasingly intent on trying to find potential conflicts of interest on Mueller’s team, as well as exploring various legal options to block or undermine the potential results of the special counsel investigation, including presidential pardons of those involved. This week in an interview with the NY Times, the president also expanded his criticism to other arms of the DoJ, expressing discomfort with the special counsel, the acting DoJ leadership, Comey, and AG Jeff Sessions, whose recusal from Russia-related matters greatly upset Trump. The special counsel has not made any public statements and is not expected to directly address claims made about Mueller, the team, or the hiring process, which is ongoing.

Mueller’s Team

Clearly much has been made of the lawyers on Mueller’s special counsel team. Below is a list, in no particular order, of attorneys and investigators known to be working on the investigation. The team is certainly much larger than this list, but the special counsel has not released the names of team members and many remain unknown to the press.

  • Aaron Zebley – former FBI chief of staff under Mueller, former FBI agent & prosecutor
  • James Quarles ­– former assistant special prosecutor for Watergate investigation
  • Michael Dreeben ­– deputy solicitor general
  • Andrew Weissmann – head of DoJ criminal fraud unit, former head of DoJ’s Enron Task Force
  • Jeannie Rhee – former DoJ Office of Legal Counsel deputy assistant AG
  • Lisa Page – trial attorney for FBI organized crime division, former trial attorney for FBI general counsel
  • Elizabeth Prelogar – assistant to solicitor general, former Supreme Court clerk
  • Andrew Goldstein – former head of NY Southern District public corruption unit
  • Adam Jed – DoJ civil division appellate attorney
  • Brandon Van Grack – DoJ national security division prosecutor
  • Rush Atkinson – trial attorney for DoJ fraud division
  • Zainab Ahmad – NY Eastern District assistant US attorney
  • Aaron Zelinsky – District of Maryland assistant US attorney
Senate Intelligence Committee

The Senate Intelligence Committee has, like most of the other congressional committees conducting Russia investigations, called for testimony from Donald Trump Jr., Jared Kushner, and Paul Manafort in the wake of last week’s news. The committee had already begun interviewing affiliates of the Trump campaign, transition, or early days in office last week. Jared Kushner had already volunteered to testify, and has reportedly been sent document requests along with Trump Jr. Since the Senate Intelligence Committee has been at the forefront of the congressional Russia investigations with their tenacious pursuit of documents, interviews, and high-profile public testimonies, there is a good chance that they will be the first to interview or hear from Trump Jr., Kushner, and Manafort. However, it may be some time before any of the 3 appear before congress. In terms of other witnesses in its Russia investigation, the Senate Intelligence Committee will also reportedly interview in closed session some officials from the Obama administration, including the former president’s chief of staff Dennis McDonough, and former national security adviser Susan Rice. Although Rice and other former Obama administration officials have come under fire from Republicans on the House Intelligence Committee and elsewhere over allegations of improper ‘unmasking’ of civilians caught in peripheral surveillance, the Senate Intelligence Committee appears to remain more focused on determining the Obama administration’s knowledge and response to the initial threat of Russian hacking activities during the 2016 campaign.

House Intelligence Committee

The House Intelligence Committee has also been moving forward with interviews of Trump campaign officials and affiliates. Last week, former campaign aide Michael Caputo testified in closed session to the committee, and the campaign’s digital media director Brad Parscale announced that he would testify as well. Although the committee’s ranking member, Rep. Adam Schiff, has called for testimony from Trump Jr., Kushner, and Manafort, Chairman Mike Conaway has been vague about his intentions for future interviews. However, the committee is expected to interview Susan Rice this week, and also expects testimony from former Obama administration UN ambassador Samantha Power, possibly before the end of the month. As previously mentioned, these interviews will likely present a platform for the committee to probe matters unrelated to Russian intervention in the election, namely the question of unmasking. Rice’s testimony was originally scheduled for this week, but was delayed by the committee. Similarly, Roger Stone, a close ally of Trump’s who was vocal about Russian hacking and his connections to WikiLeaks during the campaign, had been scheduled to testify at the end of the month until the hearing was indefinitely delayed by the committee. Their investigation has proceeded much more slowly than their other congressional counterparts, and the House Intelligence Committee has come under fire–by Stone and others–for dragging their feet after facing a series of partisan hurdles and a leadership change in the investigation’s early stages. Chairman Conaway has called for more cooperation and coordination between his committee’s and the Senate Intelligence Committee’s investigations going forward.

Senate Judiciary Committee

The Senate Judiciary Committee has also expressed interest in hearing from Trump Jr. about his meeting with the Russian lawyer, and Chairman Chuck Grassley is reportedly preparing to ask Trump Jr. to testify. The committee also anticipated testimony from Paul Manafort, but more specifically with regards to his failure to register under the Foreign Agents Registration Act after working with Ukrainian and Russian-backed state actors; that hearing was expected to take place this week but may be delayed until the end of the month, given the news of Manafort’s involvement in Trump Jr.’s meeting. The Senate Judiciary Committee recently held a confirmation hearing for Christopher Wray, President Trump’s nominee to replace Comey as FBI director. In the hearing, Wray expressed confidence in the ongoing Russia investigations, refuting the president’s claim that they are a political ‘witch hunt’, and told the committee that he did not doubt Russia’s interference in the election. Wray is widely regarded as a practical, thoughtful, and non-partisan leader. For their part, the Senate Judiciary Committee has certainly been pressing forward with their investigation and contacting some key witnesses. Although the committee has maintained a fairly bipartisan and cooperative stance regarding their Russia investigation, there have been some conflicts in the committee leadership about varying investigative paths; Chairman Grassley, long perceived to be a nonpartisan leader, appears to be reluctant to focus on the key points of the investigation–Russian intervention and possible Trump campaign collusion–and has been pursuing somewhat far-fetched lines of inquiry on the side, slowing the investigation’s progress and irking committee Democrats, who have been sending their own letters and appeals to Grassley and potential witnesses. However, following the recent revelations and hype about the Trump campaign’s conduct leading up to the election, the entire Senate Judiciary Committee seems more keen to press forward with the investigation, and to gather documents and hear from key witnesses before their August recess.

The Obama Administration

Much has been made of former president Obama and his administration’s response–or lack thereof–to the initial intelligence reports about Russian hacking activities in the months prior to the 2016 election, and the growing evidence of Russian interference during the campaign. In a recent Washington Post story, investigative reporters laid out the variety of conflicts preventing the administration from taking immediate direct action, as well as the twisted way the story unfolded once they decided how to proceed. In early August Obama received a highly classified brief from the CIA, which revealed Russian president Vladimir Putin’s direct involvement in planning and ordering a cyber attack campaign aimed at impeding and undermining the US presidential race and election process, as well as Russia’s preference for then-candidate Trump. At this point in the race, Trump had gained the GOP nomination, but was still widely seen as an extreme longshot for the presidency. Prior to Obama’s briefing, arms of the US intelligence community had been aware of some early Russian attempts to influence the election process–including not just hacking activities but also patterns of false news stories circulating on social media sites and an increase in temporary visa applications related to technical fields, all traced back to Russia–but the various intelligence agencies failed to come to an agreement on how to respond. After his briefing, Obama, along with a few close advisers and top national security and intelligence leaders, debated many different approaches to countering the security threat, including imposing sanctions on Russia and even more direct retaliation. The conclusion they eventually reached was that despite the looming threat to the electoral process, any move they made could a) provoke Russian escalation, and b) give credence to candidate Trump’s unsubstantiated claims that the election would be ‘hacked’, also playing into the highly politicized perception of federal overreach and favoritism during an already slanderous election season. The secretive talks about how to respond continued for some time, with the administration eventually deciding to enact modest sanctions, which included the expulsion of several Russian operatives and bases from the US. Deliberation continued as the presidential race heated up, but it was still thought to be extremely unlikely that the Russian activity would affect the outcome of the election, even though the DNC had already been hacked and in late July stolen DNC emails–traced back to Russian operatives–were published by WikiLeaks right before the Democratic convention. The major concern of the administration and intelligence community at the time was the vulnerability of election systems and infrastructure. In the past few months, multiple intelligence officials from the Obama administration have testified to congressional committees investigating Russian interference in the election, and have given even more context to the administration’s ostensible inaction during the election. One testimony previously covered on this blog is that of former homeland security secretary Jeh Johnson, who told lawmakers that he had tried to warn states about the threat to their electoral infrastructure, but his attempts to increase security were largely perceived as federal overreach. On top of this setback, congressional leadership wasn’t actually fully briefed on the hacking activities until much later in the campaign, in September, and the issue polarized lawmakers as Republicans saw any pre-election action as partisan. Congressional leaders eventually did make a bipartisan statement urging states to secure their election networks, but did not mention Russia. In late September US intelligence agencies finally reached a broader consensus that Russia was attempting to infiltrate and destabilize the US election, and that Putin was directing the operation, and Obama pushed the leaders of those agencies to issue a public statement. The statement they made, which outlined the Russian threat in broad and unclassified terms, was aired just an hour before news of the Trump Access Hollywood tape broke, and hours after that WikiLeaks released its first round of Clinton campaign emails stolen from John Podesta. Clearly, those 2 events overshadowed the Russia statement for weeks, and most of the public was left no more informed about the gravity of Russia’s activities.

Fast-forward to today, when so many different committees and agencies are investigating Russia and Trump that I write a blog entirely dedicated to keeping track of their respective inquiries and developments, it seems that the gravity of Russia’s involvement in the 2016 election has still not really sunk in. The issue of electoral interference by a hostile foreign power has somehow morphed into the question of collusion between the Trump campaign and said foreign power. While certainly important, and incredibly grave if proven, there has not been any concrete evidence of collusion thus far–the closest thing is now Donald Trump Jr.’s meeting, which needs to be fully investigated before any credible claims are made. Although some kind of cooperation between the Trump campaign and Russian actors seems increasingly likely, and much communication between the two has surfaced, it remains the deliberate task of Congress, the Justice Department, and other relevant federal bodies to determine the nature of those connections based on evidence. The question of collusion, and its political ramifications, have disturbingly obscured the fact–based on a large body of nonpartisan intelligence–that the US’s sacred democratic process has been sabotaged, eroding both public and international confidence in our electoral process. This is an issue we must all face together as citizens, and one that the current President categorically refuses to seriously acknowledge. Although the various Russia investigations covered in this blog have all in some way or another been beset by partisanship and political pressure, their main function is not to argue about potential campaign espionage, but to ensure that our democracy remains secure and independent in the face of external–possibly existential–threats, now and in the future.

This blog was written by Stella Jordan. If you have comments on this blog, contact stella@usresistnews.org.


 

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Trump’s Second Trip Abroad: Poland, Germany, and France

Travel Dates: July 5 to July 15, 2017

Summary

On June 5th, President Trump embarked on his second trip to Europe as President. He visited Warsaw, Poland on the first day to give a speech as well as speak to leaders from Poland and the Baltics. Following his stop in Poland, President Trump traveled to Hamburg, Germany for the G20 Meeting. He attended meetings and summits, and he met personally with many delegations, including a private (and lengthy) conversation with Russian President Vladimir Putin. After some days back home, President Trump traveled to Paris for Bastille Day.

Analysis

President Trump started off on the wrong foot with his expedition in Warsaw. He was greeted by huge crowds, which were a crucial part of the travel negotiations, and gave a speech about America’s views towards Europe. This speech was confusing and diverged from many ideas President Trump had established previously. His tendencies towards populism and right-wing nationalism were embraced by a like-minded government, and contained worrying language about the role of the United States in Eastern Europe.

The trip got worse as President Trump then flew to Hamburg, Germany, where he attended the G20 meeting. Much like the G7 summit earlier this year, Trump embarrassed the United States on one of the largest geopolitical stages. The United States was the only nation that refused to sign a communique about the dangers of climate change. President Trump’s stance, which is staunchly anti-environment, drew criticism as other major powers took the leadership role on global warming. The President also had a lengthy meeting with Russian President Vladimir Putin. Among other things, the two leaders discussed the Russian hacking of the 2016 Presidential election, yet both parties left with different and muddled statements on the conversation. His little gaffes also dominated the news media, such as his “apolitical” daughter Ivanka Trump sitting in for him during the G20 meeting.

And in Paris, President Trump was treated to his favorite thing: large crowds. While this addition to the trip was largely uneventful, the President made a mysterious claim about a possible reversal on the Paris Climate Agreement. Although he may change his views for the better in this instance, this trend of “persuasion by flattery” is worrisome to the credibility and veracity of any future policy position.

This trip is yet another example of the United States ceding credibility and leadership throughout the globe. Shortly after meeting with President Trump, German Chancellor Angela Merkel told the world that America is no longer a reliable partner. Despite his best efforts to convince President Trump, even French President Emmanuel Macron said that the United States must be left behind. These statements are atypical descriptions of American leaders, regardless of party, and they should worry everyone. Not only is this dangerous for national security, but a decreased presence among leading countries will only give up American power and influence. With this trip, President Trump proved once again that his ignorance of global affairs harms our nation’s prestige, and more importantly, its citizens.


 

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DoJ Information Sharing, Past and Upcoming Congressional Interviews, Key Witnesses

This past week, news of the Russia investigations was relatively quiet; the biggest stories were about witnesses who are expected to testify in upcoming congressional hearings, and information gathered, expected, or wanted by the congressional committees.

DoJ and Special Counsel

In special counsel Mueller’s DoJ probe, the week has mainly brought musings of incoming and outgoing associates. A new prosecutor, Andrew Goldstein, joined the team after leading the renowned anti-corruption unit of the Manhattan US attorney’s office. Goldstein worked under Preet Bharara, the former US attorney who was abruptly fired by President Trump in March. Goldstein’s corruption unit is known for prosecuting public corruption, financial fraud, and white collar crime.

Another revelation in the DoJ’s Russia world is a recent Washington Post story which details the extensive questioning of former Trump campaign foreign policy adviser Cater Page by the FBI in March. These interviews, which took place prior to the appointment of a special counsel to the FBI’s investigation, were reportedly confirmed by Page, who continues to deny any wrongdoing or collusion while associated with the Trump campaign. The FBI’s evidence against Page allegedly came from a dossier compiled by a former British spy; the dossier allegedly indicates extensive cooperation and communication between the Trump campaign and the Russian government leading up to the 2016 election, and is the basis of much speculation about campaign associates and their foreign connections. Page maintains that the allegations that he met and communicated with Russian officials during the campaign–and that the campaign colluded with Russia to influence the election–is a politically motivated ‘witch hunt.’

Senate Intelligence Committee

The Senate Intelligence Committee’s investigation had a significant informational accomplishment this week: committee leaders told the press that they had come to an agreement with DoJ officials which allows them to see former FBI Director James Comey’s infamous memos detailing his interactions with the president prior to his dismissal. The Senate Intelligence Committee, along with other congressional committees conducting Russia investigations, has been eager to get ahold of Comey’s memos after his testimony last month. Ranking member Mark Warner also mentioned that the committee expected upcoming testimony from Trump’s son-in-law/adviser Jared Kushner. In other news, Warner also revealed that former national security adviser Michael Flynn, who is a central figure in many of the federal and congressional Russia investigations, had said he would speak with the Senate Intelligence Committee if he was granted immunity. Flynn is reportedly seeking immunity and may already be cooperating with the FBI and DoJ, according to some Democratic lawmakers.

House Intelligence Committee

The House Intelligence Committee’s investigation is also picking up speed, and members expect a handful of upcoming interviews and hearings. Although many of the House and Senate Intelligence Committee Russia hearings have been public so far, the House committee seems to be shifting more towards gathering classified information and conducting closed sessions. Next month, the committee will interview Michael Caputo, a former Trump campaign communications adviser, who voluntarily agreed to testify in a closed session. Caputo, who used to work in Moscow and has substantial connections to Russia, denies any collusion on the part of the Trump campaign but does acknowledge that Russia clearly interfered in the electoral process. Caputo also has close connections to Trump adviser Roger Stone; Stone has also agreed to testify before the House Intelligence Committee about the specifics of the Russian cyber attacks (under the name Guccifer2.0) and the release of classified information to Wikileaks and other sites. Stone, who has talked about his early communications with the hacking sites and the perpetrators, has denied any wrongdoing and offered to testify publicly, but committee leaders say they will conduct their interviews in a closed setting. In other closed interviews this past week, the House Intelligence Committee spoke with former Pentagon official Evelyn Farkas and Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta, whose email was one of the early hacks during the campaign. The committee also expects to interview former Trump campaign national security adviser JD Gordon sometime in the next few weeks. Although the House Intelligence Committee’s Russia investigation appears to be gaining ground with its long list of interviews, its members are still somewhat split along partisan lines, evidenced by the various lines of inquiry the committee is pursuing. In another closed interview expected next month, the committee will hear from Susan Rice, former national security adviser to Obama, about allegations that she leaked or mismanaged classified intelligence documents concerning the names of Trump campaign and transition associates.

Senate Judiciary Committee & Subcommittee

This week leaders of the Senate Judiciary Committee requested FBI surveillance documents related to Russia’s election interference. Chairman Chuck Grassley and chairman of the committee’s Subcommittee on Crime and Terrorism, Lindsey Graham, sent their written request to Deputy AG Rod Rosenstein and acting FBI director Andrew McCabe. Their letter specifically asked for FBI and DoJ warrant applications for Russia and election-related surveillance; all such warrant applications go through the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court.

This blog was written by Stella Jordan. If you have comments on this blog, contact stella@usresistnews.org.


 

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Mueller in the Spotlight, Congressional Intelligence Hearings, Cybersecurity Concerns

This week, news of the Russia investigations centered largely on special counsel Robert Mueller, on whom the White House and some Republican lawmakers have been attempting to cast doubt. Mueller met last week with the Senate Intelligence Committee and followed up this week with the Senate Judiciary and House Intelligence Committees. The purpose of these meetings was to establish boundaries and informational jurisdiction between the concurrent Russia investigations. In Congress, the most noteworthy Russia investigation hearing this week was from Jeh Johnson, former Department of Homeland Security Secretary, who testified to the House Intelligence Committee about the DHS’s knowledge of and reaction to Russian interference in the 2016 election. The Senate Intelligence Committee also heard testimony from state election officials, federal intelligence officials, and cybersecurity experts. Finally, President Trump revealed via Twitter that he had not recorded any conversations with James Comey, despite his earlier insinuations to the contrary.

DoJ and Special Counsel

Special counsel Mueller was the target of commentary from both the White House and Congress this week, following last week’s revelations that President Trump had considered dismissing him. Trump condemned Mueller’s relationship with James Comey in a Fox interview on Friday, seeming to call into question Mueller’s objectivity as well as that of his investigation’s legal team. The same day Republican Rep. Andy Biggs also criticized Mueller’s integrity, highlighting both his relationship with Comey and his “highly partisan” investigative team. Despite the ongoing tension surrounding Mueller and his probe, the White House has reaffirmed Trump’s commitment not to fire Mueller, and also reiterated its perennial assertion that there was no collusion between the Trump campaign and the Russian government during the election, and therefore no reason for the administration to impede the DoJ’s investigation. However, if President Trump does continue to discredit Mueller on the basis of a conflict of interest–his relationship with Comey–this could provide more ostensibly legitimate grounds for the administration to attempt to shut down or divert Mueller’s investigation.

During the past week, Mueller has met with leaders of the House Intelligence Committee and Senate Judiciary Committee about their contemporaneous Russia investigations. Both committees appeared positive about the ongoing independence and progression of their respective investigations, but no details were given.

Senate Judiciary Committee

A reminder for the sake of clarification: both the Senate Judiciary Committee (Chairman: Chuck Grassley) and the Senate Judiciary Subcommittee on Crime and Terrorism (Chairman: Lindsey Graham) are investigating Russian intervention in the 2016 election–the Subcommittee’s investigation began in earnest prior to the full committee’s involvement and was narrowly focused, but the latter is now taking more matters into consideration. The full Judiciary Committee is also probing the Comey firing, the possibility of collusion by the Trump campaign, and obstruction of justice, including DoJ interference in FBI investigations during the current and former presidential administrations; ranking member Dianne Feinstein had been urging Grassley to expand the scope of their investigation into Comey for some time, although the two committee leaders have disagreed on many parts of their probe. Feinstein and other Democratic committee members are set on hearing more testimony from intelligence community officials involved in or knowledgeable about the election and Russia’s interference, but it remains to be seen whether their Republican colleagues will be as willing to press forward with these lines of questioning.

House Intelligence Committee

This week the House Intelligence Committee heard anticipated testimony from former Homeland Security Secretary Jeh Johnson. Johnson testified about when the DHS and other arms of the intelligence community first became aware of Russian hacking and cyber manipulation during the 2016 election, and what efforts were made during that time to ensure and enhance electoral cybersecurity. Johnson told the committee that he had become increasingly concerned about the possibility of cyber attacks in the wake of the DNC hacks; he said the DNC had declined DHS support following the initial attacks. Johnson had wanted to strengthen electoral security by designating electoral infrastructure as ‘critical infrastructure’–a federal designation which would offer additional legal and intelligence protections and safeguards–but when he spoke with state officials he felt that many had wrongly interpreted his proposal as federal overreach, so he continued to probe other electoral cybersecurity measures. Johnson testified that as he was reaching out to state election officials, the DHS became aware of cyber “scanning and probing activities” in some states’ voter registration data. Throughout the election, the DHS and intelligence community at large, along with lawmakers and the White House, made bipartisan appeals to states to strengthen and monitor their electoral infrastructure with DHS aid. Johnson and other members of the intelligence community also released reports and warnings, both classified and unclassified, about the Russian government’s role in perpetrating the electoral cyberattacks. However, a key point that Johnson’s testimony highlighted was that despite the clear Russian interference and ongoing threat, the 2016 election was so charged with allegations of ‘hacking’, ‘rigging’, and deception on both sides that it became difficult for federal bodies–in particular, the outgoing administration–to make any claims or allegations, even if backed by strong evidence, without seeming partisan in some way.

Following Johnson’s testimony, ranking member Rep. Adam Schiff gave an interview on NPR in which he underscored the necessity for nonpartisan rejection of foreign electoral interference in the future; if nothing else, Johnson’s hearing made it clear that notwithstanding abundant evidence and a very real threat, the intelligence community at large had felt as if their hands were tied to some degree during such a tumultuous and antagonistic election. Schiff also indicated that the House Intelligence Committee will seek testimony from DNC officials regarding the initial DNC hacks. CNN reported that the committee will hear from Clinton campaign chairman John Podesta next week about the hacking of his email account during the election, and TIME announced that the committee will also hear soon from the Trump campaign’s digital director, Brad Parscale.

Senate Intelligence Committee

While the House Intelligence Committee heard from Johnson, the Senate Intelligence Committee held a hearing for multiple cybersecurity, intelligence, and election officials, who testified about Russian hacking and cyber attacks during the election. Many of the officials’ testimonies reaffirmed the notion that the 2016 election was not the last we will see of foreign/Russian intervention in American democratic processes. Testimony from the hearing confirmed that 21 states’ electoral systems were hacked or probed by Russian intelligence, although it is difficult to verify specific cyber intrusions; current DHS Secretary John Kelly did not reveal which states were affected, although reports indicate that two states, Illinois and Arizona, are confirmed subjects of the incursion. Reports also indicate that potentially thousands of voter records containing personal data were infiltrated and stolen, and in at least one case altered–unsuccessfully. Like Johnson, other DHS officials testifying to the Senate called for increased communication and cooperation between federal and state governments to prevent future attacks and secure electoral infrastructure. Additional testimony from cybersecurity and computer science experts highlighted the technological vulnerability of the U.S.’s electoral infrastructure, including voting machines which could potentially be susceptible to hacking and manipulation. All of the committee’s interviews, however, affirmed that in the 2016 election no votes had been manipulated by the Russian cyber attacks. It is not clear whether voters [votes] were influenced by Russian efforts to sway media and public opinion during the election.

House Oversight Committee

The new chairman of the House Oversight and Government Reform Committee, Rep. Trey Gowdy, told reporters this week that under his leadership the committee will not continue their investigation into Russian electoral interference, nor will they probe any questions of obstruction of justice in relation to Trump and Comey. Gowdy said that other House committees, namely Intelligence and Judiciary, should maintain jurisdiction in House Russia investigations.

House Judiciary Committee

A new player may enter the congressional Russia investigations game: the House Judiciary Committee. This week Democrats on the committee urged its chairman, Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R-VA), to reconsider launching their own investigation into Russian intervention in the election and other related questions, citing a ‘responsibility’ as well as a jurisdictional mandate to probe these issues. House Judiciary Democrats had previously pushed for investigations into the election, but Goodlatte and other Republicans on the committee are wary of launching yet another congressional probe into a sitting president of their own party. However, given ongoing pressure from Democrats and increasingly compelling and intriguing investigative leads, the House Judiciary Committee may take more concrete steps in the coming months.

This blog was written by Stella Jordan. If you have comments on this blog, contact stella@usresistnews.org.


 

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Sessions Testimony, Obstruction of Justice, DoJ Drama, Potential Subjects of Mueller’s Probe

This week’s Russia investigation news began with Attorney General Jeff Sessions testifying in an open Senate Intelligence Committee hearing. Following Sessions’ testimony were the explosive reports about President Trump’s consideration of dismissing special counsel Robert Mueller, and reports of the subjects of Mueller’s DoJ probe, which culminated in the surprising assertion that the president himself is now potentially under investigation for obstruction of justice.

Obstruction of Justice

Before giving a rundown of the week’s updates on the separate Russia investigations, I’d like to first talk briefly about obstruction of justice: the specific allegations surrounding the president, the criteria for the crime, the potential consequences, and what entities are investigating it. The official criteria for obstruction of justice is attempting to intentionally “influence, obstruct, or impede” an official federal investigative or judiciary process. In the case of President Trump, the question of obstruction of justice centers on James Comey. If Trump actually did fire Comey because of the way he was leading the FBI’s Russia probe and/or his refusal to give his “loyalty,” this could be interpreted as an attempt to directly change the course of the investigation, and would probably constitute obstruction. However, Comey’s public testimony last week was only one piece of the puzzle, and although he revealed that the president acted inappropriately and undermined the independence of the FBI at the least, the case for obstruction of justice is much more ambiguous. Although this week there have been many reports of Trump now being under investigation, it is probably best to approach these cautiously as well. The White House has insisted that there is no obstruction investigation, and the president’s bewildering tweets may or may not confirm the existence of one. Unsurprisingly, there has been no comment from special counsel Mueller or the DoJ about the developments in their investigation, but it is likely that they are looking into the president’s actions in some capacity after Comey’s testimony. If obstruction of justice is proved, the special counsel can indict–this has never been done–or bring a case to Congress for impeachment. For now, it is probably best to treat unsubstantiated news about an investigation into Trump with skepticism; we may not hear more about it unless the issue is again raised by Congress, as Mueller’s team is unlikely to provide any information.

DoJ and Special Counsel

Aside from the potential investigation of obstruction of justice, the DoJ has had a busy week rife with public and media attention. I cannot stress enough that although the special counsel’s investigation is probably the most important Russia investigation in terms of its scope and mandate, nonpartisan approach, and potential outcome, it is also by nature and necessity very classified, and unlikely to publicize any findings or updates. Following the breaking news about obstruction of justice last week, Deputy AG Rod Rosenstein cautioned Americans to be skeptical about media reports that only cite anonymous sources or officials, as the DoJ will not comment on ongoing investigations. Rumors are easily spread, and news from unchecked sources could have a profound and dangerous impact on public opinion and on the proceedings of all the investigations.

That said, what has been reported about the DoJ investigation during the past week is worthwhile to keep tabs on, especially given the president’s ongoing involvement and outspokenness. After the Washington Post reported that President Trump was under investigation by Mueller for obstruction of justice, Rosenstein released his cautionary statement about the investigation, then Trump seemingly confirmed the news via a tweet aimed at Rosenstein. Mueller, not Rosenstein, would be investigating the president, but Trump’s reaction is perhaps more illustrative of his growing conflict with the Justice Department as a whole. Trump was reportedly angered by Sessions’ original recusal from the FBI investigation, and his firing of Comey has only propelled the DoJ’s investigation forward since. As people speculated and argued about the president being under investigation, news emerged that Trump was considering firing special counsel Mueller, but has been dissuaded by advisers. Practically, Trump could request Mueller’s dismissal but the acting deputy AG, Rosenstein, would make the final decision, although it is worth noting that Rosenstein himself could be fired as well.

A final update on the DoJ investigation this week: another Post report claims that President Trump’s son-in-law/adviser Jared Kushner is also under investigation for his business and financial connections to Russia. The source this report cites is “U.S. officials familiar with the matter.” Kushner is also at least peripherally implicated in the scope of the other congressional Russia investigations.

Senate Intelligence Committee

The Senate Intelligence Committee began the week with a hearing for AG Jeff Sessions. Sessions began his testimony by denying any meetings or contact with Russian officials about the election, during or after the presidential campaign, and denying any collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia. He claimed that the only reason he initially recused himself from any matters surrounding the Russia investigation was a DoJ regulation asserting that political campaign advisers should not take part in investigations involving those campaigns. When pressed about specific contact with Russian officials, Sessions repeatedly told the committee that he did not recall any. Questioned about his communications with Trump, especially regarding the DoJ and FBI, he refused to give any details, citing DoJ policy not to disclose executive communication, as well as the president’s right to potentially invoke executive privilege at some point in the future. Sessions did address parts of Comey’s testimony the previous week, telling the committee that Comey had not told him anything specific about Trump’s requests that he stop investigating Flynn, but that when Comey expressed concern and discomfort about conversations with the president Sessions had told him to carefully follow DoJ communication policies. Comey testified that Sessions had not responded to his concerns at all. Sessions also briefly discussed Comey’s firing and the memo he wrote about it–which was made public–while deputy AG Rosenstein refused to do so during his hearing the same day with the Senate Appropriations Committee.

Sessions told the committee that he has not been briefed on or discussed anything regarding the Russia investigation since his recusal, and much of his testimony reflected his belief that he has been falsely accused of wrongdoing and publicly smeared; the committee’s questions fell along predictable partisan lines, with Republican senators seeming to reinforce that sentiment while Democrats pressed him on the details of his past communications. Despite congressional politics, the Senate Intelligence Committee’s tenacious succession of hearings and interviews related to their Russia investigation thus far have surpassed the other congressional investigations, and have certainly brought more clarity–as well as more questions–into the public sphere. Given the speed of their investigation, it is also worth noting that Chairman Richard Burr and ranking member Mark Warner also met with Mueller last Wednesday, about protocols, conflicts, and jurisdiction regarding their respective Russia investigations.

Senate Judiciary Committee

The Senate Judiciary Committee, which has been at odds with the Senate Intelligence Committee about the latter’s exclusive hearings with top intelligence and DoJ officials, has also made moves in its Russia investigation this week. The Judiciary Committee asserts that it should be the primary congressional body in charge of DoJ and FBI-related investigations. Chairman Chuck Grassley has indicated that the committee is pushing Comey–for both testimony and records–and also preparing for future subpoenas as they ramp up their investigation. Grassley seems to be expanding the scope of his committee’s investigation, which may include investigating obstruction of justice regarding Comey’s firing. However, Republicans on the committee also seem to be trying to shift focus to Hillary Clinton’s email investigation following revelations from Comey’s testimony.

House Intelligence Committee

The House Intelligence Committee had a rather quiet week compared to its Senate counterparts, but is reportedly planning more interviews as part of its Russia investigation. Notably, the committee will hold a hearing next Wednesday for the former Secretary of Homeland Security under Obama, Jeh Johnson. Johnson is expected to testify about Russian hacking during the 2016 election. He also had a closed interview last week with the Senate Intelligence Committee. Like the Senate committee, House Intelligence Committee leaders are expected to meet with Mueller soon to discuss investigative scope and protocol.

House Oversight and Government Reform Committee

Rep. Trey Gowdy (R-SC) took over as Chairman following Jason Chaffetz’s departure from Congress. It is not yet clear how the committee’s investigation of Michael Flynn, as well as its budding probe into the Comey firing, will proceed

This blog was written by Stella Jordan. If you have comments on this blog, contact stella@usresistnews.org.


 

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Analysis of Employment Trends

Summary

Many jobs have been added across many sectors in the past month. There was an increase in business/professional service jobs by 38,000. The education and health service sector had the highest levels of growth by adding jobs 47,000 and The smallest increase was in the mining and logging industry as this sector only added 6,000 jobs this month. This isn’t entirely negative news as this sector hasn’t historically added many jobs per month (last month it added 8,000 jobs). The biggest loss in jobs came in the communications sector with a loss of 63,000 jobs. 65% of these job losses were from the telecommunications department. Employment in government agencies also decreased by 9,000. This trend in government jobs has been present since September 2016.

Analysis

Although the economy is growing at a healthy rate there are many positions types of jobs that are hard to fill. According, to the Business Insider, there is a lack of software engineers in the market. There are nearly 14,000 jobs open in this sector of the economy. In addition, there are also not enough systems engineers working in the market. This study claims that nearly 7,000 of these jobs left. Both these types of vacancies point to a certain gap that exists in the American STEM jobs. There are many high-skilled jobs that do not have enough workers in the American market.

Income inequality has been increasing within the United States. Heather Long, a CNN reporter claims that the top 1% earns an average of 1.3 million dollars a year which is three times the amount in the 1980s when the rich only made 428,000 dollars a year. This would be normal if the bottom 50% also had similar increases like this but CNN Reporter Long reports that the American population has earned a stagnant average of 16,000 dollars a year over three decades. In addition, the top 1% of Americans earned over 10% of all U.S. income in the 1970s and today that the top 1% earns around 20% of all U.S. income. This is because of stagnant wages for the bottom. As a result, the rich continue to get richer and the poor have to suffer as the cost of living increases while their wages stay still.


 

Comey Testimony, Congressional Announcements, Expansion of Special Prosecutor’s Scope

Not surprisingly, it has been a busy week for the highest-profile investigations into Russian interference in the election and ties to the Trump campaign. The biggest story this week was the closely watched testimony given by former FBI director James Comey at a Senate Intelligence Committee hearing. Other developments this week include minor announcements from the House Intelligence Committee and the Senate Judiciary Committee, as well as revelations about FBI leadership and the expansion of DoJ special counsel Robert Mueller’s investigative team.

Senate Intelligence Committee

The Senate Intelligence held back-to-back hearings this week, first on June 7 with Dan Coats and Mike Rogers, the Director of National Intelligence and Director of the NSA, respectively, and acting FBI director Andrew McCabe. This hearing was followed by Comey’s on June 8.

The focus of the June 7 hearing was whether President Trump had asked Coats and Rogers to intervene in or undermine the FBI’s ongoing investigation. Report of this have been circled by the media since Comey’s dismissal, but both intelligence directors decline to comment on any interactions with the president and/or Comey. They said they had never felt pressure regarding the FBI investigation, but neither would specifically deny contents of the recent reports. McCabe responded similarly. The testimonies implied concerns over possible invocations of executive privilege (the mechanism by which the president can block congressional testimony), as well as concerns about publicly releasing information which could interfere with Mueller’s investigation.

In contrast, Comey’s highly anticipated testimony the following day answered many questions and prompted many more. Prior to his hearing, Comey released a written testimony in which he outlined his conversations with the president leading up to his dismissal. Comey testified that President Trump had repeatedly asked him to stay in his position, asked for his loyalty, implicitly directed him to stop investigating Flynn, and eventually fired him because of the investigation. Comey told the committee that the reasons the White House gave for his dismissal, including his conduct during the election and his mismanagement of the FBI, were lies and cause of confusion and concern. Perhaps one of the most concerning parts of Comey’s testimony was his description of the conversation he had with Trump, in which Trump told AG Jeff Sessions (Comey’s boss) and other top officials to leave the room before asking Comey to ‘let Flynn go.’ This secrecy could imply that the president knew his request was inappropriate. Another major revelation was that Comey wrote an unclassified personal memo following that conversation, which he gave to a friend to give to the press, in the hopes that the ensuing public outcry would prompt the appointment of a special counsel to take over the investigation.

Comey’s hearing shed more light on the circumstances surrounding the early stages of his investigation and his interactions with the president, but it was also swayed by partisan lines of questioning. Many senators focused their questions on the particularities of the president’s wording, and the question of Comey’s repeated assurances to Trump that he was not personally under investigation. The White House strongly refutes Comey’s testimony. The committee certainly learned more from the closed part of the hearing, and the conclusions they draw from the testimony remain to be seen. One significant point made during the hearing was that the Senate Intelligence Committee still doesn’t have physical copies of Comey’s memos, and is very eager to get them. In a broader frame, Comey underscored the necessity of a truly independent investigation into Russian intervention; he said confidently that this is neither the first nor the last time Russia will try to interfere in other nations’ political processes.

Looking ahead, the Senate Intelligence Committee will continue to review information from its hearings this week, as well as the subpoenaed documents obtained last week from Michael Flynn. Senators Burr and Warner are expected to meet with Mueller sometime in the next week to discuss how the Senate Intelligence Committee’s investigation will proceed, and avoid interfering with the DoJ’s criminal probe. In his hearing, Comey said he thought the two would be able to carry out parallel investigations successfully.

DoJ and Special Counsel

The Department of Justice investigation led by special counsel Mueller remains largely hidden from public view, but had a few noteworthy developments this week. One interesting update is the recent news that Mueller had been one of the Trump White House’s candidates to replace Comey as FBI director, before deputy AG Rod Rosenstein offered him the special counsel appointment. Mueller apparently met with DoJ and White House officials about FBI leadership before he was tapped to lead the Russia investigation.

In the past few weeks, Mueller has been expanding his investigative team, bringing in respected and experienced lawyers and investigators. Most notably he recently included Andrew Weissmann, who led the DoJ’s criminal fraud unit and whose record includes leading investigations into Enron and members of the mafia. Weissmann is expected to contribute valuable experience tracking money and fraud to the DoJ investigation. Another recent addition to the team is highly respected Deputy US Solicitor General Michael Dreeben. Aaron Zebley, James Quarrels, and Jeannie Rhee are colleagues from Mueller’s law firm who are also on the team.

Mueller’s investigation is expected to continue avoiding the spotlight, and it is unlikely that many details will be leaked. Mueller does have Comey’s memos, and is reportedly also investigating obstruction of justice in relation to Comey’s firing. The scope of Mueller’s investigation is expected to be large. When he took over as special counsel, he also took over all of the existing DoJ probes regarding Russia and the Trump campaign, which include investigations into Flynn, Manafort, Page, and Kushner. Mueller has indicated that he will continue to move forward with these existing investigative trails, while also pursuing other relevant lines of questioning. Unlike the congressional investigations, Mueller’s is expected to proceed much more slowly, taking time to thoroughly review and investigate information and people before questioning anyone of interest.

In other DoJ news, on June 7 President Trump nominated Christopher Wray as the new director of the FBI. The decision was met with mixed reviews; Wray has a solid DoJ background and is seen as a moderate and fairly nonpartisan law enforcement figure. However, Wray has financial ties to Republican political campaigns, as well as legal ties to Trump affiliates and businesses.

The Other Congressional Investigations

The Senate Intelligence Committee’s hearings took the spotlight this week, while the other congressional committees conducting Russia investigations proceeded normally. The Senate Judiciary Committee reached out to Comey’s friend at Columbia Law School, Prof. Daniel Richman, for copies of the memos that Comey had given him to give to the press. Trump’s personal lawyer for the Russia investigations said he will file complaints with the Senate Judiciary Committee and the DoJ regarding Comey’s ‘leaking’ of the memos. The House Intelligence Committee reaffirmed their commitment to their investigation, but are also trying to avoid potential conflicts with Mueller’s probe. They have asked White House Counsel Don McGahn for records of conversations between President Trump and Comey, if such tapes exist. The House Intelligence Committee also plans to hold more open hearings in the coming months, including a request for testimony from Jeh Johnson, former Department of Homeland Security Secretary under Obama, about the Russian government’s hacking of political organizations during the election.

This brief was written by Stella Jordan. If you have comments on this brief, contact stella@usresistnews.org.


 

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